Monday FREE Service PLAYS

[Volmania]

Post what you have gentleman.

[PlayMaker]

BIG AL

Milwaukee / Arizona 'under' the total

Pittsburgh / Colorado 'over' the total

[PlayMaker]

Big Al Mcmordie

Game: Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks
Aug 20 2007 9:40PM

Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks

Reason: At 9:40pm our selection is on the Arizona Diamondbacks over the Milwaukee Brewers. The best one-two starting pitching punch in Baseball? Beckett and Matsuzaka? Peavy and Young? Lackey and Escobar? They're all very good. But over the past month, no one-two punch has been more effective than Arizona's righthander Brandon Webb and lefthander Doug Davis. The Diamondbacks' record in their starts since July 13 is 12-2 and they are a big reason why Arizona has been able to extend its lead in the NL West. This is exactly what the Milwaukee Brewers do not have right now, and is the biggest reason why they have fallen out of first place and are in danger of not making the postseason after a remarkable run in the first half of the season. Other than Ben Sheets, the Brewers do not have a starter with an ERA under 4.7 runs per game. Tonight's rookie starter, righthander Yovani Gallardo is going to be a very good pitcher some day, but he is still at least one year away from having a major impact on this team. Davis gets the start tonight for Arizona and although his overall record is only 10-10, his record at home is 6-2. Davis has already beaten the Brewers once this season back on July 18. Gallardo's last two starts have been absolutely atrocious (18 earned runs in a little over eight innings) and if he has another outing anywhere near those, he is in danger of losing his rotation spot. He is likely to improve considerably in the pitcher-friendly confines of Chase Field, but the D-Backs should still win this one behind Davis and their red-hot lineup. Take Arizona. As always, good luck, Al McMordie.

[PlayMaker]

Marc Lawerence

4* BEST BET

Okay, we’ll bite. The only game on this year’s entire preseason slate that involves revenge from last year’s playoffs takes place here tonight with Chicago loaded for Bear following their loss in Super Bow XLI to the Colts. It doesn’t hurt knowing that preseason Monday Night dogs are 44-26-3 ATS since 1984, including 19-4-1 ATS if they are less than .500 (check Chicago’s result at Houston last Saturday). Toss in our INCREDIBLE STAT (see prior post) and all the techs are in place. Yes, Indy does have a two-day rest advantage, but it’s not like the Bears are playing on a short week (9 days). And besides, Tony Dungy has been a notorious money burner as Game Two preseason chalk throughout his career, going 2-7 SUATS when laying points. Da Bears

[PlayMaker]

Vernon Croy

MLB Free Play - Free Plays (+2415) 57-29 L86 66%

1 Unit Arizona -122

We are getting great value here Monday night since this is a huge pitching mismatch. Gallardo has an ERA of 7.96 on the road this season and and he has been lit up over his last 3 starts with an ERA of 11.39 while averaging just 5 innings per start. The Brewers opponents are hitting .320 against them over their last 7 games while averaging 7.1 rpg. Arizona is 10-2 this season when Davis has started at home this season and 8-1 when he has started as a favorite. Davis has an ERA of just 2.66 over his last 3 starts and Arizona should really be favored by -150 to -175 here Monday night. All Free Plays (+2415) 57-29 L86 66%, Have a great Monday! Vernon Croy

[PlayMaker]

Michael Cannon

An extra-inning loser on the Indians yesterday drops my free play run to 5-3 with my last eight plays.
Take the Diamondbacks as the home chalk for the win over the Brewers.
Former Brewer Doug Davis will get the start for Arizona and he's 5-0 with a 3.13 ERA in seven starts since the All-Star break. The left-hander has won his last three outings, posting a 2.65 ERA during the process.
Milwaukee will counter with rookie Yovani Gallardo and he's going through a tough stretch right now. The right-hander has been tagged for 18 runs and 21 hits in just 8 1-3 innings while losing his last two starts.
The Diamondbacks are at the top of the National League overall standings while the Brewers continue to fall in the weak NL Central division.
Take Arizona for the home win.

4♦ ARIZONA

[PlayMaker]

Michael Cannon Money Train
Monday's Plays...

20 Dime –

RED SOX (With Wakefield as listed pitcher)
Take the Red Sox as the small road chalk for the win tonight over the Devil Rays.
Boston will start knuckleballer Tim Wakefield, who has enjoyed tremendous success against Tampa Bay over his career. The right-hander is 18-2 with a 2.83 ERA and three saves in 35 career games – 25 starts – versus the Devil Rays. He has won five straight starts against Tampa and has been even better at Tropicana Field, winning all eight of his decisions there with a 2.33 ERA in 18 games – 12 starts – while holding the Devil Rays to a .190 batting average.
The Devil Rays will send Scott Kazmir to the mound and he’s been on a tear lately, but Tampa just doesn’t have the offensive punch to get past Boston here. They are also playing out the string right now while Boston is trying to hold off the hard-charging Yankees.
Take the Red Sox as the small road chalk for the win.


5 Dime –

BRAVES -1 ½ RUN LINE (With Hudson and Dumatrait as listed pitchers)
Take the Braves on the run line tonight over the Reds.
Atlanta will start Tim Hudson tonight and the right-hander has been unbeatable lately. He checks in with a 14-5 record and 3.02 ERA on the year, and has won his last four starts.
Hudson has also won his last eight decisions and has a 2.39 ERA since June 25, with the Braves winning each of his last 10 starts during his run.
Pitching on the road shouldn’t be a problem for Hudson either, as he’s 6-1 with a 2.90 ERA away from Turner Field this year.
The Reds will start rookie Phil Dumatrait, who is 0-1 with a 10.32 ERA on the year. He was tagged for five runs in two innings in his last start against the Cubs on Wednesday, but Cincinnati rallied for the 11-9 win.
Don’t expect a repeat of that scenario against Hudson.
Take the Braves on the run line as they win this one by at least two.

CHICAGO BEARS
Take the Bears as the road favorite tonight over the Colts.
Even though it’s a meaningless preseason game, I expect the Bears to try to exact some revenge tonight for their Super Bowl loss to the Colts.
Chicago has a good quarterback rotation that will serve them well against the Colts reserves as the game rolls on. Rex Grossman will be followed by Brian Griese, who will give way to Kyle Orton and we could also see Chris Leak.
The Colts rarely take preseason games seriously, as evidenced by their 1-10 mark in their last 11 preseason games (3-8 ATS), which includes four straight home losses.
The Bears have cashed in three consecutive preseason road games and have won three straight preseason games versus the Colts.
Lay the points and take the Bears as they grab the road win and cover.

[PlayMaker]

Big Al McMordie [ MLB ]
BIG AL'S 100% ATS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL WINNER!
Date: Monday, August 20, 2007
$35.00 Guaranteed: ON FIRE! $100,000 World Series of Sports Handicapping Champion Al McMordie CASHED his Preseason Game of the Year on the NY Giants over Baltimore to remain 100% PERFECT IN FOOTBALL this week. Now, Big Al's unloading on the Colts/Bears game as it falls into a Preseason System that's 100% ATS since 1983.

COLTS

[PlayMaker]

BIG AL'S 100% ATS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL WINNER!
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts. There's too much value here with Indianapolis, as the Colts opened as a 3-point favorite, and the pointspread has already moved (as of this writing) six points to put Indy as a 3-point dog. And it might move more by game time! Since 1998, going against preseason line moves has been very profitable (57%), and this constitutes one of the biggest moves over the last 10 years. There are two obvious reasons for the move (neither of which concern me). First, a lot of bettors are playing Chicago for the revenge motive, but the starters for both teams won't see much action past the opening series of the 2nd quarter. Another reason that money has come on the Bears is due to Indy having lost 10 of its last 11 preseason games. But head coach Tony Dungy may put a bit more emphasis on winning this one, against the NFC Champion Bears, and in front of the home fans at the RCA Dome. Super Bowl Champions are also 100% ATS since 1983 off a loss in the preseason, if they're NOT favored by 2 or more points, and are matched up against a foe off a win. With Indy off a 23-10 defeat at Dallas, and Chicago in off a 20-19 win at Houston, look for the Colts to get the victory. Take Indy. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

[PlayMaker]

Burns

OVER colts/bears
Game: Chicago Bears vs. Indianapolis Colts Game Time: 8/20/2007 8:00:00 PM Prediction: over Reason: I'm playing on the Colts and Bears to finish OVER the total. We can't really make any comparisons from tonight's game to last February's meeting. After all there is a major difference between a meaningless game and the biggest game of the entire year. However, these teams did face each other here in the preseason a couple of years ago and I believe we can gain some insight from that meeting. That game was played on this exact date (Aug. 20) in 2005. The over/under line was a relatively high 38.5 and the teams finished with 41, as the Bears scored a 24-17 upset victory. Tonight's total is significantly lower as it currently sits below the key number of 37. I feel that provides us with excellent value. Neither team scored many points in the first half last week. That should ensure that the first team offenses get substantially more playing time this evening. Additionally, it's worth noting that both teams were able to put up points in the fourth quarter last week (Chicago scored 13 while Indy got 7) which should mean that we'll see the scoring continue in the second half again tonight. Despite yesterday's low-scoring contest, the Week 2 games have still averaged a healthy 42 points. Eleven of those 15 games produced a minimum of 37 points. Look for tonight's game to do the same.


Burns

TAMPA BAY
Game: Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Devil Rays Game Time: 8/20/2007 7:10:00 PM Prediction: Tampa Bay Devil Rays Reason: I'm playing on TAMPA BAY. Wakefield comes off an excellent start against these same Devil Rays. However, that was at Boston and he got rocked for seven runs (6 earned) in four innings in his last road start. That dropped him to 5-6 away from home for the season. On the other hand, Kazmir has been dominant no matter where he has pitched lately. In his last start, at Boston, he held the Red Sox to just four hits through six shutout innings. Prior to that, at Detroit, he limited the hot-hitting Tigers to only three hits through six shutout innings. In his most recent start here at home, Kazmir held the Orioles to only one run through seven complete innings. Including that 9-2 victory, the Rays are now 9-5 in his 14 home starts. That gives Kazmir an amazing 0.47 ERA his last three starts and an even more incredible 0.36 ERA his last four. During that 25 inning stretch, he has a whopping 32 Ks! The Red Sox have struggled when playing indoors over the years. In fact, they're a money-burning 12-19 (-15.5) when playing in a dome the past three seasons, including a 5-9 mark the last 14 times they traveled here to Tampa. Yes, it's true that Wakefield has pitched very well vs. the Devil Rays and that he has also fared well here at Tropicana Field. However, Kazmir has also dominated the Red Sox here, going 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA while holding opposing hitters to a mere .183 batting average in six starts. Look for Kazmir to continue that domination this evening as he outpitches Wakefield with the Sox falling to 8-12 their last 20 games against southpaw starters.

HOUSTON
Game: Washington Nationals vs. Houston Astros Game Time: 8/20/2007 8:05:00 PM Prediction: Houston Astros Reason: I'm laying the price with HOUSTON. I successsully played against Houston yesterday. However, the Astros are back home today and they're taking a significant step down in class. Indeed, the Nationals are one of only a few teams which has a worse record than the Astros. While Washington is 24-35 on the road, Houston remains a respectable 32-27 at home. A major part of the Nationals' trouble has been that they just can't hit. The Nationals, who have scored two runs or fewer in nine of their last 11 losses, rank last in the majors with only 3.9 runs per game. That number dips to a mere 3.7 (.241 batting average) when facing right-handed starters. By comparison, the Astros 4.6 runs and .261 batting average, vs. right-handers, looks rather powerful. The Astros are also 5-1 the last six times they were a host in this series and 13-7 the last 20. Redding has been relatively decent in limited starts but the Nationals are still 0-2 when he starts on the road. Look for him to remain winless against his former team as the Astros, who still believe they have a shot at the playoffs, improve to 9-4 when listed as home favorites in the -125 to -150 range. *Personal Favorite

FLORIDA
Game: San Francisco Giants vs. Florida Marlins Game Time: 8/20/2007 1:05:00 PM Prediction: Florida Marlins Reason: I'm laying the price with FLORIDA. I lost with the Marlins yesterday but I'm willing to give them another shot this afternoon. The early start time should work in Florida's favor today. Despite yesterday's victory, the Giants remain an awful 13-25 when playing during the afternoon. Meanwhile, the Marlins remain above 500 (15-14) when they've played during the afternoon. Today's starter, Sergio Mitre has been at his absolute best when pitching during the daytime. Indeed, in five daytime starts he has gone 2-0 with a sizzling 2.45 ERA, holding opposing hitters to a mere .218 batting average. He'll face Russ Ortiz who hasn't pitched more than five complete innings in a game since April and who is 0-2 with a horrible 8.78 ERA his last three starts. Look for Mitre to continue his daytime dominance as he outpitches Ortiz and the Marlins avoid the series sweep.

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

Jim Feist.
My free pick of the day is the game between (971) KC Royals and (972) CHI White Sox. Take "(972) CHI White Sox". High priced Gil Meche started off as an ace for this team, but he's tired out in the second half of the season. Meche has a bad team around him, of course, but he's not helping himself at 0-3 with a 5.87 ERA his last three starts. Chicago goes with ace lefty Mark Buehrle (3.36 ERA) who is 16-6 in his career against KC. Play the White Sox!

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

Dave Cokin.
My free pick of the day is the game between (959) PIT Pirates and (960) COL Rockies. Take "(960) COL Rockies". Dave enjoyed another big winning day Sunday. He cashed his Supertotal of the Week en route to a 3-1 day on the diamond, and also had the football winner with the Giants. Tonight's Bears-Colts battle is an Under the Hat release, and this one's FREE at 1-888-389-7223!..."I have no idea why the Pirates decided to trade for shopworn Matt Morris last month. He's been absolutely terrible. Over his last 11 starts, Morris has allowed a mind boggling 103 hits and 60 runs in just 63.2 innings of work. Heading to Coors Field isn't exactly the remedy for his problems. I'm inpressed with hard throwing Rockies rookie Ubaldo Jimenez and have to give him a commanding advantage in this contest. I'll lay the spot with Colorado.

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

Wolkosky Milan

ON FIRE!!!
4-1 Friday!
3-1 Saturday!
3-0 Sunday!

Today he has 10* plays only:

10* WHITE SOX (MLB)
10* COLORADO (MLB)
10* BOSTON (MLB)
10* LA ANGELS RL (MLB)

Free: COLTS (NFL)

[PlayMaker]

Larry Ness' Daytime Delight (10-0-1 L/11 and 23-6-1 L/30 in MLB!)

My Daytime Delight is on the Chi Cubs at 2:20 ET. Chicago took the first two games of this important series with St Louis and had ace Carlos Zambrano on the mound Sunday. He retired all nine batters he faced before the game was called following a 1-hour, 48-minute rain delay in the bottom of the third inning of a scoreless game. The teams will make that game up later this year and Joel Pineiro will face Ted Lilly this afternoon. The Cards began August 0-5 but then won eight of 10. They entered this series off a three-game sweep in Milwaukee and with five straight wins in which the team totaled 46 runs and 68 hits. However, prior to facing Zambrano yesterday, the Cards ran into two excellent performances from Cub lefties Rich Hill and Sean Marshall, accounting for just four runs and 12 hits! The Cubs had dropped 10 of 13 before this series but the two wins leave them one game up on the Brewers and four up on the Cards in the NL Central. The Cards will pitch Joel Pineiro, acquired from the Red Sox on July 31. Pineiro showed much promise by going 14-7 and 16-11 for the Mariners back in '02 and '03. However, he went just 21-35 (5.67) from '04-'06 (Seattle was 27-49) and found himself in the Red Sox bullpen this year. After a poor start at Washington in his first outing as a Cardinal (5 IP / 7 hits / 4 ERs), he's pitched two solid games, going seven innings each time and winning both with an ERA of 1.29. That being said, I'm not ready to trust him. Meanwhile, the Cards bats have gone quiet and they'll face Ted Lilly (another lefty), having a career season. From '01-'06, Lilly made 158 starts, posting a 59-49 mark (teams were 78-80) with a 4.51 ERA. In '07, he's 13-5 with a 3.74 ERA, going 9-1 in his last 12 starts! Love the Cubs here. Daytime Delight on the Chi Cubs.

Good Luck...Larry

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

SCI Sports
3-0 Friday
2-1 Saturday with the Brewers RL
2-1 Sunday with the Orioles RL

MAC SCI - CHG/IND o35.5

JON REIL SCI - Braves -183
(Hudson, Dumatrait)

TUL SCI - White Sox -1½ +149
(Meche, Buehrle)

[PlayMaker]

Brandon Lang

MONDAY

15 DIME

Arizona - Specify Pitchers - Gallardo vs Davis

5 DIME

Nationals - Specify Pitchers - Redding vs Jennings
Royals - Specify Pitchers - Meche vs Buehrle
Angels - Specify Pitchers - Hughes vs Mosley

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

Sports Gambling Hotline

Tonight we will ride the Diamondbacks as they come back home to face the struggling Brewers. Milwaukee coughed up a 5-0 lead yesterday, losing 7-6 despite homers from Hardy, Hall, Braun, and Fielder! This Milwaukee team is full of self-doubt, and starter Gallardo is among the leaders right now in that self-doubt, as his last 2 starts show a bloated 18 runs and 21 hits in under 10 innings of work for an 0-2 mark! Arizona will counter with the steady Doug Davis who has really found his groove, as he has won his last 3 starts, and is 5-0 his last 7 trips to the hill - Arizona winning all 7 of those starts! With Milwaukee having lost 6 of their last 7, and sporting a 23-36 road record, we must side with the Diamondbacks and their 37-23 mark at Chase Field. Play on Arizona.

4♦ ARIZONA

[PlayMaker]

RJ MILLER

National Football League:
BEARS -3.0 +112 at Colts

Major League Baseball:
DIAMONDBACKS -123 over Brewers (Davis-Gallardo)

Comment:
BEARS -3.0 +112 at Colts
We like the Bears partly because of the Colts' lack of intensity. The Colts appear to be still basking in their Super Bowl victory. They seem to have a lack of urgency, all the way from head coach Tony Dungy to quarterback Peyton Manning to their front office to many of last year's starting players. Meanwhile, the Bears have been working hard, especially honing their defense to be less re-active and more aggressive. Watch for the Bears' defense to attack with more blitzes in this game than you might expect....And especially remember that the Colts whupped the Bears in their last meeting....The Bears figure to have more desire, more need to win this game.

DIAMONDBACKS -123 over Brewers (Davis-Gallardo)
We see Davis with somewhat better current stats than Gallardo, and the Diamondbacks have somewhat better batting stats than the Brewers. Add home field advantage to the mix and we have to think the Diamondbacks should have more than a 60% chance of winning this game. We'd lay as much as -125 with Arizona, but we think that's probably all it's worth.

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

Bobby Maxwell

Back on Tuesday we gave out Scott Kazmir (9-7, 3.44 ERA) and Tampa Bay and he shut out the Red Sox for six innings, but two ninth-inning runs gave Boston the victory and took away Kazmir's win. The D'Rays have won five of Kazmir's last seven starts and he's only allowed five earned runs in those seven outings. He's faced the Red Sox three times this season and blanked them the last two starts and for the season he's allowed three runs over 18 innings of work against Boston. For his career, Tampa Bay is 4-0 against the Red Sox when Kazmir starts against them at home. Knuckleballer Tim Wakefield (14-10, 4.55) is on the hill for Boston and he's just 5-6 on the road this season. In his last road start he gave up seven runs on seven hits in four innings of a 10-4 loss in Los Angeles. Let's play Kazmir and the D'Rays in this matchup to finish the job. Play Tampa Bay.

3♦ TAMPA BAY

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

Karl Garrett

Tonight I have a nice dog play for you, as I like Texas to shake off yesterday's K-fest at the Metrodome and get something going against a pitcher they have owned in Daniel Cabrera. The Rangers fanned 17 times against Johan Santana, and 2 more times in the 9th inning against Joe Nathan yesterday, but I expect them to have better results against Cabrera whose command of the strike-zone is sometimes lacking. Cabrera did shut down the Yankees his last start, but he also walked 6 in that win! He has lost his last 3 starts against Texas, including one already in July when Texas was able to take 2 of the first 3 series meetings. The Rangers have been tough on the Orioles, as Texas is 5-3 at Camden Yards the last 2 season's, and are an overall 14-8 against the O's since the '05 season. Vincente Padilla's first start back in the rotation didn't last long, but it was an encouraging 5 shutout innings over Kansas City in a no decision. I like the Rangers to pull the dog win tonight against the Orioles as I see Cabrera being just a little bit wild.

2♦ TEXAS

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

Matt Rivers

For Monday take the Angels plus money at home.

The Yankees have been thee single best team since the All-Star break and are blowing up right now making the Red Sox shake in their boots but if there is one thing you know about Joe Torre's Bombers it's that they never ever win in Anaheim. I don't know what it is but the Angels just have something over the New Yorkers when out West. I obviously do not trust Dustin Moseley and he certainly does not have the upside of a young stud like Philip Hughes but somehow someway like usual I fully expect Vlad and company to prevail in this game as they did a few times in Fenway in that last series. Arod, Jeter, Posada and the rest of the Yankees are the better overall team but they have been pretty much all the time in this situation and still lose game after game at the Big A. Mike Scioscia's team is not the most gifted offensively and their bullpen has shown a little wear and tear of late but history normally repeats itself and at this home dog stature I'll take my chances on the Angels.

L.A. ANGELS

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

Jimmy The Moose

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies
Aug 20 2007 9:05PM

Prediction: over

Reason: The over is a profitable 20-7 in Pittsburgh's last 27 games. In their last 17 road games the over is 12-5. In their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter the over is 13-3. Matt Morris is on the mound and the over is 3-0 in his 3 starts as a Pirate. The over is 11-4 in the Rockies last 15 home games as a favorite. The over is 24-8-1 in their last 33 home games vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 10-5 in their last 15 games overall. Play the over

[PlayMaker]

Big Al Mcmordie - Private Players Club

Championship Club - Angels
Blue Chip - Rockies
Linemovers - Braves
Offshore Steam - Colts

[PlayMaker]

Lenny Del Genio's Oddsmaker's Blowout (18-3 run his L/21 in MLB!)
Play on the Rockies at 9:05 ET. Pittsburgh may have the NL's worst record at 52-70 but it has won three of its last four, averaging 9.3 runs and batting .340 during that span. The Pirates have rallied from deficits of four or more runs in each of their last three wins, including twice over the weekend against Philadelphia. The Pirates lead the majors with 129 runs in August."They open a four-game series tonight in Coors Field, where they'll face rookie Ubaldo Jimenez, who is 2-2 with a 5.28 ERA in six starts. However, he is coming off his best career start after holding the Padres to just one hit over six innings in a 3-0 victory last Wednesday. He walked two, while striking out a career-high nine! Colorado kicks off a seven-game set at Coors Field (Nationals are up next, where it is 21-6 at home since June 6. The Rockies are 25-14 (plus-$1,015) versus right-handers here at home, averaging 6.1 rpg. That bodes well, as the Pirates will send struggling righty Matt Morris (7-8, 4.65) to the mound. Morris is 0-1 with a 6.87 ERA in three starts for Pittsburgh since being acquired from San Francisco on July 31. The right-hander gave up five runs and seven hits over six innings in a 10-8 defeat to the New York Mets on Wednesday. Morris fell to 0-5 with a 7.63 ERA and .372 opponent batting average in 11 starts since beating Toronto 4-3 on June 11 (teams are 2-9). In 12 career starts versus the Rockies, Morris is 5-5 with a 5.17 ERA and looks to avoid losing his third straight start to them. Colorado is my Oddsmaker's Blowout.