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[Volmania]

Week 2 is already here.

[Volmania]

Dr Bob college 3 Star Selection
***CINCINNATI 25 Oregon St. (-3.5) 19
04:45 PM Pacific, 06-Sep-07

Cincinnati coasted to an easy 59-3 win over lowly SE Missouri State last week and that cupcake of a first opponent should serve them well in this game, as I’m sure coach Brian Kelly spent plenty of time the last few weeks preparing for Oregon State rather than SE Missouri State. The Bearcats were a solid team last season, rating at 0.1 yards per play worse than average on offense and 0.5 yards per play better than average defensively and they’ll probably be about the same this season under Kelly. That Bearcats defense should be able to adequately defend an Oregon State attack that proved last week against Utah that they simply can’t throw the football. New quarterbacks Canfield and Moevao were both horrible last week against a sub-par Utah secondary, combining to go 12 for 30 passing for an average of only 3.9 yards per pass play and 2 picks. Oregon State’s top play maker WR Sammy Stroughter missed most of summer camp and did not play last week, but he is expected to play this week. I’m not sure either quarterback can get him the ball if he is open and it’s doubtful that the timing with between Stroughter and the quarterbacks will be right given how much time he’s missed. Running back Yvenson Bernard had a great game against the Utes, running for 165 yards at 5.7 ypr, but Bernard has averaged only 4.4 ypr in each of the last two seasons, so I doubt he’ll keep up that pace. The Beavers’ defense played well last week, allowing only 196 yards at 2.9 yards per play, but Utah was hindered in the second half after star quarterback Brian Johnson separated his shoulder late in the first half. Johnson had thrown for 119 yards on just 13 pass attempts before getting hurt (9.2 ypa), but backup Tommy Grady averaged just 2.5 ypa on his 24 pass attempts, so Oregon State’s defensive numbers are misleading. Oregon State did allow just 130 yards on 31 plays with Johnson in the game (4.2 yppl) which is still very good and the Beavers do have a good defense, but the Bearcats should muster enough offense to win this game given that they apply to a very strong 47-8-1 ATS subset of a 141-62-3 ATS home momentum situation and a 69-19-1 ATS non-conference home underdog situation. Oregon State, meanwhile, applies to a negative 30-80-2 ATS 1st road game situation. My ratings favor Oregon State by just 1 ½ points, so the line is more than fair and I’ll take Cincinnati in a 3-Star Best Bet at +3 points or more and for 2- Stars from +2 ½ points down to +1.

2 Star Selection
**Navy 23 RUTGERS (-16.5) 30
04:00 PM Pacific, 07-Sep-07
Rutgers dominated a pretty good Navy team last season, winning 34-0 as a 2 point do in Annapolis. However, that was the game in which Navy starting quarterback Brian Hampton was injured and inexperienced Kaipo-Noa Kaheaku-Enhada was forced into action running the option against a very good Scarlet Knights defense. Navy was held to negative passing yards after Hampton went out and the option was stopped dead in its tracks. Kaheaku-Enhada rebounded from that game and ended the season in fine fashion, so expect different results this year from the Middies’ offense. Navy ran for 5.8 yards per rushing play at Rutgers in 2005 against a good Scarlet Knights’ defense, so the option can work against Greg Schiano’s defense. Rutgers’ offense should also work well as the Knights’ good all-around attack should move the ball at a good rate against a mediocre Navy stop unit. However, my ratings only favor Rutgers by 14 points and the line on this game has gone up considerably from the opening number of 12 ½ points. The line value is nice, but the reason for the play is an 82-31 ATS game 2 situation and a 49-17-2 ATS game 2 situation that both apply to Navy. I certainly don’t mind going with a Navy squad that is 73-33-1 ATS in regular season games away from home, including 23-9 ATS under coach Johnson and 45-18 ATS as an underdog of more than 7 points. I’ll take Navy in a 2-Star Best Bet at +14 points or more and for 3-Stars at +17 points or more.

2 Star Selection
**Oregon 31 MICHIGAN (-8.0) 30
12:30 PM Pacific, 08-Sep-07
First off, Michigan’s loss to Appalachian State was not nearly the biggest upset ever – not even close. Appalachian State has won the Division 1AA Championship in each of the last two years and they rated at just better than an average Division 1A team last season. I would have made Michigan a 17 ½ point favorite last week and it’s not all that unlikely to have a 17 ½ point favorite lose straight up. I was a little upset about the upset loss since I was looking forward to playing against the overrated Wolverines. I had Michigan rated 19th in my ratings to start the season, so I knew there was going to be some value playing against them early on. The loss last week took away a lot of that value, which is too bad. However, there are still reasons to play against Michigan this week. Oregon, like Appalachian State, has a quick quarterback that can pass and run equally well in Dennis Dixon, and the Ducks have plenty of speed at the skill positions on offense too. That sort of speed gave Michigan trouble last week and it will probably give the Wolverines trouble again this week. However, Michigan’s offense looked as good as I figured it would look last week and they’ll be able to run the ball pretty easily against an Oregon defense that was 0.4 yards per rushing play worse than average last season and allowed 326 rushing yards at 6.8 yprp to Houston last week. That figure is actually not all that horrible given that Houston running back Anthony Alridge, who ran for 205 yards on 22 carries, has now run for 1161 yards on just 117 carries (9.9 ypr!!!) since last season and Houston has averaged 6.5 yprp since game 8 of last season when Alridge was moved from receiver to tailback. In other words, allowing 6.8 yprp to a team that has averaged 6.5 yprp over their last 8 games is not all that bad. Still, Michigan should run for about 6 ypr in this game. The good news for Ducks’ fans is that their pass defense has been 1.3 yards per pass play better than average in each of the last two seasons and should be just as good this year. More good news comes from the fact that Oregon’s offense, which I rate as better than Michigan’s offense, should move the ball well against an inexperienced Michigan defense that was shredded for 5.9 yppl last week. My ratings favor Michigan by 5 points in this game and Oregon applies to a solid 82-31 ATS game 2 non-conference underdog angle. People seem to might think that Michigan is due to bounce back strong after last week’s embarrassing loss (the line has gone up from -7 to -8), but you should think otherwise. Teams that lose their opening game at home as a favorite or in a game in which there was no line (most likely would have been favored in such games since no lined games are generally against Division 1AA teams) are just 20-39 ATS as a favorite in game 2. Also, teams that lose a game in which there was no line (once again, these are mostly against lesser teams) are only 30-62-2 ATS as a favorite or as a dog of 2 points or less the next week, including 8-38 ATS in the first 4 games of the season (1-22 ATS in early season non-conference games). I’ll take Oregon in a 2-Star Best Bet at +7 points or more and a Strong Opinion at +5 to +6 ½ points.

[Volmania]

2 Star Selection
**South Carolina 27 GEORGIA (-4.0) 24
02:45 PM Pacific, 08-Sep-07
My preseason ratings had South Carolina a few points better than Georgia, but the Bulldogs impressed me with their 35-14 win over a potent Oklahoma State team and it appears their inexperienced defense (just 3 returning starters) is just as good as last year’s strong unit (1.1 yards per play better than average). I had already figured that sophomore quarterback Matthew Stafford would be significantly better than he was as a freshman starter and he was as sharp as expected. Georgia’s rushing attack, however, took a major hit when last year’s leading rusher Kregg Lumpkin was injured after just 3 carries. The Bulldogs struggled to run the ball against a mediocre Oklahoma State run defense, averaging just 3.5 yards per rushing play on 45 runs. South Carolina’s weakness defensively is defending the run, which Georgia may not be able to take advantage of. The Gamecocks are solid defending the pass, but Georgia has an edge through the air and should move the ball pretty well in this game. South Carolina should also move the ball well with quarterback Blake Mitchell back from his one game suspension. Mitchell came back from an ankle injury late last season and it became obvious that he had finally learned the nuances of coach Steve Spurrier’s system. Mitchell averaged 8.3 yards per pass ply on 211 pass plays against a schedule of teams that would combine to allow just 5.6 yppp to an average quarterback. I don’t expect numbers quite that good without Sydney Rice to throw to this season, but Mitchell should be one of the best quarterbacks in the nation. My ratings favor Georgia by just 3 points and the South Carolina applies to a 95-43-1 ATS revenge situation and a solid 49-17-2 ATS game 2 situation. The Gamecocks were in look-ahead mode last week against lowly UL Lafayette, but they’ll bring the ‘A’ game today and I’ll take South Carolina in a 2-Star Best Bet at +4 points or more (a Strong Opinion at +3 ½ or +3).

2 Star Selection
**TULANE 24 Mississippi St. (-6.5) 23
04:00 PM Pacific, 08-Sep-07
Last week’s 0-45 home loss to LSU is not a good omen for Mississippi State this week. I know that Tulane is not LSU, but laying points on the road is a lot to ask of a team that was shutout in their opener and also lost at home as an 11 point favorite to the Green Wave last season. Mississippi State applies to a negative 3-20 ATS subset of a 30- 80-3 ATS game 2 situation while Tulane applies to a 69-19-1 ATS situation. Some people think that having a game under your belt is an advantage, but that just isn’t the case. Mississippi State has no film on Tulane’s new offensive and defensive schemes, while Bob Toledo and company have film to study. Supporting my claim is the fact that teams that lose their opening game are just 49-75-1 ATS in their next game against a team playing their first game of the season, including just 2-15 ATS as a road favorite. My ratings favor Miss State by 6 points, so the line is fair, and the situation is strongly in favor to Tulane. I’ll take Tulane in a 2-Star Best Bet at +6 points or more and for 3- Stars at +7 or more (Strong Opinion from +4 to +5 ½ points).

2 Star Selection
**Virginia Tech 17 LSU (-12.5) 20
06:15 PM Pacific, 08-Sep-07
It appears as if the week 1 results have influenced the line way to much in this game, as LSU probably would have been about a 6 or 7 point favorite prior to last week’s games being played. LSU started off the season on Thursday night and destroyed Mississippi State 45-0 on the road while Virginia Tech struggled at home against East Carolina before winning 17-7. LSU’s win was not all that impressive given that their offense only averaged 4.8 yards per play. The Tigers’ defense was certainly great, allowing just 2.6 yppl, but they’re not going to be +7 in turnover margin every week and the +2.2 yppl differential was about what was expected. Virginia Tech only out-gained ECU 4.3 yppl to 4.0 yppl but the emotions surrounding that game could have taken some of the Hokies’ focus away from their opponent. Virginia Tech’s offense struggled, but East Carolina has a good defense and we know that Virginia Tech’s offense isn’t any worse than last year’s mediocre unit given their 8 returning starters (including the quarterback and leading rusher). We also know that Virginia Tech’s defense was the best in the nation last year and is one of the top 3 units this season (along with USC and LSU). LSU’s offense struggled last week and new starting quarterback Matt Flynn is likely to struggle even more against Virginia Tech’s strong stop unit just as the Hokies are likely to struggle against LSU’s defense. In a battle between two great defensive teams taking the points looks like the way to go. My ratings only favor LSU by 8 ½ points after making adjustments based on last week’s games and taking strong defensive teams getting more than a touchdown is generally a good bet. Virginia Tech is 7-1 ATS as an underdog the last 6 seasons and 62% over 20 years while the Hokies are also 20-3 ATS in their last 23 regular season non-conference games when not favored by 25 points or more. In addition to the line value and team trends Virginia Tech also applies to a 41-12-2 ATS game 2 situation and I’ll take Virginia Tech in a 2-Star Best Bet at +10 points or more.

[Thor]

Chuck Franklin

College Football

1000* HAWAII
The Warriors of Hawaii have been very impressive in their most recent road games, winning their final three of last year by an average of almost 35 points per game. With this high performing offense they will come out strong in their first road game of the 2007 season just as strong. Especially since they are matching up against a Louisiana Tech team that was ranked 119th in total defense last year. The Bulldogs will crumble to the Warriors, who are coming off a blowout 63-6 win last week. Also keep in mind that La. Tech is on a 6-22 ATS run vs. a team with a winning record. Side with the Warriors on the road.

1500* NORTHWESTERN
The Wolf Pack are still licking their wounds from the beating they took from Nebraska last week. The Wildcats are riding the momentum of their shutout vs. Northeastern at home last week. Northwestern will play in front of the home crowd for the second week in a row, and plan to take advantage of their scheduling advantage against this Nevada team that is on the road for the second week in a row. The Wolf Pack are on a 2-9 ATS run as road dogs, and with the Wildcats anxious to avenge last year’s embarrassing loss to Nevada in Reno, it’s a good time to side with Northwestern here in Evanston.


1500* VANDERBILT
Vandy has a great shot to keep this one close, if they don’t win the game outright. They have 17 starters returning, and have covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 and each of their last five meetings with Alabama. The Commodores are also a good bet in the early part of the season, as they are on an 8-1 ATS run in September. The Crimson Tide is coming off a blowout win over a lowly Western Carolina team, but they shouldn’t get overconfident heading into this match-up with the Commodores. Don’t forget that the Tide was a very weak performer in SEC action last year, and doesn’t look to be much improved this season. Side with Vandy at home.


2000* UCLA
UCLA is on a 7-2 ATS run in September, and their offense is looking very impressive this year. In their victory over Stanford last week the Bruins amassed over 600 yards of total offense! This one will take place in front of the home fans at the Rose Bowl, where UCLA is riding a profitable 11-2 ATS record in their last 13 home openers. Contrast this with the difficulty BYU has had in their first road game of the year, on an 8-17 ATS run, and the choice is even more clear to side with the Bruins. One final note: BYU has covered only one of the last six meetings with UCLA, so go with the Bruins tonight.

[Thor]

Net Prophet

Wake Forest +8' over Nebraska
Vanderbilt +3' over Alabama
Oregon +7 over Michigan
South Carolina +4 over Georgia
South Carolina/Georgia UNDER 45
South Florida +7 over Auburn

[Thor]

LEXUS SPORTS / ACE

CFB

5 star Alabama
5 star Nebraska
4 star Tennessee
4 star Michigan
3 star Va tech
3 star Notre Dame

[Thor]

Psychic Sports Picks
By: Steve
1 unit Michigan -6.5
2 units Northwestern -10
2 units Alabama -3.5
2 units Mississippi +6
3 units Miami Fl +11
3 units South Carolina +3.5
3 units BYU +7

[Thor]

PPP

5% NORTHWESTERN (-9.5) over Nevada

3% KANSAS ST (-16.5) over San Jose

3% IOWA (-21.5) over Syracuse

[Thor]

Ben Burns'

EARLY (11:00am) Afternoon ANNIHILATOR!
Marshall


NonConference MAIN EVENT EARLY TV WINNER
Wake Forest


Conference GAME OF THE YEAR
Lousiana Tech

[cpolla]

Phil Steele's Private Play Hot Line
Early Bird Play Of The Week

Arizona State -14

[cpolla]

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Phil Steeles Power Plays

4* Nebraska
4* Oklahoma
4* Ohio St
4* Virginia
4* Alabama
4* Oregon
4* Washington
4* Texas A&M
4* Penn State
4* Arizona State
4* Maryland

[cpolla]

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Larry Ness' CFB Superstar Triple Play (3 blockbuster 15*s on ONE report!)-It's Back!
With the pain and humiliation of arguably the greatest upset loss in college football history still lingering, Michigan can't lick its wounds for long as it get right back to action in Saturday's non- conference bout with the visiting Oregon Ducks. The Wolverines opened the '07 season as the fifth-ranked team in the country and the odds-on favorite to win the Big Ten and challenge for the national title. Unfortunately, the good feelings surrounding the team ended in shocking fashion as the Wolverines were beaten at home by Appalachian State, the two-time defending Div I-AA national champions. The loss was the Wolverines' third in a row dating back to last season (have allowed 108 points!), snapped a seven-game home winning streak, was just the 14th in 106 home openers all-time and caused the team to tumble out of the Top-25 in the largest fall in the history of the AP poll. That's all "old news!" I'm not going to break down this game (like I typically do) but rather I'm just betting on a HUGE bounce-back effort from the Wolverines. I realize that Oregon's spread offense has the talent to give Michigan's defense fits but the Wolverines do have some pride! In QB Henne, RB Hart and WR Manningham, Michigan has as good an offensive trio as there is in the nation! Oregon ranked in the bottom half of the national rankings in terms of rush defense a year ago and it appears as if more of the same is in store for the Ducks in '07, as Houston exploited Oregon's run defense, shredding the Ducks for 315 yards on the ground, 205 of which were logged by tailback Anthony Aldridge. Defending the pass didn't result in anything more favorable, as the Cougars finished with 230 yards. Oregon won 48-27 with the help of four turnovers and a good performance by the offense against the defensively-challenged Cougars. Things will 'different' this Saturday, in "the Big House!" 15* Michigan.

[cpolla]

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larry ness
For the second time in as many games, BYU gets a crack at a member of the Pac-10. However, this week it's on the road at 13th-ranked UCLA, rather than at home vs Arizona (Wildcats are NOT the Bruins!). The Cougars extended the nation's second longest winning streak to 11 games by defeating Arizona, 20-7. As for the Bruins, they began their Pac-10 Conference schedule with a 45-17 thumping of Stanford on the road last week. BYU has a new QB in Max Hall, who converted 26-of-39 passes for 288 yards and two touchdowns in his first action at the collegiate level. However, he'll find this Bruin defense, the one that shut down USC in last year's regular-season finale, a tough nut to crack. Meanwhile, the BYU defense will not be able to slow UCLA's "new look" offense (under first-year OC Jay Norvell), which ran up 624 yards and 45 points on the road last Saturday. Former BYU recruit Ben Olson, who transferred to Westwood after his LDS mission, opened with a career-high five TD passes last week vs Stanford. Also, RB Kahlil Bell added a career-high of 195 yards on 19 carries! UCLA is 11-2 ATS in home openers and 5-0-1 ATS vs the MWC after taking care of Utah 31-10 at this site in '06. Meanwhile, BYU has struggled in road openers the last two decades (just 4-15) and is also just 6-12-1 away from Provo in non-conference games. 15* UCLA.

[cpolla]

Tom Stryker:
"Blowout"- NEBRASKA

[PlayMaker]

Larry Ness 25

N. Mexico St

Still looking for his 50 unit play today

[Thor]

Brandon Lang

25 DIME
UCLA

5 DIME
Oregon
Lsu
Washington
Washington St
Penn St

[Thor]

Charlie Sports

college football. ball state-3' ( 500*)
college football. miami fl+11 (30*)
college football. nevada+10 (20*)
college foootball. ohio state-28' (20*)
college football. nebraska-8' (10*)



Kelso

Best Bets

10 units Miami (Fl) +10.5

10 units Penn St -17.5

10 units VaTech +11

[PlayMaker]

Charlie Sports

college football. ball state-3' ( 500*)
college football. miami fl+11 (30*)
college football. nevada+10 (20*)
college foootball. ohio state-28' (20*)
college football. nebraska-8' (10*)



Kelso

Best Bets

10 units Miami (Fl) +10.5

10 units Penn St -17.5

10 units VaTech +11


For those not aware of Charlie. His 500 play is a SOLID fade.

[Thor]

Special K
20* S Carolina

[Thor]

Psychic Sports Picks

1 unit Michigan -6.5
2 units Northwestern -10
2 units Alabama -3.5
2 units Mississippi +6
3 units Miami Fl +11
3 units South Carolina +3.5
3 units BYU +7

[cpolla]

larry ness insider play

northwestern

[cpolla]

TOM SCOTT'S 5 STAR PERFECT SYSTEM PLAY 31-0!

Byu at UCLA- 6:30 PM EST

Play ON: UCLA minus the points

In addition to that perfect 31-0 angle, note that Ucla is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 home games and 14-2 SU at home in its last 16 non-conference games. That last stat is important because Byu is a pathetic 12-83-4 ATS in its last 99 SU losses. But angles and stats aside, this game is about the huge difference between Ucla's offensive speed and Byu's defensive speed. It's a simple question of how many times can the tortoise catch the hare when the hare is focused. Bruins roll in Pasadena

PREDICTION: UCLA 34 - Byu 17

[Thor]

Doc Sports

3 Unit Play. #20 Take Penn State -17 ½ over Notre Dame (Saturday 6:00 pm ESPN) We stated last week that Georgia Tech over Notre Dame might be the real gift of the weekend and Christmas it was, as the Irish were destroyed. Things will not get any better here, as Notre Dame will pay for that 41-17 win in South Bend last season. Reports are freshman QB Clausen will start and this is not the best spot for the youngster against a swarming defense. I predicted the Irish would lose their first four, loss No. 2 comes Saturday. Would pull more money out of my wallet, but the inflated line make me a bit cautious, but not enough to worry. Penn State 35, Notre Dame 10.

4 Unit Play. #43 Take South Carolina +4 ½ over Georgia (Saturday 5:45 pm ESPN 2) Big conference game with two of the heavyweight coaches in Richt and Spurrier. QB Mitchell should be back for the Gamecocks after being suspended for the opener. South Carolina has now lost five straight to the Bulldogs, but this is the best team that Spurrier has had to end this losing streak. Talent edge, motivation, plus getting points in what should be a low scoring affair, spells trouble. Gamecocks finally take this game by a field goal. South Carolina 20, Georgia 17.

5 Unit Play. #49 Take California -14 over Colorado State (Saturday 2:00 pm CSTV) Normally would not rate a game this high, since the favorite is playing on the road; however, the Bears are loaded with talent and have one of the top college coaches in the country. A college coach told me this week that this Bear team has as much speed as any team he has seen in the past ten years. What really caught my eye was their win over Tennessee was the balance. Cal rushed 37 times for 230 yards and completed 19 passes for 241 yards against a good Volunteer team. As I looked at this game, my first impression was letdown after such an emotional victory, but the letdown will occur by the Rams. CSU lost a tough game last weekend to Colorado and will not be able to bounce back in this affair. 14 points is tough to lay on the road, but have not doubts about this game, as California explodes against a weak club. Cal 42, Colorado St 14.

3 Unit Play. #59 Take South Florida +7 over Auburn (Saturday 9:00 pm ESPN 2) The Bulls toyed with Elon last week, but look for them to pull out all the stops this week. This team has scheduled difficult games the last couple of years and is accustomed to playing the big boys in hostile environments. The Bulls offensive line was injured and a couple were held out in the opener but most will be back for this contest. Last year’s 9-4 record was no fluke; they have the talent to play against anyone in the country. As I look at Auburn, not the team of the past couple of years. They have a questionable running attack, gaining only 62 yards in 37 carries last week. The defense is solid but will have to carry this team all season. There is no talent gap between the programs and will call the upset here. South Florida 21, Auburn 17.

4 Unit Play. #64 Take East Carolina -5 over North Carolina (Saturday 6:00 pm CSTV) The Pirates always get up for this in-state game, see no let up here. Coach Holtz has a good nucleus of players returning and put a good showing in a narrow loss to Virginia Tech. The Pirates held the Hokies ground game in check, as they could only muster 33 yards. The stats alone could spell trouble for North Carolina, as they managed only 14 first downs against James Madison. Coach Butch Davis may get the Tar Heels program turned around, but help has not arrived yet. The talent gap is bigger then the posted line and there is never a problem with a mid-major program getting up for facing a BCS team, especially when both teams lie in the same state. Homer gets the call. East Carolina 27, North Carolina 14.

6 Unit Play. #65 Take Troy +26 ½ over Florida (Saturday 6 pm ESPN Gameplan) Underdog Game of the Year. Spotted this one several weeks ago. Certainly respect Florida and Coach Meyer; however, this team has lost heavy to graduation and will show in the early going. Defense may be the real question mark on this team with only two starters back. The Trojans did have difficulty with Arkansas stopping the run; however, McFadden will not be lining up in the backfield against them. QB Haugabook is in his second year as a starter and he is able to run a wide open offense that utilizes his legs and his arm. The Trojans always get up to play SEC teams and as a 29-point underdog, they almost beat Florida State last year (lost 24-17). With Tennessee up next, young Gators take this one lightly and vision of Appalachian State/Michigan come to mind. A nail bitter for the Gators and an easy cash for us. Florida 28, Troy 21.

4 Unit Play. #104 Take UNLV +25 over Wisconsin (Saturday 10:00 pm Versus) Saw the Badgers play Washington State last week and was impressed, but not so impressed to give them the call here. Will make this statement and will be right, “Wisconsin is not the number 5 team in the country.” The passing attack looked good, but did not have to worry about the Cougar running attack and this is a team that can be run on. Can the Badgers be upset? Little chance of that, but feel line is much too steep and inflated since Bucky fans will be packing the sportsbooks in Vegas. Injuries hit the Rebels hard last year and much of their personnel is back this season. Nice win last week on the road in Logan (Utah State) and that will give them confidence for this home opener. The Rebels are much strong then in 2006 and the 95 degree heat will make it tough on Bucky, no lights out here, Badgers win, but no blowout. Wisconsin 35, UNLV 17.

4 Unit Play. #106 Take Washington State -14 over San Diego State (Saturday 7:00 pm) A big day in the state of Washington, when the Cougars and Huskies will both be playing games in Seattle. I was able to watch the Cougars in person last week against Wisconsin and their secondary looked overmatched, but the offense moved the ball and they appear to have a nice ball club. QB Brink should be able to exploit a young Aztec defense. In 2006, Washington State opened the season in Auburn and lost 40-14, yet rebounded the next week by beating Idaho 56-10. Defense steps up and Brink has a big day. Washington State 42, San Diego State 17.

4 Unit Play. #111 Take Philadelphia -3 over Green Bay (Sunday 1:00 pm Fox) Andy Reid makes his return to Green Bay, a place where he experienced great success under Mike Holmgren. He has owned the Packers of late, going 5-0 the last four years and outscoring them by 57 points in the latter three. The Eagles team is expected to repeat as NFC East Champions and has QB McNabb back in the saddle to open up the 2007 season. But the biggest edge lies at the running back position, as the Eagles can rely on Brian Westbrooke, whereas Green Bay does not have any running backs people have ever heard of. Philly won this game 31-9 in 2006 and I don’t see as lopsided in 2007 but I still see a comfortably win by the Eagles.

4 Unit Play. #122 Take Over 42 ½ in Carolina @ St. Louis (Sunday 1:00 pm Fox) Both of these teams are looking to get back into the playoffs after being absent in 2006 and both are loaded on the offensive side of the football. The Rams were sixth in the league in offense in 2006 and still have Steven Jackson, Tory Holt, and Marc Bulger. Carolina has always been able to move the football through the air. The Rams did not show anything during the NFLX season and were holding it all back for this affair. Expect them to come out big in the dome, as both teams reach the twenties in points and we will with the over.

4 Unit Play. #126 Take Oakland -2 over Detroit (Sunday 4:15 pm Fox) No surprisingly this game is not the feature game this weekend, but it should be a good match-up between two squads looking to improve after bad 2006 seasons. The main stat is this game is the road record of the Lions, 6-42 in their last 48 games. The Lions will be without their main running back in Kevin Jones and thus will have to live and die through the air, which does not bode well since QB Kinta committed 33 turnovers. Detroit loses this game and Oakland just capitalizes on their mistakes.

3 Unit Play. #136 Take San Francisco -3 over Arizona (Monday 10:15 pm ESPN) An important game for two improved teams in 2007 takes place on Monday night, as these two teams open the season for the second straight year. The Cardinals still have a bad defense and were burned by the passing game last year, ranking 30th in the NFL. The 49ers made some quiet signing during the off-season bringing in CB Clements and WR Jackson, both of whom are proven starters in the NFL. This will be a high scoring game in which the 49ers pull away late and win this affair

[Thor]

GOLD SHEET PHONE PICKS

1.5 Unit Kent State
1 Unit Colorado State
1 Unit Ucla
1 Unit Hawaii
1 Unit Virginia Tech
1 Unit Under The Total In South Carolina Vs Georgia











Gameday

4* UCLA

10-3 on 4's in 06

[PlayMaker]

Docs is supposed to have a GOY out today, ness still has a 50 lurking around somewhere.

[Thor]

POWER SWEEP NEWSLETTER (for Sat. only)

College 4* Key Selections : 65-45-2 last 9 years.

COLLEGE SELECTIONS

KEY SELECTIONS :

4* Miss State over Tulane (Forecast:M.St.24Tulane10)

3* Baylor over Rice (Forecast:Bay.30Rice16)

3* Florida State over UAB (Frcst:Fla.St.52UAB3)


OTHER SELECTIONS :

2* E.Michigan over Ball State (E.M.20Ball St.18)

2* Penn St. over Notre Dame (P.St.34N.D.3)

2* Washington over Boisy St. (Wsh.30B.St.27)


UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE WEEK

173-114-3 60% the last 24 years.

This Wk. : USF +7 over Auburn

[Thor]

Colin Cowherd

HERD: ( 3-0 )

VIRGINIA TECH
MICHIGAN
U C L A
PENN STATE

[Thor]

JIM KRUGER

[I pers. remember this guy from last tear. He was good]

#1 AT The Sports Monitor, Oklahoma in 2006-'07

4-1 this year in CFB.

2:00pm
California
Colorado State
o62.0 (-110) / 3 units TOTALS
# 337 California - Colorado State OVER 62

Cal gave up 31 points to Tennessee in their opening game allowing a 68% completion rate for Volunteer quarterback Erik Ainge. Colorado State also gave up 31 points while scoring 28 points themselves. This was almost double the Rams’ 14.1 conference scoring average from last year. CSU quarterback senior Caleb Hanie was very sharp hitting 22 of 27 for 229 yards.

One area to look at closely in playing college totals are the special teams. CSU in their last game gave up some big plays on special teams. Does anyone remember the number one college highlight from last weekend not involving Appalachian State? Yep, CAL WR and return artist especianal DeSean Jackson’s unbelievable punt return.

The OVER is 10-1 in Colorado State’s last 11 games as an underdog of 10.5 or higher. The OVER is 6-2 in the Rams last 8 non-conference games. California is 9-4 in their last 13 games as a favorite.

Take the OVER!




3:30pm
Oregon
+7.0 (-105) / 3 units # 345 Oregon +7 over Michigan

Michigan’s season went down the tubes with their loss to Appalachian State. The team and its fans are devastated. How do you think RB Mike Hart and WR Mario Manningham feel after bypassing last year’s NFL draft to come back their senior season to “win the national championship”? Obviously, an argument can be made that the Wolverines will be so mad they will kill Oregon. Perhaps if the Wolverines got off to a fast start in this game with a couple of quick scores that could happen. My money says it won’t.

Michigan has not done well the past three years in non-conference action as evidenced by their 3-8 ATS record. Just the opposite is true for Oregon as they are 10-5 ATS in non-conference action since 2002 and carry a 25-5 ATS record in their road opener over the past 30 years.

Oregon came alive in the second half against Houston last week putting up 28 points. They are led by dual-threat quarterback senior Dennis Dixon. The Ducks run a spread offense which is something Michigan has had problems with in the past, including going against a mobile quarterback.

A great spot to go against a team is when their dreams have been shattered.

Take the points with the Ducks!



5:45pm
South Carolina
+3.5 (-110) / 3 units # 353 South Carolina +3.5 over Georgia

I like to look for quality teams to play on in the second game of the season who had a below average showing in Week 1. South Carolina fits that requirement as they failed to cover against ULL but were without starting quarterback Blake Mitchell due to a suspension.

The “Ol’ Ball Coach” Steve Spurrier has been speaking highly about his Gamecocks. I like them, also. Last year Georgia shut out South Carolina, 18-0. Spurrier is 13-5 ATS as a road dog and 7-1 if he has revenge. Well, he definitely has revenge as he has been shut out only one other time before.

The past five match-ups between these two teams has not produced a total of over 38 points scored so getting points in this match-up is key. Georgia Coach is 5-10-1 ATS as a home favorite.

South Carolina is a dangerous team and I like them getting the points.



7:00pm
Oklahoma State
-23.5 (-110) / 3 units # 396 Oklahoma State -23.5 over Florida Atlantic
Oklahoma State ran into a very good defense last week when they played Georgia hardly resembling the sixth rated offense from last year. OSU could only muster 266 total yards but that should change dramatically with overmatched Florida Atlantic. FAU lost last year to OSU, 48-8, and were outgained by 217 yards.

FAU is off of a nice conference win over Middle-Tennessee State and are probably feeling pretty good about themselves. FAU has done very poorly outside of the Sun Belt. Last year they were outscored 192-20 and are on a seven game non-cover streak against non-conference schools.

The Cowboys are not going to be in a happy mood after their embarrassing loss.

Take Oklahoma State and lay the points!



9:15pm
Virginia Tech
+11.5 (-110) / 3 units #383 Virginia Tech +11.5 over LSU

I love to take double digits when a total is lined as low as the 38 in this game. Virginia Tech has the shooting tragedy off of their back. Plus, they are on the road away from Blacksburg. Not many coaches in the nation better than Tech’s Frank Beamer. Va Tech is 12-2 ATS in their first road game over tha past 14 years. Beamer is 51-25-1 ATS in non-conference games at VT. And, the real kicker is Beamer is 21-5 ATS in non-conference action following an out of league win.

The LSU 45-0 win against an overmatched Mississippi State team is a shade misleading. The Bulldogs committed seven turnovers and were playing well until a Tiger touchdown in the closing seconds of the second quarter. I wasn’t overly impressed with LSU quarterback Matt Flynn.

The game should be low-scoring, a defensive battle. The edge in special teams goes to Virginia Tech and I like the Hokies to get the cover.

Take Virginia Tech

[Thor]

Dave Malinsky


5* PICK: Virginia (-16.5)

REASON FOR PICK: 5* VIRGINIA over DUKE

Here’s the thing about bad teams – they are bad. That might not sound all that brilliant, so let’s rephrase in a way that really matters in the work that we do - Most genuinely bad teams are even worse than scores and statistics show. And that is part of the story behind this one.

Duke is the prototype of being a bad team, and carrying a 21-game losing streak should have most thinking they are fully aware of how bad the Blue Devils are. But when you are bad at an extreme level, you get a reprieve on both the scoreboards and in the stat columns. Almost all of the opponents end up taking it easy against you, and you rarely have to take their best punch. You do not have to face the other team’s starters for the entire game, and instead of having an aggressive opponent attacking on offense in the second half, many games find them backing off instead, and just trying to work the clock and get the game over with. As such, bad teams can still cover a fair share of pointspreads, not so much because of any particular skill that they brought to the event, but rather because the other side was not trying very hard.

So what happens on those rare occasions when someone attacks a bad team with their full arsenal? What happened to Duke last week, and what will happen to Duke here.

On Saturday the Blue Devils thought they had a real chance to end the nation’s longest losing streak, facing a mediocre Connecticut team from the Big East. And when they caught a break by returning a kickoff for a touchdown, they actually went into the locker room ahead 14-11 at halftime. But all that did was lead to coach Ted Roof’s worst nightmare – having to face an opponent that was going to come out of the locker angry and ready to go hard the rest of the way. And it was ugly. The Huskies went on a dominating 34-0 run after intermission, and when all of the counting was over it was 45-14 on the scoreboard, 23-10 in first downs and 487-169 in total offense. Now the even worse news for Roof is that his team will get a full game of that treatment this week.

Off of a dismal opening loss at Wyoming there is a real sense of urgency for Al Groh here. In a season in which big things are expected it means a “no prisoners” attitude, especially as he catches flack from the local media in what could be his final season, if things do not turn around. And perhaps the best way to measure Groh for this setting is to look at his own history a bit, both as a big home favorite in a conference game, and against this Duke program. That is what cements the play. Groh has been favored more than a TD five times in the last six seasons vs. A.C.C. oppponents, and got the money every time. The last four seasons his Cavaliers have whipped the Blue Devils by a combined 139-23, for 29 points per game, and in the last two it has been 75-7. That is exactly what we want to see.

Although the Virginia offense is indeed nothing special, it does not have to be in this spread range. The Cavalier defense has a chance to be one of the 20 best in the nation this season, and there is every reason to believe that they can pitch a shutout this week. They did LY, holding the Duke offense to 100 yards, and two years ago it was 31-0 in the fourth quarter before the Blue Devils were able to score against the reserve defenders. And because of some other key circumstances, this is one game in which we can confidently use defense to cover a double-figure spread, which is the final piece of the puzzle.

As bad as the Blue Devils are on both sides of the ball, there is a key element in which they are particularly horrendous – the punting game. It was so bad on Saturday that they used three different punters, two freshmen and a sophomore, and they combined for an awful 28.7 yards on seven punts. That is correct, 28.7. That means plenty of favorable field position opportunities for the Cavalier offense to get untracked, and they make up for last week’s awful showing by breaking this one wide open

[Thor]

CFL


Inside The Line

CFL Saturday With Keith Line: (5-0 Last 5)

Toronto Argonauts


WSA NCAA Weekly:

Air Force (Weekend Warrior)

South Carolina (Underdog Of The Week)



Selective

Saturday September 8, 2007

South Carolina +3.5 for 4 units

Texas -9 for 3 units

Ball St/EST Mich Over 43 for 2 units

[Thor]

Wild Bill

CFB Sept 6 to 9

Over 58 L'ville-MTenn (5 units)...MT defense had probs vs FAU last week.. UL potent...63-10 (W)


Temple -3 (1 unit)...revenge from last year..2nd yr HC Golden looking for W, Temple 20-13


Alabama -3 1/2 (4 units)..Saban factor vs scrappy club...Tide 24 Vandy 17


Bowling Green +18 (1 unit)...BG gave Minn all it could handle, Mich State eratic...M St 42 BG 28


Baylor -6 1/2 (1 unit) Bears at home vs Rice who got beat by 1-AA LW..Baylor 24 Rice 14


Cal -14 (1 unit)...Cal offense potent vs poor defense...Cal 42 CSU 21


Over 60 Cal-Colorado St (2 units)..see above


Missouri -6 (1 unit)...Tigers undervalued...Mizzoui 37 Miss 17


Ball St -5 1/2 (1 unit)...Ball St tougher offensively...BSt 27 EM 20


Oregon +8 1/2 (3 units)..Ducks hang in there on offense...Michigan 31 Oregon 30


Under 63 Oregon-Michigan (1 unit)...read above


Fresno +17 1/2 (1 unit)...Bulldogs tough DD dog...A&M 42 Fresno 28


So. Carolina +5 1/2 (1 unit)...Spurrier revenge mode tough...Ga 24 USC 21


Penn State -17 (1 unit)...Irish no offense whatsover...Penn ST revenge 42 ND 17


Air Force +8 (4 units)...Air Force straight up...AF 31 Utah 17


North Carolina +5 (2 units)...Butch Davis era is here....UNC 27 ECU 24


UCLA -7 (5 units)...Bruins a large amount of returnees at home..UCLA 41 BYU 17


TCU +10 (3 units)...TCU goes for the jugular....UT 24 TCU 23


Over 48 1/2 So. Miss-Tennessee (2 units)....UT will have to score....UT 34 SM 21


Hawaii -27 (1 unit)...Rainbows on potent outburst with Colt at QB..Hawaii 63 LT 27


Auburn -7 (1 unit)...Auburn too tough on "D"...Aub 23 USF 10


New Mex State +8 1/2 (1 unit)...Better offense should prevail...NMSt 31 NM 24


Colorado +16 (1 unit)....Colorado revenge...ASU 28 CU 20


Arkansas State +4 1/2 (1 unit)...Ark St stayed tough with Texas LW...ASU 27 Memphis 24


North Texas +16 (1 unit)...Dog or bust

[Thor]

Tedd Servansky (A.K.A. Teddy Covers)

CFB :

Minnesota

SMU

Virginia


Bryan Leonard's 5* Non-Conference Game of the Year

5* SMU (-) over North Texas
We all saw how the Mustangs were dominated on national television on Monday night by Texas Tech. We use that public perception to our advantage this Saturday. First off, Texas Tech and SMU play a very similar offense. While the Red Raiders have been doing it with success since Mike Leach arrived, it?s somewhat new to SMU who isn?t as prolific running it as Texas Tech. But they were able to post a 6-6 record last year in the spread offense, scoring over 27 points per game in the process. The Red Raiders defenders see the best the system has to offer each day in practice, thus they were able to shut down a less proficient SMU scoring unit.
Now SMU takes on a North Texas team who is switching to the spread offense after being a predominant running team under former coach Darrell Dickey. The Mustangs get to face the same offense in back to back weeks, but this time their defense has the major edge. High School coaching legend Todd Dodge takes over the reigns of the Mean Green and he is looking to place a square peg in a round hole. All his players were recruited by Dickey for a totally different offense. This scoring unit will take some time to be successful and we take advantage here.
While we all saw Texas Tech dominate SMU Monday, what we didn?t see was Oklahoma trounce the Mean Green 79-10. And the game wasn?t nearly as close as the 69 point margin. Oklahoma was so far superior that Sooners coach Bob Stoops ordered his players to fall down on offense if they had a clear path to the endzone. That?s right, he actually told them to hit the ground in order to not run up the score. Despite those orders Oklahoma put up an additional 30 points just in the second half. According to the Sooner?s receivers they could have really piled on the points as they were wide open on every play. When North Texas was on offense they snapped the ball regularly with 20 seconds left on the clock. Oklahoma assistant coaches were dumbfounded as to why North Texas had no intention of shortening the game. We expect this to continue as it?s clear that Todd Dodge is trying to get this offense ready for the Sun Belt Conference season.
To make matters worse for the visitor, North Texas beat SMU last year as a home underdog. That loss by the Mustangs cost them a 7-5 record and their first bowl invite since 1984. After embarrassing themselves in front of the nation we can expect Phil Bennett to run up the score if at all possible. This one is a complete mismatch. PLAY SMU

[Thor]

More Right Angle Sports:

CURRENT SEASON RECORD
Official Plays: 1-0
Early Looks: 3-2
Overall: 4-2 +1.40 UNITS



EARLY LOOKS RECAP
Temple -3 (now -3.5)
Colorado State +15 (now +14)
East Carolina -3.5 (now -5)
BYU +8.5 (now +7.5)

[PlayMaker]

Wayne Allen Root

best bet - s. florida

[Thor]

Gator's NCAA Game of the Week Report

Each week in this section Gator will provide his College Games of the Week which will include his Conference, Steamroller and Underdog PLUS Bonus Selections during the season.

SEC GOW (Saturday): South Carolina +5

Steamroller GOW (Saturday): Michigan State -18

Underdog GOW (Saturday): pass


System Game of the Week:

Game: Nevada vs. Northwestern

System: Play On a College home favorite of 1+ points with less than 11 days rest seeking revenge for a non-Saturday road underdog SU loss in the previous match up last season and not off a SU loss. 18-1-1 ATS since 1991 averages covering the spread by 11.7 points per game.

Selection: Northwestern -8

[cpolla]

Sorry already posted

[Thor]

ATS Lock Club

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8 units on Washington (+3) over Boise State, 3:30
8 units on UCLA (-7 1/2) over BYU, 6:30
7 units on New Mexico (-7) over New Mexico State, 9:30
Do a 2 unit Round Robin Parlay on the top 3 games
6 units on Northwestern (-9 1/2) over Nevada, 12:00
5 units on Alabama (-3 1/2) over Vanderbilt, 12:30

[cpolla]

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WISEGUY MOOVE
CFB : Wake Forest under 50 (Saturday)

[Thor]

Sebastian

100* Texas Tech -24

20* Mich St. -17
20* Central Mich -3
20* Wyoming -24
20* BC -13.5
30* Washington +3
20* S. Carolina +4
30* UclA -7
30* New Mexico -6.5
20* Texas -9.5

[cpolla]

JIM KRUGER



#1 AT The Sports Monitor, Oklahoma in 2006-'07

4-1 this year in CFB.

2:00pm
California
Colorado State
o62.0 (-110) / 3 units TOTALS
# 337 California - Colorado State OVER 62

Cal gave up 31 points to Tennessee in their opening game allowing a 68% completion rate for Volunteer quarterback Erik Ainge. Colorado State also gave up 31 points while scoring 28 points themselves. This was almost double the Rams’ 14.1 conference scoring average from last year. CSU quarterback senior Caleb Hanie was very sharp hitting 22 of 27 for 229 yards.

One area to look at closely in playing college totals are the special teams. CSU in their last game gave up some big plays on special teams. Does anyone remember the number one college highlight from last weekend not involving Appalachian State? Yep, CAL WR and return artist especianal DeSean Jackson’s unbelievable punt return.

The OVER is 10-1 in Colorado State’s last 11 games as an underdog of 10.5 or higher. The OVER is 6-2 in the Rams last 8 non-conference games. California is 9-4 in their last 13 games as a favorite.

Take the OVER!




3:30pm
Oregon
+7.0 (-105) / 3 units # 345 Oregon +7 over Michigan

Michigan’s season went down the tubes with their loss to Appalachian State. The team and its fans are devastated. How do you think RB Mike Hart and WR Mario Manningham feel after bypassing last year’s NFL draft to come back their senior season to “win the national championship”? Obviously, an argument can be made that the Wolverines will be so mad they will kill Oregon. Perhaps if the Wolverines got off to a fast start in this game with a couple of quick scores that could happen. My money says it won’t.

Michigan has not done well the past three years in non-conference action as evidenced by their 3-8 ATS record. Just the opposite is true for Oregon as they are 10-5 ATS in non-conference action since 2002 and carry a 25-5 ATS record in their road opener over the past 30 years.

Oregon came alive in the second half against Houston last week putting up 28 points. They are led by dual-threat quarterback senior Dennis Dixon. The Ducks run a spread offense which is something Michigan has had problems with in the past, including going against a mobile quarterback.

A great spot to go against a team is when their dreams have been shattered.

Take the points with the Ducks!



5:45pm
South Carolina
+3.5 (-110) / 3 units # 353 South Carolina +3.5 over Georgia

I like to look for quality teams to play on in the second game of the season who had a below average showing in Week 1. South Carolina fits that requirement as they failed to cover against ULL but were without starting quarterback Blake Mitchell due to a suspension.

The “Ol’ Ball Coach” Steve Spurrier has been speaking highly about his Gamecocks. I like them, also. Last year Georgia shut out South Carolina, 18-0. Spurrier is 13-5 ATS as a road dog and 7-1 if he has revenge. Well, he definitely has revenge as he has been shut out only one other time before.

The past five match-ups between these two teams has not produced a total of over 38 points scored so getting points in this match-up is key. Georgia Coach is 5-10-1 ATS as a home favorite.

South Carolina is a dangerous team and I like them getting the points.



7:00pm
Oklahoma State
-23.5 (-110) / 3 units # 396 Oklahoma State -23.5 over Florida Atlantic
Oklahoma State ran into a very good defense last week when they played Georgia hardly resembling the sixth rated offense from last year. OSU could only muster 266 total yards but that should change dramatically with overmatched Florida Atlantic. FAU lost last year to OSU, 48-8, and were outgained by 217 yards.

FAU is off of a nice conference win over Middle-Tennessee State and are probably feeling pretty good about themselves. FAU has done very poorly outside of the Sun Belt. Last year they were outscored 192-20 and are on a seven game non-cover streak against non-conference schools.

The Cowboys are not going to be in a happy mood after their embarrassing loss.

Take Oklahoma State and lay the points!



9:15pm
Virginia Tech
+11.5 (-110) / 3 units #383 Virginia Tech +11.5 over LSU

I love to take double digits when a total is lined as low as the 38 in this game. Virginia Tech has the shooting tragedy off of their back. Plus, they are on the road away from Blacksburg. Not many coaches in the nation better than Tech’s Frank Beamer. Va Tech is 12-2 ATS in their first road game over tha past 14 years. Beamer is 51-25-1 ATS in non-conference games at VT. And, the real kicker is Beamer is 21-5 ATS in non-conference action following an out of league win.

The LSU 45-0 win against an overmatched Mississippi State team is a shade misleading. The Bulldogs committed seven turnovers and were playing well until a Tiger touchdown in the closing seconds of the second quarter. I wasn’t overly impressed with LSU quarterback Matt Flynn.

The game should be low-scoring, a defensive battle. The edge in special teams goes to Virginia Tech and I like the Hokies to get the cover.

[Thor]

Kelso

25 Unit: New Mexico State
10Units: Miami, FL
Vir Tech
Penn St

[Thor]

Rocketman Sports

Sport: College Football
Game: Air Force @ Utah
Date/Time: 9/8/2007 6:00PM EST
Pick: Play On: 1* Air Force +8
Reason: FREE CFB PLAY SATURDAY (25-9 last 34)


Air Force @ Utah 6:00 PM EST
Play On: 1* Air Force +8

Utah quarterback Johnson is OUT as well as RB Asiata is out too. Air Force is 6-0 ATS since 1992 as a road underdog of 7 1/2 to 10 points. Utah is 1-7 ATS last 3 years as a favorite of 3 1/2 to 10 points. Air Force is 5-1 ATS at Utah since 1992. Air Force comes in 1-0 while Utah is 0-1 after Week 1. Utah is a little banged up this week so Air Force will keep this one close and possible get the outright win. We'll recommend a small play on Air Force on Saturday! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[PlayMaker]

ROOT

Chairmans Nc St

Millionaires Mismatch Goy Washington

Money Maker South Florida

No Limit Home Dog Of Month Vandy

Source Play South Carolina

[cpolla]

Bryan Leonard's 5* Non-Conference Game of the Year

5* SMU (-) over North Texas
We all saw how the Mustangs were dominated on national television on Monday night by Texas Tech. We use that public perception to our advantage this Saturday. First off, Texas Tech and SMU play a very similar offense. While the Red Raiders have been doing it with success since Mike Leach arrived, it?s somewhat new to SMU who isn?t as prolific running it as Texas Tech. But they were able to post a 6-6 record last year in the spread offense, scoring over 27 points per game in the process. The Red Raiders defenders see the best the system has to offer each day in practice, thus they were able to shut down a less proficient SMU scoring unit.
Now SMU takes on a North Texas team who is switching to the spread offense after being a predominant running team under former coach Darrell Dickey. The Mustangs get to face the same offense in back to back weeks, but this time their defense has the major edge. High School coaching legend Todd Dodge takes over the reigns of the Mean Green and he is looking to place a square peg in a round hole. All his players were recruited by Dickey for a totally different offense. This scoring unit will take some time to be successful and we take advantage here.
While we all saw Texas Tech dominate SMU Monday, what we didn?t see was Oklahoma trounce the Mean Green 79-10. And the game wasn?t nearly as close as the 69 point margin. Oklahoma was so far superior that Sooners coach Bob Stoops ordered his players to fall down on offense if they had a clear path to the endzone. That?s right, he actually told them to hit the ground in order to not run up the score. Despite those orders Oklahoma put up an additional 30 points just in the second half. According to the Sooner?s receivers they could have really piled on the points as they were wide open on every play. When North Texas was on offense they snapped the ball regularly with 20 seconds left on the clock. Oklahoma assistant coaches were dumbfounded as to why North Texas had no intention of shortening the game. We expect this to continue as it?s clear that Todd Dodge is trying to get this offense ready for the Sun Belt Conference season.
To make matters worse for the visitor, North Texas beat SMU last year as a home underdog. That loss by the Mustangs cost them a 7-5 record and their first bowl invite since 1984. After embarrassing themselves in front of the nation we can expect Phil Bennett to run up the score if at all possible. This one is a complete mismatch. PLAY SMU

[Thor]

Hank Green

SEC G.O.W. GEORGIA
COLLEGE G.O.M. BAYLOR
6* LOUISIANNA TECH
5* N.U.
3* TROY ST
3* UCLA
3* PENN ST
3* TEXAS TECH

[Thor]

Scott Spreitzer

Smashmouth Sports

BEST BETS

TEXAS
SMU
ARIZONA STATE

[cpolla]

MARC LAWRENCE CFB PAID for PICKS
4* South Carolina +3.5 Vs Georgia
3* Miami Ohio +8.5 vs Minnesota
3* New Mexico State +7 Vs New Mexico

[cpolla]

Paul Leiners
25* play cfb over 46 UCLA/BYU
10* Michigan
5* free play Miami+10.5

[Thor]

Lenny Stevens
20* S. Carolina
20* S. Florida
10* Virginia
10* Kentucky
10* Arizona state

[Thor]

OC Dooley

Pick: Toledo/Central Michigan UNDER 52'

“1 UNIT” PRIMETIME COLLEGE SYSTEM TOTAL (Toledo at Central Michigan UNDER 52’ in a 7:05 eastern kickoff):

This total is actually dropping even though both of these defenses got roasted a week ago giving up 52 points each, so I am following the lead of the oddsmakers. The key to this total is that both schools know each other since this is a Mid-American Conference encounter. The Central Michigan defense returns SEVEN starters including the top 2 tacklers from a year ago who compiled a grand total of 238 stops. That CMU defense forced opponents into many a mistake last season as ranked up a #28 nationally in turnover margin. Toledo also has a veteran defense that returned NINE starters from the 2006 campaign, so both of tonight’s stop-units actually have an upside. Another critical factor to consider is that Toledo used 2 different quarterbacks on offense last week and both proved to be INEFFECTIVE. Many of you should remember last year’s frenetic Central Michigan attack which was led by creative head coach Brian Kelly who has since moved on to a higher profile program. New CMU coach Butch Jones is also attempting to run a hurry up style of “spread offense” but the opener last week clearly showed that his personell are still trying to learn the complex playbook. Thus we have a new head coach trying to make a positive impression but is actually being a bit overzealous. This total is backed by a phenominal 84-PERCENT SYSTEM from my database research that in the past decade has gone an incredible 27-5 ATS. This ten-year goldmine is exclusive to the OPENING MONTH of the season. Basically you take HOME teams who closed out last year with 4 wins in the final 5 games (Central Michigan) UNDER a total between 49’ and 56 points which is the case this evening. This 27-5 System works if that home team returns an experienced starting quarterback. Bingo!

[Volmania]

Kelso 50

K-State

[Thor]

Mike Neri


4* Penn state
3* Virginia
3*UCLA
3* Arizona State

[Thor]

Score


400 California
300 Penn State
300 Washington state