Tuesday Service Plays

[Thor]

Michael Cannon

Michael Cannon Money Train
Tuesday's Plays:

20 Dime –

YANKEES -1 ½ RUN LINE (With Clemens and Towers as listed pitchers)
Take the Yankees on the run line tonight over the Blue Jays.
The Yankees have been rolling lately and I expect their offensive onslaught to continue tonight. They will send Roger Clemens to the mound and he was battered in his last outing, giving up eight runs and nine hits in 1 2-3 innings of a 13-9 loss to the White Sox on Thursday.
If anyone has the mental fortitude to bounce back from such an outing, it’s Clemens.
While I expect Clemens to bounce back, I like the Yankees hitters to continue to tee off on Toronto starter Josh Towers.
Towers has been hit hard in his last two outings, both road losses, and he doesn’t have the career numbers against the Yankees to suggest he’s going to turn it around at home tonight. He’s just 2-8 with a 5.03 ERA against New York in 13 career appearances, including 0-1 with a 7.56 ERA in two starts against them this season.
Take the Yankees on the run line as they win by at least two tonight.

5 Dime –

PHILLIES -1 ½ RUN LINE (With Vanden Hurk and Moyer as listed pitchers)
Take Philadelphia on the run line tonight at home over Florida.
The Phillies will send Jamie Moyer to the hill tonight and he’s been money in division games this year. The left-hander is 4-1 with a 2.63 ERA in seven starts against NL East opponents this year.
Even better is Moyer’s numbers against the Marlins. He’s 2-0 this year with a 1.29 ERA and a .188 opponents batting average against Florida this year, and 5-0 with a 2.45 ERA in five career outings against them.
Rick Vanden Hurk will start for Florida tonight and I don’t see the rookie outpitching Moyer in this venue.
Take the Phillies on the run line as they win by at least two tonight over the Marlins.

ROYALS (With Bonser and Bannister as listed pitchers)
Take the Royals tonight at home over the Twins.
Kansas City will start Brian Bannister and the right-hander has been solid all season long for them. He’s 7-6 with a 3.45 ERA in 17 games this year, including 2-0 with a 1.71 ERA over his last three starts.
The Twins will counter with Boof Bonser and he just can’t buy a win lately. He started the season 5-2 but has slipped to 5-7. He has allowed fewer than three runs just two times in his last 11 starts.
Take the Royals behind Bannister as they grab the home win.

[Thor]

Cappers Access

Cubs
Twins

[Thor]

LT's Lock

Todays Selection: Over 10 runs Texas/Oakland

[Thor]

Ben Burns

Ben Burns' BLUE CHIP Total

UNDER colorado/milwaukee

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Game Time: 8/7/2007 9:05:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on the Rockies and Brewers to finish UNDER the number. Yesterday's game saw seven runs scored in the first two innings but only one more run through the final seven innings. That game finished below the total and brought the UNDER to a profitable 14-6 the last 20 times that the Brewers played at Colorado. The UNDER is a combined 22-10-2 when these teams have played on a Tuesday this season and I'm expecting another low-scoring affair today. Hirsh has allowed just nine hits and three runs in 11 1/3 innings during his last two starts. Both games finished beneath the number. After he blanked the Mets through six innings in his last start here, the UNDER is 6-3 in Hirsh's last nine starts. Its also worth noting that Hirsh has pitched well in two starts vs. Milwaukee, outpitching Sheets last August and then allowing only four hits through six innings in defeating Ohka the following month. Meanwhile, we find that Capuano has seen the UNDER go 6-1 in seven career starts vs. Colorado, recording a stellar 2.58 ERA and 1.081 WHIP. Capuano has also seen three of his last four starts finish below the total and seven of the last 10. Additionally, the UNDER is 13-5-2 the last 20 times that the Rockies faced a left-handed starter. Look for those numbers to improve this evening.



Ben Burns NL Game of the Week

METS

Game: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Game Time: 8/7/2007 7:10:00 PM Prediction: New York Mets Reason: I'm laying the price with the NEW YORK METS. Perez gets the call for the home team and that should send a chill down the spines of Braves' backers. Indeed, Perez is a perfect 3-0 against Atlanta this season, allowing a mere three runs in 20 2/3 innings. That's a 1.31 ERA! Not surprisingly, the Mets were 3-0 in those games. The Mets didn't just win them those games, they won them in blowout fashion. In fact, they won by those three games by a combined score of 21-3! Perez, who will face an Atlanta team that is 1-4 its last five road games againt left-handed starters, has allowed two earned runs or less in each of his last three home starts, including six shutout innings vs. the Pirates in his last start here. Looking back further and we find that Perez has allowed four earned runs or less in 15 straight home starts, including three or less in 14 of those 15. To show how dominant he has been lately, note the Perez has 20 strikeouts (to just three walks) in 12 innings over his last two starts. On the other hand, Carlyle pitched poorly (9 hits and 4 runs in 5/3 innings of a loss) in his last road start and has now seen his team go 2-5 in seven big league road starts. Its also worth mentioning that Carlyle injured his side while batting in his last start. Both teams had yesterday off after winning on Sunday. That should also favor the home team. The Braves are just 28-30 (-7.6) the past three seasons when playing with a day off. During the same stretch, the Mets are a profitable 34-18. The Mets are also 39-21 their last 60 games played in the month of August, including 4-1 this year. Behind another quality effort from Perez, look for them to grab tonight's series opener, improving to 16-4 when listed as a home favorite in the -125 to -150 range. *NL Game of the Week


Ben Burns Personal Favorite

INDIANS

Game: Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago White Sox Game Time: 8/7/2007 8:10:00 PM Prediction: Cleveland Indians Reason: I'm laying the price with CLEVELAND. The Indians won 4-0 at Minnesota yesterday while the White Sox enjoyed an off day. The day off won't necessarily help the Sox though as we find them at a poor 4-9 this season when playing with a day off. They're also a money-burning 7-13 (-5.3) the last 20 times that they were listed as home underdogs in the +100 to +125 range. On the other hand, the Indians are a profitable 10-4 (+5.4) this season when listed as road favorites of -125 or less. The Indians score almost a run more per game (5.1 compared to 4.3) than do the White Sox and they also hit more than 20 points (.268 compared to .247) better in terms of batting average. Additionally, Cleveland has had a MUCH better bullpen. Indeed, the Indians bullpen has a 3.74 ERA and 1.267 WHIP on the road this season while the White Sox relievers have a horrid 6.03 ERA and 1.697 WHIP at home. This evening, I also expect the Indians to have the better starting pitching. After struggling for much of the season, Westbrook has turned things around recently. Two starts ago, he held Minnesota to only four hits and two runs through seven complete innings. He was even better last start, allowing five hits through six shutout innings vs. Texas. That gives him a 1.38 ERA his last two starts! Meanwhile, Danks is 0-2 with a 6.48 ERA his last three starts, allowing a whopping three home runs in only four innings last time out. The Indians are 2-0 the last two times they faced a southpaw, most recently defeating Santana. Look for them to build off yesterday's victory, improving to 4-1 their last five games here. *Personal Favorite

[Thor]

EZ Winners

2 STAR: (928) TEXAS (-$111) over Oakland
(Listing Gabbard and Gaudin)
(Risking $222 to win $200)

Oakland's starting pitcher Chad Gaudin had a great start this season as he had a 2.88 ERA in 18 starts prior to the All-Star break, but since then he has not been good at all. Gaudin lost his fourth straight decision after giving up five runs and seven hits in six-plus innings in last Thursday's game against the Angels and he has now allowed at least four runs in each of his last five starts since the All-Star break for a ERA of 7.81. This will be Oakland's first look the Rangers lefty starter Kason Gabbard. Gabbard has been pretty solid so far this season and I look for him to have a good outing here. The A's are only 1-6 in their last seven games against a left-handed starter. Rangers take this one!


1 STAR: (903) ATLANTA (+$135) over NY Mets
(Listing Carlyle and Perez)
(Risking $100 to win $135)


1 STAR: (915) WASHINGTON (+$135) over San Francisco
(Listing Bacsik and Zito)
(Risking $100 to win $135)


1 STAR: (923) MINNESOTA (-$102) over Kansas City
(Listing Bonser and Bannister)
(Risking $102 to win $100)

[Thor]

Insider Sports Report: 4* Mets 3* Padres 3* Washington

[Thor]

Jimmy The Moose

Game: San Diego Padres at St Louis Cardinals
Aug 7 2007 8:10PM

Prediction: over

Reason: The Padres have played the over in 4 of their last 6 games. In their last 10 games as a favorite SD is 7-3. In their last 9 games as a road favorite the over is 6-2-1. The over is 8-3-1 in the Cardinals last 12 games overall. In the Cardinals last 18 games where the total has been set between 7-8.5 the over is 14-3-1. Reyes has pitched poorly all season long and after the Padres were embarassed last night 10-5, look for their bats to wake up tonight. The over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings between the teams in St. Louis. Play the over

[Thor]

Big Al Mcmordie

Game: San Diego Padres at St Louis Cardinals
Aug 7 2007 8:10PM

Prediction: San Diego Padres

Peavy's been perfect on the road this season, going 5-0 with a 0.98 ERA and 0.83 WHIP. Reyes, on the other hand, has been dreadful no matter where he has pitched. He's 1-10 on the season with a 6.07 ERA. Take the Padres. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

[Volmania]

Thor, thanks for doing this.