View Full Version : Tuesday FREE Service Plays
Volmania
08-21-2007, 06:07 AM
Lets see what you've got today.
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-21-2007, 12:36 PM
Steam Sports
FREE PLAY: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Devil Rays
Take the Red Sox with lefty Lester.
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-21-2007, 12:36 PM
Jim Feist.
My free pick of the day is the game between (929) NY Yankees and (930) LA Angels. Take "(930) LA Angels". The Yankees are a long way from home. They also go with their most struggling pitcher in 38-year old Mike Mussina and his 4.76 ERA. The Angels are 7-0 at home their last 7 games against righty starters, and 9-2 the last 11 games. Overall, the Angels are 40-17 at home! Ace Kelvim Escobar has been outstanding at 13-6 with a 2.68 ERA. He's ready for the stretch drive with a sizzling 1.35 ERA the last 3 starts. Play the Angels!
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-21-2007, 12:37 PM
Dave Cokin.
My free pick of the day is the game between (915) CHI Cubs and (916) SF Giants. Take "(915) CHI Cubs". It's a half price Under the Hat Tuesday from Dave. Just go to his Pure Gold Club and receive tonight's Mariners-Twins side for only $25. That's 50% off the regular price!..."The Cubs dropped the finale of their set with the Cardinals and lost sole possession of the NL Central lead in the process. But I like their chances of getting their series in San Francisco off to a good start. There's no question the Giants can be tough here with rookie sensation Tim Lincecum throwing. But the innings are mounting up for Lincecum and he's been a little less effective with his command recently. Jason Marquis is 3-0 lifetime against the Giants and I feel he's worth backing here at the underdog odds."
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-21-2007, 12:37 PM
CAppersaccess
(Tue) MLB D'Backs Brewers 120 Brewers
(Tue) MLB Angels Yankees 125 Angels
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-21-2007, 12:37 PM
Marc Lawrence
Washington Nationals vs. Houston Astros
Play On: Houston w/Rodriguez
Note: Astros send steady Wandy Rodriguez to the hill against the Nats tonight knowing he is 4-0 in his MLB career team starts against Washington. He's also cashed 9 of his 12 team starts at home this season, where he owns a sparkling 1.65 ERA. With Joel Hanrahan in miserable current form we'll stay at home with Houston and Rodriguez this evening.
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-21-2007, 12:37 PM
Big Al McMordie
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Kansas City/Chicago White Sox game. Righthander Leo Nunez will get the start for KC, and he's been brilliant this season. In five appearances, he has a 1.96 ERA and he's given up just 17 hits in 23 innings. Nunez will be opposed by veteran Javier Vazquez, who's been solid for the Chisox this season. His ERA is a respectable 3.74 and he's won 10 games (against just six losses) for the light-hitting White Sox. Vazquez also excels vs. Kansas City, as he has a 2.95 career ERA vs. the Royals. And Nunez' ERA vs. Chicago is a super 1.50. The Royals have gone 'under' the total in 10 of their last 12 games, and we'll look for another low-scoring game on Tuesday night. Good luck, as always, Al McMordie.
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-21-2007, 12:38 PM
Vegas Experts
Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies
Tuesday, August 21st, 9:05 P.M. EDT
Armas shows a 7.38 ERA in 10 starts and Dessens a 7.32 in 13 appearances. PITTSBURGH is 33-22 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record this season. COLORADO is 34-17 OVER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons and 11-2 OVER in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Play on: Over
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-21-2007, 12:38 PM
Sports Gambling Hotline
NY Yankees at LA ANGELS (-125)
The New York Yankees just can't seem to beat the Los Angeles Angels, and we don't think they will be able to beat them tonight in Anaheim. The Halos extra-inning win last night over the Bombers put them at 5-2 in this year's season series against New York, and 17-10 overal since the 2005 season versus the Yanks.
The Angels are also 8-3 at home the last 2-plus seasons against New York, and we all know how deadly the Halos have been at home in general this season, as last night's victory moved them to 41-17 in their home ball park.
Mike Mussina will look to cool off the Angels, but the Moose hasn't been loose, as he was rocked by Detroit in his last start, and can claim no better than an 8-8 mark for the year.
Ervin Santana is having a career year at 13-6, and his ERA is a slim 2.68. Included is a win over the Yanks back in May when he worked 7 innings of 1-run ball at Yankee Stadium.
This is a dirt-cheap price on the Angels, and we will not pass it up.
Play on the Halos.
5♦ ANGELS
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-21-2007, 12:39 PM
Bobby Maxwell
N.Y. Yankees at L.A. ANGELS (-125)
The Angels are 41-17 at home and 5-2 against the Yankees this season.
Kelvim Escobar (13-6, 2.68 ERA) is on the hill for Los Angeles today as he battles the Yankees' Mike Mussina (8-8, 4.76). Escobar has made eight quality starts allowing just 10 earned runs over 57 2/3 innings.
The Angels are 16-7 in Escobar's 23 starts and 9-3 at home where Escobar is 7-3 with a 2.07 ERA. Back on May 26 he dominated the Yankees, allowing just one run on six hits over seven innings of a 3-1 victory. The Angels have won three of his last four starts against New York.
Mussina was drilled byt he Tigers on Thursday when he gave up seven runs in five innings of an 8-5 home loss to Detroit. For his career, Mussina has a 3.43 ERA in 30 starts against the Angels.
Let's play the red-hot home team in the Angels today. Escobar will deliver in front of the home fans and Los Angeles will get this one.
2♦ L.A. ANGELS
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-21-2007, 12:39 PM
Karl Garrett
Cleveland (-140) at DETROIT
Tonight a big showdown in the Central Division, and I will lay the road juice with Carmona and the Tribe.
Cleveland got healthy on lowly Tampa over the weekend, while Detroit struggled against the Yankees. The Tigers will have Zumaya back, but it may not be enough, as the Indians have held the upperhand in this year's season series, as the Tribe is 4-2 in games played in the Motor City this year.
Same pitching matchup as 6-days ago when Carmona and Jurrjens had at it. Jurrjens took the loss, as he allowed 4 runs in his 7 innings of work. Not too bad for a debut, but Carmona was simply electric once again, as Fausto went 8 strong and allowed only 1 run in the win.
Carmona is 3-0 his last 4 starts against Detroit, and in 2 of the wins he has allowed 1 run, while he allowed 3 runs in the other victory.
I just don't see a rookie outdueling Carmona at this time of the year, so I am going to lay the road lumber and take the Indians to keep their hold on 1st place in the Central with the win tonight.
3♦ CLEVELAND
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-21-2007, 12:39 PM
Michael Cannon
San Diego (+105) at NEW YORK METS
Take the Padres as the small road dog for the win tonight over the Mets.
I know San Diego hasn't enjoyed much success at Shea, but with Chris Young starting tonight I like them to get it done with the win.
Young is 5-1 with a 1.28 ERA in 14 starts since May 18. He threw six shutout innings against the Rockies on Wednesday, but didn't receive a decision as the Padres fell, 3-0.
He should get some offensive help tonight with John Maine getting the start. The right-hander is just 1-2 with a 10.38 ERA over his last three starts.
Take the Padres as the small road dog for the win.
3♦ SAN DIEGO
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-21-2007, 12:40 PM
Wolkosky Milan
ON FIRE!!!
4-1 Friday!
3-1 Saturday!
3-0 Sunday!
3-1 Monday!
Again 10* plays only:
10* MIL/AZ OVER (MLB)
10* OAK/TOR UNDER (MLB)
10* GIANTS (MLB)
10* ASTROS (MLB)
Free: SD/NYM UNDER (NFL)
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-21-2007, 12:40 PM
SCI Sports
3-0 Friday
2-1 Saturday with the Brewers RL
2-1 Sunday with the Orioles RL
2-1 Monday
MAC SCI - PIT/COL u11½
JON REIL SCI - A's -107
(Haren, McGowan)
TUL SCI - Rockies -1½ +145
(Armas, Dessens)
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-21-2007, 12:40 PM
Ben Burns
GAME OF THE YEAR(12-2-1 L15 GOYs!)
HOUSTON ASTROS
I'm laying the price with HOUSTON. Hanrahan has been decent in limited starts for the Nationals. However, he hasn't made it past the fifth inning yet and he took his first loss in his last start. Its worth noting that Hanrahan struggled with his control for the second straight start. After allowing four walks (2 K's) in 5 1/3 innings at San Francisco, he allowed another four walks in five innings vs. Philadelphia. In fact, over the five innings, he threw a whopping 50 pitches which were called *****. That's not going to get it done in Wandy's house. Not when the Nationals have the worst offense in the majors. I say "Wandy's house" because Rodriguez is 6-2 with an awesome 1.65 ERA in 12 home starts, holding opposing hitters to a mere .200 batting average. Despite a hard-luck loss in his last start here, the Astros remain an outstanding 9-2 in the last 11 of those starts. They're also a perfect 4-0 in Rodriguez's four career starts against the Nationals, winning those games by a combined score of 26-14. The Astros are still 5-2 the last seven times that they were a host in this series. They haven't abandoned thoughts of the playoffs quite yet but absolutely cannot afford to keep losing home games to the likes of Washington. Behind another big game from Rodriguez, look for them to bounce back in a big way this evening, dropping the Nationals to 0-4 their last four games against southpaws. *Game of the Year
Ben Burns
AL Game of the Week
CLEVELAND INDIANS
I'm laying the price with CLEVELAND. Pitching matchup certainly favors the Indians here. These same pitchers faced each other last week and Carmona and the Indians won 5-2. That was first big league start for Jair Jurrjens of the Netherlands and he allowed four runs for a 5.14 ERA. Now he has the misfortune of facing the very same team for his second start. Carmona was dominant in that game as he allowed only four hits and one run while striking out 10 through eight complete innings. He is now 14-7 with a highly respectable 3.16 ERA for the season. He has also allowed three earned runs or less in eight of his last nine starts. During that stretch he has allowed a mere 14 earned runs in 63 1/3 innings. That's a 1.99 ERA since the beginning of July! Including last week's victory, the Indians are a perfect 3-0 when Carmona has started the Tigers this season. That includes a 5-3 win here back in May. Carmona also defeated the Tigers 7-2 here last season. Look for the Indians' ace to outpitch the rookie once again as the Indians grab Game 1 and improve to 5-2 their last seven games here and 10-6 the last 16 in the series overall. *A.L. Game of the Week
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-21-2007, 12:41 PM
Michael Cannon Money Train
Tuesday's Plays...
15 Dime
PHILLIES (With Tomko and Kendrick as listed pitchers)
Take the Phillies as the home chalk for the win over the Dodgers.
I know this is a pretty hefty price, but it shouldn’t be a problem because I don’t see the Dodgers winning this game.
Los Angeles will start Brett Tomko, who has had a miserable year. The right-hander is 2-10 with a 5.67 ERA and hasn’t won since July 15. He’s 0-3 with a 5.14 ERA in his last five starts and gave up five runs and six hits in just five innings of a 7-4 loss to Houston on Tuesday.
The Dodgers as a team have been struggling away from home, losing eight of their last 11 road games.
The Phillies should feast on Tomko, particularly Jimmy Rollins and Ryan Howard. Rollins is batting .538 (7-for-13) lifetime against Tomko, while Howard is 4-for-5 with a homer and a double in his career against the right-hander.
On top of that, Kyle Kendrick will start for Philadelphia and he has sparkled at Citizens Bank Park, where he’s 4-0 with a 3.18 ERA in seven games this year.
Take the Phillies as the home chalk as they grab the win.
5 Dime –
A’s (With Haren as listed pitcher)
Take the A’s for the road win over the Blue Jays.
Oakland has been on a hot streak, winning six of their last eight games, and will send their ace to the mound tonight.
Dan Haren, who is 13-4 with a 2.54 ERA on the year, should pick up right where Joe Blanton left off last night. The right-hander has held the opposition to three earned runs or fewer in eight straight starts.
Toronto will counter with Dustin McGowan and the right-hander is coming off back-to-back losses in his last two starts.
I’ll gladly side with the hotter team and better pitcher tonight.
Take the A’s for the win.
INDIANS (With Carmona and Jurrjens as listed pitchers)
Take the Indians as the heavy road favorite tonight over the Tigers.
Fausto Carmona will make his second straight start against rookie Jair Jurrjens. Carmona was dominant in the Tribe’s 5-2 win last Wednesday, striking out a career-high 10 and allowing just two runs on four hits over eight innings. The right-hander has won both of his career starts in Detroit.
The Tigers are coming off a humbling series against the Yankees, where they were outscored 20-6 in losing the final three games of a four-game set in the Bronx.
Jurrjens couldn’t hang with Carmona in their last meeting and I don’t see him doing it tonight either.
Take the Tribe for the road win.
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-21-2007, 12:41 PM
Jimmy The Moose
Game: Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks Aug 21 2007 9:40PM
Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks
Reason: Heading into last night's the game the Brewers had lost 7 of their last 9 road games. In their last 33 games as a dog they are 9-24. In their last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter they are 7-20. The Brewers are 5-11 in Bush's last 16 road starts. In his last 8 road starts as a dog the Brewers are 2-8. Arizona is 21-6 in their last 27 games. In their last 28 games as a home favorite they are a money making 20-8. In their last 57 games as a favorite they are 40-17. The D'Backs are 4-1 in Hernandez's last 5 home starts. In his last 7 as a favorite Arizona is 5-2. Play on the Diamondbacks
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-21-2007, 12:42 PM
SCOTT DELANEY
OVER in the Rangers (Padilla) at Orioles (Cabrera) - (carryover from Monday's rainout)
Where should I start with this one?
Forget the fact Texas has stayed low in nine of its last 10, and Baltimore has done the same in three straight, this one goes over because of the hurlers we have on the mound tonight.
Texas has stayed over in seven of Vicente Padilla's eight road starts this season, as he brings an ERA of 9.00 when he toes the rubber with a travel bag under his arm. Out of the other dugout, the O's are 11-3 over when Daniel Cabrera is starting at Camden Yards.
The over is also 13-3-1 in Padilla's last 17 starts, while the total has been high in seven of the last nine times Cabrera has faced a team from the American League West.
Going back even further, the over is 19-7 in Cabrera's last 26 home starts.
5♦ OVER
North Coast Triple Crown Sports
5* Arizona w/ hernandes
4* Nationals/ Houston Under the Total w/ pitchers
3* Pitts w/ Armas
3* Seattle/ Minny Under the total 8x with pitchers
NorthCoast master Sports
5* Under Yankees w/ pitchers
4 * Cleveland w/ carmona
4* Boston w/ lester
3 * SF w/ Linecum
Gator
Gator's MLB 70% Situational Report:
MLB (Tuesday): Play Against MLB (NL) road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better facing an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 this year.
(42-7 since 1997.) (85.7%) PLAY: Houston -140
EZ Winners
EZ Winners
2 STAR: (901) WASHINGTON (+$136) over Houston
(Listing Hanrahan only)
(Risking $200 to win $272)
Wandi has been great at home this season, but can you really trust the Astros offense to lay this kind of juice? The Nats have owned Houston this season winning six out of the last seven games and send their rookie pitcher Joel Hanrahan to the mound tonight. Hanrahan will be making his fourth career start and has allowed 3 runs or less in his previous three starts. He also struck out a career high eight batters, including Ryan Howard three times in his last start. The Astros are notorious for struggling against a pitcher they are seeing for the first time.
2 STAR: (913) MILWAUKEE (+$103) over Arizona
(Listing Bush only)
(Risking $200 to win $206)
Something tells me that the Brewers might pull it back together, at least for this series. Milwaukee's bats came to life yesterday, and I look for it to continue tonight. The Brewers are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings with Arizona and Dave Bush in 3-0 lifetime against the Snakes. Larry Vanover will be calling the balls and strikes tonight and Arizona is 1-5 the last six times he has called their games.
2 STAR: (922) DETROIT (+$123) over Cleveland
(Action)
(Risking $200 to win $246)
I hate to go against Carmona, but the Indians bats don't always give him run support when he's on the mound. Detroit is 5-2 in the last seven meetings with the Indians and Cleveland is only 2-5 in their last seven games as a favorite of -150 or less. The Tigers are also 6-1 the last seven times they have been a home underdog of +$150 or less.
The Sports Firm
$3750 Baseball Club
MLB: New York Yankees at Anaheim Angels - Angels -130
Wunderdog
Game: Seattle at Minnesota (8:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Seattle +104
We cashed on Seattle last night at +146. We'll back them as a dog (albeit smaller one) again tonight. They've now won four straight, 10 of 13 and 16 of their last 22 games. Jarrod Washburn has been excellent on the road this season (3.63 ERA) and better than Scott Baker overall. Washburn has a career 3.33 ERA vs. the Twins. The Mariners are averaging 5.7 runs per game their last seven and they are above .500 on the road. Their bullpen is about as good as it gets. Minnesota's offense is horrible (4.1 per game at home). Despite a .500 record, they have lost money for bettors this season as they continue to be overvalued. Seattle is a team that can get on rolls. They are 19-10 following wins by 4+ runs and 16-8 after scoring 8+ runs this season. We'll ride their momentum again here.
Great Lake Sports
4* Houston
RED DOG SPORTS
32-15 since starting at N.C. Community Line
3* Wash./Houston under
Teddy Covers (6-0 run)
20* GOW Toronto
Regulars on Hst under, Col under.
Doc's Sports
5* Cleveland
4* Houston
4* La Angels
PlayMaker
08-21-2007, 04:02 PM
Larry Ness' Weekly Wipeout Winner (24-7 run since May 6 with Wipeout Winners!)My Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Bos Red Sox at 7:10 ET. The Red Sox beat Tampa Bay's "best" in Scott Kazmir last night (6-0). It will be much easier tonight, as they face Andy Sonnanstine. The fact that Sonnanstine (2-8, 6.17) looks to beat the Red Sox in back-to-back starts, should be even more of a motivating factor. The rookie right-hander took a shutout into the seventh inning and ended his personal eight-game losing streak Wednesday with a 6-5 victory at Fenway Park. He gave up three runs and four hits in 6.2 innings, winning for the first time since June 10 at Florida. However, let's remember that Tampa is 3-11 in his starts this year and Sonnanstine has yet to win at home going 0-4 with a 6.08 ERA in six starts (team is 1-5). Tampa is a pathetic 14-37 since the resumption of intraleague play and Boston has won eight of 10 from Tampa Bay this season, including three of four at Tropicana Field. Jon Lester (1-0, 5.14 ERA) has made five starts since his return to health, with Boston going 4-1. His best starts were his first at Cleveland (6 IP / 2 ERs) and his most recent outing, allowing two hits and one ER vs Tampa Bay (last Tuesday at Boston) in seven innings. The Red Sox are great vs right-handed starters on the road (26-13 / plus-$1,405) and Tampa is surely nothing special vs lefties, going 11-18 (including 6-10 at home). Weekly Wipeout winner on the Bos Red Sox.
Good Luck...Larry
Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider (current 4-0 run / 29-16 or 64% since May 21!)
My Las Vegas Insider is on the Hou Astros at 8:05 ET. The Nationals shut out the Astros last night 7-0. It ended Washington's four-game slide and as for Houston, the Astros were shut out for the fifth time this season, scoring three runs or fewer for the sixth consecutive game. I quote teams' moneyline records all the time and a Nats/Astros comparison is worth mentioning. Both teams have the EXACT same mark (56-69) but while the Nationals own MLB's third-best moneyline mark at plus-$1,316, the Astros have the majors' third-worst mark at minus-$1,434. That being said, this is just ONE game and Houston gets the BIG edge here. The Nationals will throw rookie Joel Hanrahan (2-1, 2.95 ERA) who will be making just his fifth career start. He's been effective so far but who really knows? Washington beat the pathetic Jason Jennings last night (Astros are 3-15, minus-$1,334 in his starts this year) but tonight must face Wandy Rodriguez. Rodriquez has been DREADFUL all season on the road (team is 2-10 in his 12 away starts with a 7.80 ERA) but almost unhittable at home. He's also made 12 home starts in '07, allowing just 58 hits in 81.2 innings while posting a 1.65 ERA (team is 9-3). Rodriguez has won four consecutive decisions at home, allowing one run or less in six consecutive starts there. He has not surrendered a home run in five straight home starts, covering 38 innings. Las Vegas Insider on the Hou Astros.
PlayMaker
08-21-2007, 04:02 PM
Larry Ness' 15* NL Game of the Week (15-2 since Aug 7 and 98-32 since Opening Day!)
My 15* play is on the Phi Phillies at 7:05 ET. The Dodgers and Phillies are unlikely to win their respective divisions but both teams are in the thick of the wild card race. The Dodgers have struggled on the road recently (lost eight of their last 11) and will play 16 of their next 19 away from Los Angeles. Brett Tomko (2-10, 5.67 ERA) will start the opening game of this three-game set in Philadelphia. He was regulated to the bullpen after a four-start stretch in May saw him post a 9.47 ERA. He returned to the rotation after the break (injuries forced the move) and pitched well in his first two outings (0.82 ERA). However, in his last four starts, his ERA is 6.55. That was why he was passed over last Sunday, as LA brought back Penny on just three days rest vs the Rockies. Tomko is 5-4 with a 5.21 ERA in 14 career games (13 starts) against Philadelphia. The Phillies will counter with Kyle Kendrick (5-3, 3.94), who once again seeks his first win this month. The rookie right-hander has a 3.66 ERA in August but has received only five runs of support in three starts and gone 0-2. In 12 starts this year, he's struggled in five road starts (5.10 ERA) but been very good in seven starts at home (4-0 with a 3.18 ERA, as the Phillies are 6-1). LA is just 19-24 vs right-handed starters on the road (averaging just 4.04 RPG), while the Phillies are 17-11 in night home games vs righties, averaging a healthy 5.9 RPG. NL Game of the Week 15* Phi Phillies.
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