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Volmania
08-21-2007, 05:59 PM
Gator's MLB 70% Situational Report:
MLB (Wednesday): Play Under MLB home teams when the total is 7 to 8.5 with a bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 on the season, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is <= 0.800 over his last 3 starts.
(48-19 last 5 seasons.) (71.6%) PLAY: Milwaukee / Arizona UNDER 8 (-110)
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-22-2007, 09:44 AM
Dave Cokin.
My free pick of the day is the game between (951) LA Dodgers and (952) PHI Phillies. Take "(952) PHI Phillies". Dave knocked out another winner with his featured Tuesday play on the Mariners. For Wednesday, get a Solid Gold winner on one of the NL games and find out about a great FREE bonus as well. Just $25!..."The Dodgers have Derek Lowe on the hill as they try to even up their series with the Phillies. But rookie JD Durbin has been pretty good for Philly and with LA just not playing good baseball, I see the home team as the right side for a second straight night."
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-22-2007, 09:44 AM
Jim Feist.
My free pick of the day is the game between (953) ATL Braves and (954) CIN Reds. Take "(954) CIN Reds". Two pitchers going in very different directions. Reds starter Bronson Arroyo has turned things around, with a 2-1 record and a 3.60 ERA his last three starts. He's also 3-1 in his career against the Braves. Atlanta starter Lance Cormier has been awful, with an 0-3 record and a 7.20 ERA his last three starts. Cincy is no easy place to pitch, and on the season Cormier has a 9.90 ERA. Play the Reds
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-22-2007, 09:45 AM
Bobby Maxwell
San Diego at N.Y. METS (+135)
We've got to go with the home team in this matchup as they rallied for a big win Tuesday night and will keep that momentum going tonight and get to the San Diego ace on the hill.
It's the Mets' Brian Lawrence (1-0, 5.06 ERA) going up his former teammates and Padres' ace Jake Peavy (13-5, 2.19) in this one. Yes, Peavy is the better pitcher but we like the New York offense and think Lawrence will have something to prove to his old mates tonight.
Lawrence has made just three starts in a Mets uniform and just one in front of the home crows, giving up two runs through six innings of a 4-3 loss to the Marlins on Aug. 10.
Peavy gave up just one run in his last start but the Padres lost to the Astros 3-1. Against New York, San Diego has lost the last three times he's started and the last time he pitched in Shea Stadium he gave up seven runs on seven hits in five innings of a 12-0 loss.
Another reason to play the Mets in this one - San Diego has lost seven straight in the Big Apple. The Padres haven't won in New York since 2004 and they're not going to break that streak tonight. Play the Mets.
2♦ N.Y. METS
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-22-2007, 09:45 AM
Michael Cannon
Milwaukee at ARIZONA (-1 1/2 RUN LINE)
Take the Diamondbacks on the run line tonight over the Brewers.
This is an easy call when you consider how dominant Brandon Webb has been pitching for the Diamonbacks.
The right-hander enters this contest having pitched 42 consecutive scoreless innings, just 17 innings short of the major league record set by Orel Hershiser of the Dodgers in 1988.
Webb has tossed three straight shutouts, the last a two-hitter over the Braves on Friday.
Jeff Suppan is scheduled to start for the Brewers and he is 0-3 in his last 10 starts since an 11-6 win over Kansas City on June 22. Even when he has had a good start the Brewers have failed to score for him, and I don't expect that trend to change tonight against Webb.
Take the Diamondbacks on the run line as Webb continues his mastery of the opposition.
3♦ ARIZONA -1 1/2 RUN LINE
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-22-2007, 09:45 AM
Jimmy the Moose
Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds
Wednesday, August 22nd, 7:10 P.M. EST EST
The over is 34-14 in the Braves last 48 games. In their last 35 starts vs. a right-handed starter the over is 26-8-1. In their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record the over is a profitable 8-3. Since Texeira was added to this lineup the offense has been clicking on all cylinders. In Cormier's last 7 starts the over is 5-1-1. On the year Cormier has an ERA of 9.90. In the Reds last 59 games the over is 38-18-3. The over is 11-1 in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning record. In their last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between the clubs in Cincy. Look for both team's to exchange runs in this high-scoring game.
Play on: Over
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-22-2007, 09:46 AM
Vegas Experts
Pittsburgh Pirates at Colorado Rockies
Wednesday, August 22nd, 9:05 P.M. EDT
Colorado improved to 36-24 at home with last night's win while the Bucs dropped to 24-35 on the road. In addition, PITTSBURGH is 20-53 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons while COLORADO is 24-17 against the money line vs. a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 this season and 48-38 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.
Play on: Colorado
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-22-2007, 09:46 AM
Mike Rose
Seattle Mariners (100)
Wed Aug 22 '07 1:10p
Seattle.....Minnesota? Offense....no offense? Hot, or colder than a wet noodle? These are the questions you have to ask yourself heading into the final game of this three game set between the Mariners and Twins. Throughout the first two games of this series, the M's have outscored the Twins by a 16-6 count and it doesn't look like their bats are going to fizzle out anytime soon. These guys are raking right handed pitching of late to the tune of a .310 batting average, and they've averaged six runs per game in their L/10 overall. Miguel Batista has been an innings eater for them all season long, and boasts a respectable 13-8 record to boot. Minnesota hasn't been able to put runs on the board for months now, and can you trust their offense enough right now to outscore the Mariners in this match-up? I sure don't!!! Even if the M's rest a couple of their big bats, I'm still confident in them enough to be able to exceed whatever the Twins are able to muster against Batista. Silva has had success against Seattle in his career. However, most of his wins were attained against a much different M's team than the one that will take the field this afternoon. It's quite simple people. Seattle is a contender for a playoff spot, while the Twins are a pretender. Grab the better team at plus money as they complete the sweep and head to Texas looking to add to their lofty run production.
Chicago Cubs @ San Francisco Giants u8.0 (-110)
Wed Aug 22 '07 10:10p
If you stayed up late enough last night, you were witness to one of the better comeback victories of this baseball season. The Cubbies were dominated by the Giants Tim Lincecum for 8 innings, and looked destined to fall by a 1-0 final count. However, lady luck jumped into the Cubbies bullpen in the top of the 9th as they rallied for 5 runs to shock the Pac bell crowd and take Game 1 of the series. Game 2 of the series pits a couple of lefties against one another as the Cubs Rich Hill squares off against the Giants Barry Zito. Hill bounced back from his massacre in Colorado and pitched a gem in Game 1 of their series against St. Louis last Friday afternoon. His stuff was electric as he only allowed 3 hits and 1 ER, while striking out 7 and issuing 2 free passes. Barry Zito is off a tremendous start as well, and maybe his best effort in a Giant uniform. He pitched 1-hit ball through seven innings and struck out 8 in the Giants 3-0 win over the Marlins last Friday night. Both these guys have faced each respective club this season, and each earned a very low scoring victory. I expect more of the same tonight as these two starters look to be on top of their game heading into this match-up. Neither club can hit lefties for a lick, so grab the 'Under' here in a game that has 2-1 or 3-2 written all over it.
CaPPiNg TiGeRz
08-22-2007, 09:47 AM
Hondo
August 22, 2007 -- Hondo posted a modest gain last night when he had the good splitter working as he hit with the Ti gers and missed with the Royals to put the number at an even-steven zero zernials.
Today, it's a triple-dip delight, or so he hopes, with Bannister, Byrd and Webb - 10 units apiece on the Royals, Indians and D'backs
Scott Spreitzer's MLB Non-Div. Knockout Game of the Month! 18-4, 82%
I'm laying the price with the Cardinals on Wednesday. The Marlins had the element of the unknown in their favor last night in rookie pitcher Daniel Barone. But after holding the Cards in check for much of the game, the Marlin relief staff, with a little help from poor fielding, got beat up for a four run eigth inning. Florida has now found a way to lose seven straight. Tonight, not only will they have to face a surging Cardinal squad again, but they'll also have to face a red-hot Albert Pujols. The Redbirds will start Braden Looper who owns a 3.54 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, and .244 BAA in 11 home starts this season. In fact, the Cards are 8-2 in his last 10 starts at Busch. Lefty Scott Olsen counters for the Fish. He's done nothing away from home, other than throwing gas on the fire. Look for the Cardinals to add to his visiting woes on Wednesday. St. Louis is my Knockout GOM.
Cappers Access
(Wed) MLB W. Sox Royals 105 Royals
(Wed) MLB Rockies Pirates 110 Rockies
Brandon Lang
WEDNESDAY
20 DIME
San Diego Padres - Specify Pitchers - Peavy vs Lawrence
10 DIME
D'Backs -1 1/2 Runs - Specify Pitchers - Suppan vs Webb
5 DIME
Royals - Specify Pitchers - Bannister vs Contreras
Twins - Specify Pitchers - Batista vs Silva
Rangers - Specify Pitchers - Gabbard vs Cabrera
Ben Burns Getaway Day Total of the Week
UNDER jays/a's
Game: Oakland Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays Game Time: 8/22/2007 12:35:00 PM Prediction: under Reason: I'm playing on the Jays and A's to finish UNDER the total. For starters, both teams have shown a strong tendency to play lower-scoring games during the afternoon. The A's have seen the UNDER go 26-16-3 when playing during the day this season. Meanwhile, the Jays have seen the UNDER go 24-15-1 when they've played during the day. Veteran Estaban Loiza gets the call for the visitors. Yes, it's Loaiza's season debut. However, he was 2-0 with a 2.93 ERA in four Triple-A rehab starts, throwing more than 100 pitches in two of those games. As a result, Oakland manager Bob Geren said Loaiza will NOT be on a pitch count. The last time that Loaiza faced the Jays, which coincidentally was exactly one year ago,. he tossed a complete game shutout, allowing only four hits while adding 7 K's and 0 walks. In fact, that was his second shutout in his last three starts vs. the Jays (3.41 ERA in 11 starts) and brought the UNDER to 9-2 in his 11 starts vs. Toronto. On this date last year, Burnett tossed a quality start in his lone performance against Oakland. That game also finished below the total. Burnett has been excellent in two starts (both UNDERS) since his return, allowing just three runs through nearly 14 innings. For the season, he is 4-1 with a stellar 2.79 ERA and 1.076 WHIP in seven home starts. Five of those seven games finished below the total and I expect today's to do the same. *Getaway Day Total of the Week
Ben Burns Getaway Day Game of the Week
TWINS
Game: Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins Game Time: 8/22/2007 1:10:00 PM Prediction: Minnesota Twins Reason: I'm playing on MINNESOTA. Batista has been solid for the Mariners this season and he's continued to pitch reasonably well lately. However, Batista's 1.640 WHIP on the road isn't very impressive and he hasn't been nearly as sharp at Silva recently. Silva comes off four straight strong outings, allowing two earned runs or less in all four games while pitching a minimum of seven complete innings each time out. During that 4-game stretch, he has 20 K's to just two walks. In his last start Silva held Texas to only five hits and one run. That followed an outstanding effort when he blanked the Angels for seven innings, allowing only two hits. He'll be backed by a motivated Minnesota lineup which has gone 22-18 (+4.5) in the afternoon this season and 75-67 the past three. During the same stretch, the Mariners who hit only .254 during the afternoon (.285 normally!) have gone a money-burning 65-75. Despite dropping the first two games of this series, the Twins remain a healthy 11-4 the last 15 times they hosted the Mariners. Look for them to cool off their guest and avoid the sweep. *Getaway Day Game of the Week
Ben Burns Personal Favorite
PADRES
Game: San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets Game Time: 8/22/2007 7:10:00 PM Prediction: San Diego Padres Reason: I'm laying the price with SAN DIEGO. The Padres desperately need a victory today and they should have a major advantage on the mound. Peavy allowed one run and four hits in seven innings in his last start, recording his sixth double-digit strikeout game. He is now 13-5 with an awesome 2.19 ERA for the season. Although the Padres lost, Peavy delivered a quality start (3 runs in 6 innings) when he faced the Mets last month and he's 3-2 with a solid 3.35 ERA against them for his career. Peavy has also been at his best away from Petco, going a perfect 7-0 with a miniscule 1.06 ERA and 0.872 WHIP in 10 road starts. Peavy is clearly a far better pitcher than his former teammate, Brian Lawrence. Lawrence has averaged only 5.3 innings in his three starts while recording an ugly 5.06 ERA And a 1.687 WHIP. Lawrence struggled with his control in his last start, allowing four walks and hitting a batter en route to giving up four runs in five innings of a 10-7 loss to Pittsburgh. Look for him to struggle again this evening as Peavy and the Padres bounce back and earn a much-needed victory. *Personal Favorite
charlie
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mlb. milwaukee @ arizona under 8 runs ( 500*)
mlb. detroit-155 (30*)
mlb. cincinnati-110 (20*)
mlb. san diego-140 (20*)
mlb. yankees-105 (10*)
mlb. cubs+105 (10*) free play
Wunderdog
Game: Kansas City at Chicago White Sox (2:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Kansas City +101
Jose Contreras was 9-0 at the All-Star break last season and then the wheels came off. After the All-Star break he was anything but an All-Star pitcher. He limped through the second half with a 4-9 record and an ERA of 5.40. Along the way he allowed 97 hits in 86 innings. The nightmare continues into this season, but it's actually gotten worse. He has worked 135 innings allowing 170 hits, and his ERA has swollen to 6.18. The White Sox now have a record of 11-27 in his last 38 starts. It is hard to imagine, but it has gotten worse as the season progresses, and the White Sox have gone just 2-13 in his last 15 starts! The opponents have scored 122 runs in those 15 starts, good for 8.1 runs per game. Brian Bannister has suddenly become the ace of this Royal staff and the Royals are 10-4 in his last 14 starts. He has become a true stopper, as he has stopped losing streaks of 3, 2, 3 and 7 games during this stretch. He is 6-2 in his last eight starts after the Royals have lost. The White Sox are just 2-8 in their last 10, have won just 29% of Contreras' starts since the second half of last year, and KC is winning 71% of Bannister's starts since he has emerged as a quality pitcher. We will ride the undervalued Royals here.
Ed Redmon
3* Tex
2* MIN
2* SD
California Sports
4* Houston Astros
4* Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER
The Sports Firm
$3750 Baseball Club
MLB: Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds - Over 11
Handicapper: Baseball Clubs
Tom Stryker
Tom Stryker's 4* MLB Grand Slam Game of the Year
#955 SAN DIEGO with Peavy (-144) over New York at 7:10 PM EST
New York took care of business against San Diego stud Chris Young last night in the Big Apple. Let's see how the Mets do against Padres ace Jake Peavy. Honestly, I don't feel NY can beat Young and Peavy back-to-back.
In his last three starts against the Astros, Reds and Cardinals, Peavy has pitched extremely well allowing only three earned runs, five walks and 14 hits in 19.2 innings of work. That breaks down to a sizzling 1.37 ERA and a WHIP of 0.966. Equally impressive, Jake's work on foreign soil has been awesome. In 10 road starts, the right-hander from Mobile, Alabama owns a perfect 7-0 record and has been scratched for just eight earned runs, 19 walks and 40 hits in 67.2 frames. That adds up to a sensational 1.06 ERA and a WHIP of 0.872.
New York's Brian Lawrence will be making his fourth appearance of the season. So far this year, Lawrence has pitched 16 innings and allowed nine earned runs, seven walks and 20 hits. His ERA of 5.06 and WHIP of 1.69 can't compare to Peavy's numbers at all! Without question, this is a classic pitching mismatch.
Back on July 17th, Jake faced New York at home and got rocked. Peavy allowed three earned runs and six hits in six frames. The Padres lost that contest 7-0! Talk about revenge! Of course, to help the cause, San Diego has posted wins in 14 of its last 17 games with Peavy on the mound provided the Padres enter off a straight up loss. Take San Diego with Peavy. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
JIMMYTHEGREEKPICKS
TODAYS SELECTIONS
800* Atlanta Braves Over 5 1/2
300* Oakland Athletics
500* L.A. Angels/New York Yankees Over 9
2-2-1 +300 FOR THE WEEK
Doc Sports
MLB:
3* Arizona -1.5 RL
3* KC Royals ML
3* Cleveland ML
3* Boston -1.5 RL
Big Al McMordie
Big Al's National League Total of the Week.
Date: Wednesday, August 22, 2007
$35.00 Guaranteed: Al McMordie had a disappointing day on Tuesday, as he lost a heartbreaker on his 5* play on Cleveland. For Wednesday, Big Al rebounds with his National League Total of the Week. Don't miss out...Hop on board right now.
BREWERS UNDER
CALIFORNIA SPORTS
4* Houston Astros
4* Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER
3* TEXAS
2* MINNESOTA
2* SAN DIEGO
Lenny Del Genio's 15* AL Game of the Week (12-1 run with 15* GOW plays!)
Play on the Tigers at 7:05 ET. The Tigers won last night 2-1 and pulled within a half-game of the Indians in the Central. Both teams have struggled since the break but Cleveland's offense has really become anemic as of late, averaging 3.3 rpg over its last eight games. They'll face Detroit's Justin Verlander who has seen the Tigers go 17-7 (plus-$838) in his starts this year (ranks 11th among all starters in MLB!), including an impressive 9-3 in his home starts. Verlander also owns a 2.25 ERA in three career home starts versus the Indians. Cleveland will counter with Paul Byrd who is 11-5 with a 4.41 ERA. However, Byrd relies on excellent command of his pitches, including a repertoire of off-speed pitches. He doesn't get a lot of strikeouts. He's the kind of pitcher the Tigers 'feast' on (5.40 ERA in two starts versus Detroit in '07), with the majors' 3rd-best team BA (.285) and 2nd-most runs scored (694). Detroit is my 15* AL Game of the Week.
Volmania
08-22-2007, 02:17 PM
charlie
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mlb. milwaukee @ arizona under 8 runs ( 500*)
mlb. detroit-155 (30*)
mlb. cincinnati-110 (20*)
mlb. san diego-140 (20*)
mlb. yankees-105 (10*)
mlb. cubs+105 (10*) free play
Wunderdog
Game: Kansas City at Chicago White Sox (2:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Kansas City +101
Jose Contreras was 9-0 at the All-Star break last season and then the wheels came off. After the All-Star break he was anything but an All-Star pitcher. He limped through the second half with a 4-9 record and an ERA of 5.40. Along the way he allowed 97 hits in 86 innings. The nightmare continues into this season, but it's actually gotten worse. He has worked 135 innings allowing 170 hits, and his ERA has swollen to 6.18. The White Sox now have a record of 11-27 in his last 38 starts. It is hard to imagine, but it has gotten worse as the season progresses, and the White Sox have gone just 2-13 in his last 15 starts! The opponents have scored 122 runs in those 15 starts, good for 8.1 runs per game. Brian Bannister has suddenly become the ace of this Royal staff and the Royals are 10-4 in his last 14 starts. He has become a true stopper, as he has stopped losing streaks of 3, 2, 3 and 7 games during this stretch. He is 6-2 in his last eight starts after the Royals have lost. The White Sox are just 2-8 in their last 10, have won just 29% of Contreras' starts since the second half of last year, and KC is winning 71% of Bannister's starts since he has emerged as a quality pitcher. We will ride the undervalued Royals here.
His 500 play is a gauranteed winer when you fade it. Its barley hitting 35% this year.
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