View Full Version : Sundays Free Service Plays
Brandon Lang
SUNDAY
15 DIME
Giants - Specify Pitchers - Zito vs Chico
5 DIME
Dodgers - Specify Pitchers - Billingsley vs Germano
Royals - Specify Pitchers - Bannister vs Bonser
free pick - Pittsburgh Pirates
Chuck Franklin
Sunday Plays:
1500♦ ATLANTA w/SMOLTZ over NY Mets w/Glavine
Go with the Braves with their veteran ace John Smoltz on the mound. Smoltz has a winning record of 12-6 on the season, a winning career record vs. the Mets and is 2-0 against them this season. Tom Glavine will start for the Mets, and he traditionally does not perform well against his former team, with a losing 3-11 career record vs. the Braves and 0-2 against them this season. Go Bravos!
1500♦ PHILADELPHIA w/EATON over Florida w/Olsen
Chalk up last night’s upset win by the Marlins over the Phillies as a fluke, because you can be sure the Phillies’ pride won’t let them lose two in a row to the lowly Marlins. The Phillies will start Adam Eaton, and his team has gotten the win in seven of his last nine outings on this much rest. Philadelphia has won six of their last seven overall, and should get another win today when they face the struggling Scott Olsen of the Marlins. Olsen is a losing 9-12 on the season and 0-3 in his last three trips to the mound. The Marlins have lost nine of their last 11 home games, and I expect them to get another loss today.
Always specify pitchers as listed
Mensapicks (1-0-0 / +100)
MLB - Philadelphia Over (10.5) (-120)
Ron Raymond’s Week 10 CFL Picks
Montreal 47.0 vs. B.C.Lions -3.5 (WIN)
Pick: B.C.Lions -3.5
Ron’s Comment: The injury bug has hit again in Lions land and Buck Pierce will be out a few more weeks with a shoulder injury and Jarious Jackson will get the nod vs. the Alouettes this Friday Night. The Lions are coming off a bye week and showed some guts in their 45-45 tie vs. Calgary in Week 8. The Lions still have all the tools in place with Pierce absent and Joe Smith is one of their top assets on offense. Although Montreal has won 4 in a row vs. below .500 opponents and their last 3 games have been at home. If this game was schedule in Week 2 or 3, the Lions would be a -7.0 point favorite here. I’m going to ride the Lions in a 7 point win vs. the Als.
ATSDatabase Tip: When ANY CFL Team played as Home team as a Favorite -After a division game - Coming off a 1 ATS win - Coming off a 1 game over - Coming off a game scored 40 points or more; The Home Fave is 15-1 SU in this spot.
Forecast: B.C.Lions 27 Montreal 20
Winnipeg 52.0 vs. Saskatchewan -5.0
Pick: Saskatchewan -5.0 (5* BEST BET)
Ron’s Comment: When you talk about “contenders and pretenders” in sports, I’m one of those guys who think the Winnipeg Blue Bombers are one of the biggest pretenders in the CFL. They win their games by opportunist mistakes from their opponents and their strength of schedule ratings is the worst in the league according to my chart. Let’s face it, they play in the weakest division in football and the Montreal Alouettes are a .500 team at best. As for the Roughriders, they own the best defense in the league and look for Corey Holmes to play a huge role for Kent Austin’s offense. Some players are just made for certain teams or systems and for whatever reason; Holmes could never get going in Hamilton. Plus, when you come from a losing organization, your confidence level gets lower each week. The Roughriders are coming off a 4 turnover game vs. Edmonton and I expect the Riders have addressed those issues during practice the last 2 weeks. On paper this might look like a good matchup, but I have the Green Riders beating up and exploiting the Blue Bombers by 15 points.
ATSDatabase Tip: When ANY CFL Team played as a Home team -Before a non division game -Before a non conference game - Coming off a Score 36 - 39 POINTS FOR in last game - Allowed scored 34 points or less against; The Home Team is 13-4-1 ATS and 17-1 SU.
Forecast: Saskatchewan 35 Winnipeg 20
Toronto -1.5 vs. Hamilton
Pick: None yet (but by the score it would be Toronto)
Ron’s Comment: When you’ve covered 62.5% of your ATS numbers in 8 games and have a 25% winning percentage, it means you’re doing something right, but you have some discipline or player personnel issues to address. The Argos are a good football team, their defense is amongst the tops in the CFL and I would stick with Rocky Butler at the helm, as he’s given your team some consistency and confidence it sorely lacks. As fore the Hamilton Tiger Cats, it’s plain and simple, they lack experience and good receivers. Jason Maas has no receivers on this team who can play in this league, as blunt as this will sound, you look at their receivers and there’s not 1 threat at this position. Once their brain trust can start seeing this and stop depending on Jesse Lumsden to rescue you each week, then you might go somewhere in the standings! Calgary released Marc Boerigter and Hamilton should have been his first phone call this week. Granted, the Tiger Cats have played the 2 second toughest schedule the first 9 weeks, but when you’re in last place, each week are tough!
ATSDatabase Tip: none.
Forecast: Toronto 27 Hamilton 16
Edmonton 54.0 vs. Calgary -6.0
Pick: Edmonton +6.0 Ron’s Comment: The Edmonton Eskimos are coming off a valiant effort in Week 8 vs. the Saskatchewan Roughriders, but still manage to score 32 points against the top defense in the league. The Eskimos have an SOS rating of 61.8% and 6 of their 8 games played this season were against teams with a .500 or more winning record. The Eskimos have the offense to compete in this league, they just need their defense to stop the aerial attacks and take some pressure off their offense. When you look at this Labour Day Classic on Monday, the Eskimos are a +6.0 point road underdog vs. a team who’s 3-4-1 on the season. How can a 3-4-1 team be a +6.0 point favorite vs. a team who has the top QB in the league in Ricky Ray? Call me stupid, but I’ll take my chances here with Ray at +6.0 vs. a Calgary team who doesn’t believe in using their top weapon on offense and that’s Jofferey Reynolds.
ATSDatabase Tip: When EDMONTON team played as Road team as a Underdog -Before a non division game - Coming off a game scored 34 points or less; The Eskimos are 9-4-0 ATS in this role.
Forecast: Edmonton 21 Calgary 19
Cappers Access
Sport Favorite Underdog Line Pick
(Sun) MLB Brewers Pirates 120 Brewers
(Sun) MLB Twins Royals 115 Twins
Big Al
Atlanta Braves (Smoltz) over NY Mets (Glavine)
trev Rogers:
1. Over--braves
Michael Cannon
Money Train...........
15 Dime
GIANTS
5 Dime
RED SOX -1- RUN LINE
TIGERS
Scott Spreitzer
Game: New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Sep 2 2007 1:05PM
Prediction: Atlanta Braves
Reason: I'm laying the price with the Braves and Smoltz over Glavine. The Mets have dropped four of the lefty's last six starts and he's been knocked all over the place in most of his 18 starts against ATL. Then, there's the afternoon factor. Glavine is pitching as though he's allergic to the sun. In five daytime starts this season, he's been smacked for an 8.42 ERA, 1.91 WHIP, and .351 BAA! Look for the Braves, behind Smoltz, to pound Glavine again. Atlanta avoids the sweep. Thanks! GL! Scott.
Big Al McMordie
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee
At 2:05pm our selection is on the Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers 'over' the total. The bottom has really fallen out for the Milwaukee Brewers. What started out as one of their most successful seasons in recent memory and a somewhat safe bet to make the postseason has turned into utter disappointment and what appears to be a .500 record by year's end or perhaps even worse. Although they still feature one of the best home records in baseball, Milwuakee has been floundering and getting crushed on the road. The good news is that most of their remaining games are being played in Milwaukee but the bad news is that they've fallen a game and a half behind the Cubs and also the Cardinals are winning games and gaining quickly. Pirates lefthander Tom Gorzellany gets great run support and eight of his last ten starts have gone over the total. Brewers righthanded starter Jeff Suppan has already started against the Pirates three times this season and each one of those games has gone 'over' as well. In fact these two have already played eight games in Milwaukee in 2007, and six of those games have gone a total of nine runs or more. The over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings of these two teams, and 7-2 in Milwaukee's last nine home games. Take the 'over'. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
Vegas Experts
Detroit Tigers at Oakland Athletics
Sunday, September 2nd, 4:05 P.M. EDT
Nate Robertson would likely not be in the rotation if the Tigers had anyone else. He shows a 5.21 ERA his last three starts and 6.21 on the road for the year. He is is 8-19 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) DETROIT is 20-37 against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons. OAKLAND is 66-48 against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
Play on: Oakland
Sports Gambling Hotline
Seattle at TORONTO (-150)
My how the mighty have fallen, as Seattle can't buy a win these days! Yesterday's 2-1 loss to the Jays makes it an 8-game losing streak for the Mariners who have a 3-game set with the Yankees starting on Monday.
Just can't back Seattle right now, as they appear to be snake-bit, and starter Jeff Weaver is coming off of 4 innings of 4 run ball against the Angels in his last start. Weaver had a nice little run prior to that start, but for the year he is just 6-10 with a 5.62 ERA.
AJ Burnett appears to be back in form, as his last 20 innings of work show 4 runs allowed for a 1-1 mark.
Toronto is 4-1 at home this year against Seattle, and 11-4 overall at the Rogers Centre versus the M's since the '05 season.
Go ahead and lay the lumber as the Mariners losing streak hits 9 in a row.
2♦ TORONTO
Chuck Franklin
San Francisco (-120) at WASHINGTON
I know the Giants have not had a terribly impressive season but they are on a nice run right now, winning seven of their last nine games. Tonight they will start lefty Barry Zito who is on a roll, with an ERA of 1.23 over his last three games. The Giants have won five of his last six starts vs. the NL East. Even on the road San Francisco is doing well, winning six of their last seven away from home.
The lowly Nationals will counter with Matt Chico, who is a losing 5-7 on the season. He is doing especially bad recently, at 0-1 in his last three starts with an ERA of 6.91 in those outings. The Nationals are 1-4 in Chico’s last five starts as the listed underdog. Washington is also 1-7 in their last eight overall, and after today’s game you can add another loss to that column. Take the Giants in this one.
3♦ GIANTS
Jim Feist
Take "(913) LA Dodgers"
Tight race in the NL West between the Padres and Diamondbacks, with the Dodgers still having hopes of gaining some ground. If the Dodgers have any hopes, they need to win these pivotal games. They turn to young Chad Billingsley today. The right-hander has been very solid since coming out of the bullpen, allowing more than three earned runs just once in his last six starts. In his one start this year against the Padres, Billingsley beat today's starter (Germano) with a nice seven inning performance where he gave up just three hits and no earned runs. Justin Germano has shown flashes of brilliance this season for the Padres, but he has been a bit inconsistent of late. The right-hander is just 3-5 at home this year with a 5.30 era. Billingsley shut this club down once this season and we look for him to do it again here on Sunday.
BIG AL'S PITCHING MISMATCH GAME OF THE MONTH.
At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Tigers over Oakland, as we will fade lefty Dallas Braden who is 0-7 in his last nine starts over the past 4+ months with an ERA north of seven runs per game. And, in Braden's last Major League start (on August 12) before being sent down to the Minors, he faced these Detroit Tigers and couldn't make it out of the 2nd inning. He gave up 8 runs in 1 2/3 innings in that game (an 11-6 loss) which is no surprise since Detroit murders lefties (24-13 with a batting avg of .304). Take the Tigers.
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