Sunday Service Plays

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Larry Ness
Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider-MLB (62% winners since May 21!)
My Las Vegas Insider is on the Det Tigers at 1:05 ET. Detroit's 5-2 win on Saturday was just its fifth in 19 games but combined with Cleveland's 11-2 loss to the Yankees, it moved the Tigers within one-half game of the AL Central-leading Indians. The Tigers are lucky to be in this position and I look for them to easily take care of the A's in this one. The A's have typically been one of MLB's best second-half teams but that hasn't been the case in '07, as Oakland is just 12-17 since the break. It doesn't help the A's that rookie Dallas Braden will take the mound, as he is still looking for his first win in nearly four months. He hasn't won in 11 appearances (eight starts), since he was victorious in his major league debut on April 24 against Baltimore. His ERA is 5.71 in those eight starts, although the left-hander has pitched better in the five starts since rejoining Oakland's rotation on July 16 (0-3 with a 4.28 ERA). That being said, Detroit is 22-12 (plus-$965) vs left-handed starters this year, averaging 5.9 RPG. Detroit will go with Nate Roberston, who's been a disappointment at 6-9 with a 5.03 ERA in 20 starts (team is 7-13). However, Robertson has allowed just three ERs in each of his last two starts and in his last outing, had nine Ks with no walks. Las Vegas Insider on the Det Tigers.


Larry Ness' 15* Pitching Mismatch of the Week (5-1 this week and now 88-31 TY!)
My 15* play is on the SD Padres at 1:15 ET. San Diego's had a great one-two punch this year, as Chris Young leads the majors in home ERA (0.73) and Jake Peavy leads in road ERA (0.89). You read that right! In nine road starts this season, Peavy is 6-0 (team is 7-2) while allowing just 33 hits and a mere six ERs in 61 innings (opponents have hit just .156)! He leads the NL with 159 strikeouts and has not given up a run in 19 consecutive innings since allowing one in the first inning of a 9-4 win at Houston on July 27. In winning his last three starts (two on the road and one at home), Peavy has yielded just 10 hits, five walks and one ER while striking out 23 (0.45 ERA). He's dominated no division this season more than the NL Central, with a 5-0 record and 0.90 ERA in six starts. The only start he didn't win came against Cincinnati on May 16, overcoming a two-run first inning to hold the Reds scoreless over the next six before the Padres won it in the ninth, 3-2. However, San Diego has won all seven starts Peavy has made against the Reds in his career, as he's gone 4-0 with a 1.99 ERA. The Reds' Bronson Arroyo has pitched better as of late but after back-to-back 14-win seasons, his 5-12, 4.51 mark in '07 makes him no match for Peavy. The Reds almost NEVER win with him on the road (2-11) but are 6-5 in his home starts. However, a closer look shows that his road ERA (4.39) is actually lower than his home ERA (4.66). Pitching Mismatch of the Week 15* SD Padres.

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Ben Burns
Personal Favorite-Texas Rangers
Blue Chip Total-Over Philly/Braves
Contrarian Game of the Month-Cleveland

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Scott Spreitzer
SCOTT SPREITZER FINISH UP STRONG WITH SCOTT'S SUNDAY NIGHT WINNER: SEAHAWKS V. CHARGERS!
(289) SEA Seahawks vs (290) SDG Chargers
Game Starts at August 12 2007 17:00 EST
Take (290) SDG Chargers
I'm laying the points with the Chargers on Sunday night. It's not often I will lay this many in the NFL, but the QB rotations, among a few other intangibles fall in favor of San Diego. First of all, Matt Hasselbeck was cleared to play, but will only be in this one for one or two series, giving way to Seneca Wallace. While Wallace is a veteran who understands this system, the Seahawks will be at a huge disadvantage once he leaves. Defensively, Seattle will be testing new looks and schemes on defense which will make life a little tougher when it comes to stopping SDG. The Chargers will go with Philip Rivers and the starters (sans L. Tomlinson) for the entire first quarter. Following Rivers will be the capable Billy Volek, who will play for at least two quarters, along with the second string. A half of football is quite a long time for second-stringers to play in a week-one, preseason affair. Second-year pro Charlie Whitehurst will finish the fourth. It's a team that seems to be bent on winning out of the blocks for Norv Turner. And I expect the Charger passing game to perform well against a new, revamped Seahawk secondary. We'll lay it with the Chargers on Sunday night. Thanks! GL! Scott.

MLB

SCOTT SPREITZER SCOTT'S MLB MOUND MISMATCH GAME OF THE WEEK!

(953) SDG Padres vs (954) CIN Reds
Game Starts at August 12 2007 10:15 EST
Take (953) SDG Padres
I'm laying the price with the Padres on Sunday afternoon. Jake Peavy continues to roll and has received very little resistance both against the Reds overall, and in this park. The righthander is 4-0 in seven starts against Cinci with a 1.99 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. He's 2-0 in three starts at Great American where he's allowed just six earned runs and 22 base runners in 18 2/3 IP. That's a strong, 2.89 ERA & 1.18 WHIP. By the way, he's also been outstanding in day action. That's not the case for Bronson Arroyo who has been lit up on a consistent basis when pitching under the sun. Arroyo is 1-4 in five day starts, getting slammed for a 5.17 ERA and a horrible, .325 BAA. Look for the Pads to handle the righty, giving Peavy more than enough support. The Padres are my 4* Hammer. Thanks! GL! Scott.


SCOTT SPREITZER SCOTT'S SUNDAY NIGHT MLB BAILOUT BEATDOWN!

(979) TAM Devil Rays vs (980) TEX Rangers
Game Starts at August 12 2007 17:35 EST
Take (980) TEX Rangers
I'm laying the price with the Rangers on Sunday night. Tampa Bay righty Jason Hammel has made seven appearances this season, two of which were starts. In those two trips to the bump, the 24-year old has been popped for seven earned runs and 16 base runners, lasting just seven full innings. That's a pathetic, 9.00 ERA & 2.29 WHIP. In his seven overall appearances, Hammel has allowed a hefty, .359 BAA. That's good news for us when you consider Texas clocks righties in home night games for 5.6 RPG. That should be more than enough for Texas lefty Kason Gabbard. The youngster is now a perfect 5-0 in home starts, including his lone home outing thus far with the Rangers. We'll back Texas on Sunday night, our Bailout Beatdown. Thanks! GL! Scott.

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Larry Ness
Larry Ness 15* Bailout of the Week
Devil Rays at Rangers
The D'Rays beat the Rangers 3-0 last night for their third road win in four games. However, let's remember the team had lost 19 of its previous 21 games away from Tropicana Field. I'll also note that since the conclusion of interleague play (on June 24), the D'Rays have gone 12-31 and the team's 45-71 mark represents MLB's worst record. The Rangers' loss was their 10th in the last 14 but while the team is just five games better than Tampa Bay overall (at 50-66), the Rangers (at minus-$416) are more than $1,400 better than the D'Rays (minus-$1,845) when it comes to the moneyline standings. I'll also point out that Texas is a respectable 29-28 at home (plus-$247). Expect the Rangers to win the rubber game of this series, behind the pitching of Kason Gabbard. The lefty can't be happy about having been traded by the Red Sox but he brings a 5-1 mark in nine starts (3.93 ERA) into this contest (teams are 6-3). He's had some trouble on the road (6.31 ERA in four starts) but in five home starts (four in Fenway), he's a perfect 5-0 with a 2.48 ERA (just 20 hits in 32.2 innings). Jason Hammel (1-1, 6.09) goes for Tampa Bay and he is 0-1 with a 6.06 ERA in four starts (team is 1-3) since joining Tampa Bay's rotation. In nine starts for Tampa last year, he went 0-6 with a 7.77 ERA. Bailout of the Week 15* Tex Rangers.

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GamblersWorld
Tip of the Day - August 12, 2007


TIP OF THE DAY
Sport: NFL

Game: 8:00PM, Seattle Seahawks vs. San Diego Chargers

Prediction: San Diego Chargers

Current Line: -5

Over/Under: 38

Reason: The Seattle Seahawks and the San Diego Chargers will both be
trying to pick up a preseason win on Sunday when they battle at Qualcomm
Stadium.

Oddsmakers currently have the Chargers listed as 5-point favorites
versus the Seahawks, while the game's total is sitting at 38.

The Seahawks need Shaun Alexander to return to his old form if they are
to repeat their 9-7 finish of 2006.

Deion Branch will be quarterback Matt Hasselbeck's main target this
season after the departure of Darell Jackson, so Branch will get a
chance for over 1000 yards in 2007.

This is the season for the Chargers to take control of their destiny.
They posted an NFL-best 14-2 mark before falling to the Patriots in the
playoffs last year.

It will be quarterback Philip Rivers' team to lead this year, after he
put up 3,388 yards passing and 22 touchdowns in 2006.

2006 team records: Seattle: 9-7 SU, 6-9-1 ATS San Diego: 14-2 SU, 9-7
ATS

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Ben Burns
Sunday Night Total of the Month
Seattle/San Diego OVER 37

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LT Profits

Oakland A’s +130 at Detroit Tigers

Nate Roberson has been a weak link in the Detroit Tigers rotation all year, so we feel that the Oakland Athletics offer nice value at this price. Robertson is 6-9 with a 4.94 ERA and a high 1.56 WHIP overall, and he has actually been worse than that over his last four starts. He allowed 11, 10, 9 and 9 hits respectively in those four starts, posting a 6.39 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in 25.1 innings. On the flip side, Dallas Braden of the Athletics has allowed two earned runs or less in three of his last four starts. One of those outings came vs. these Tigers in Oakland, where he limited them to two runs and four hits in 5.1 innings of a 3-2 A’s victory. Finally, the Athletics are now 6-4 so far this month, improving their August record to 186-106 since 1997.

Athletics +130





NY Yankees, Cleveland Indians Under 10

Do not look now, but Jake Westbrook of the Cleveland Indians appears to have turned his season around, while Andy Pettitte of the New York Yankees is also in good form, so look for these teams to stay Under this double-digit total. Westbrook was in danger of getting delegated to the bullpen not too long ago, but he has responded with three straight brilliant starts! He allowed just three runs on 11 hits in 21 innings over these three outings, translating to a 1 29 ERA and a microscopic 0.79 WHIP. Furthermore, Westbrook has made two career starts vs. the mighty Yankees here in Jacobs Field, and he allowed a total of one earned run in 13 innings in those outings. As for Pettitte, he has now allowed three runs or less in six consecutive starts. He now has a nice 3.52 ERA on the road for the whole season, with the Under going 8-5 in those contests. He is backed by a Yankee bullpen that now sits just outside of the top10 in baseball in pen ERA, ranking 12th at 3.78 after a very shaky start to this year. Finally, even with these clubs going easily Over yesterday, the Under is still 9-4-1 in the last 14 Indians games. We look for them to build on that streak today with this inflated number, as Westbrook keeps the red-hot Yankee bets in check.

Yankees, Indians Under 10 (-110)

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Cappers Access

Sport Favorite Underdog Line Pick

(Sun) MLB Tigers A's 140 Tigers
(Sun) NFL Chargers Seahawks 4 Seahawks

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Wild Bill

Sunday, Aug 12


Over 9 1/2 Florida--Mets (4 units)
Padres -150 (3 units)
Over 11 Braves-Phils (1 unit)
Under 9 Dodgers-Cards (1 unit)
Tigers -145 (3 units)

NFL

Seattle +5 (2 units)

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Trev Rogers

August 12, 2007
82-65-2 Last 75 days
120-86-4 Last 211 selections
It's been a bad week in MLB....Just having a little fun today releasing 7 plays. You can do that when your picks are Free.

FYI: NFLX went 2-0 Saturday night!

1. Mariners -105
2. SEA vs. Chi-Sox Over 10.5
3. Tigers -137
4. Twins +170
5. B-Jays -105
6. Cardinals -122
7. Indians +125

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Northcoast

Marquee Play
Seattle/San Diego over 36.5


Rocketman Sports

5* San Diego w/ Peavy
3* Milwaukee w/ Vargas
3* Pittsburgh w/ Gorzelanny

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Kelso Sturgeon

7 units Chargers -3.5 v. Seattle
2 units Over 36
1 unit - Parlay of both above


Insider Sports Report

3* San Diego -3.5 NFL

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Paul Leiner

5* Over 8.5 LAA/Min

charlie sports

nfl. seattle+4 ( 500*)

nfl. seattle @ san diego over 36' (30*)

mlb. san diego-150 (20*)

mlb. philadelphia-120 (20*)

mlb. toronto-110 (10*)

mlb. pittsburgh+110 (10*) free play