View Full Version : Wednesdays FREE service plays
Volmania
09-04-2007, 07:22 PM
lets see what pops up today
PlayMaker
09-05-2007, 12:00 PM
Brandon Lang
WEDNESDAY
15 DIME
Padres - Specify Pitchers - Peavy vs Hernandez (Or any D'backs starter)
5 DIME
Mets - Specify Pitchers - Maine vs Shearn
D'Rays - Specify Pitchers - Liz vs Sonnastine
free pick - Nationals - For analysis see daily video
DAY GAME
METS
As I said yesterday, this team is on fire right now and I will ride them again today.
They hammered the Reds pitching staff for 11 runs and now get this kid Shearn.
In his two starts this year Shearn has allowed 6 runs in 11 innings but truthfully I believe this gets ugly facing the Mets.
Maine comes off 7 rock solid innings against the Braves giving up just 1 earned in getting the win raising his road mark to 9-2 with a 3.24 ERA.
Considering how hot the Mets bats are right now, this is a great spot to jump on the boys from Shea once again.
Just like last night with Perez, lay this number with the Mets and wait to collect as Maine goes to 10-2 on the road this year.
Mets are the play.
PADRES
I don't care what the number is in this game. I am laying it.
I have jumped on Peavy and his road starts this year and I have been rewarded greatly for it.
He is 8-0 on the highway this year with a 1.22 ERA. How solid is that.
Furthermore, the Padres are in a pennant race and a win tonight will put him at 17-5 for the year and probably lower than ERA of 2.10.
Can you say Cy Young award winner? Yes you can.
Hernandez comes off 7 shutout innings against the Rockies but he didn't pitch all that well. He had men on base almost every inning and escaped a bases loaded no out jam.
It could have been bad if the Rockies could have gotten the big hit.
Now he faces the Padres he is 2-2 against his last 4 allowing more than 3 runs in 3 of those 5 starts.
Considering Peavy is 4-0 his last 4 versus the D'backs allowing 1, 0 and 0 runs the last 3 times he has faced them, any price is worth admission to this show tonight.
Bottom line. Livian Hernandez is not beating Jake Peavy tonight. At least that is the way I see it.
Padres are the play.
D'RAYS
All this talk about Kazmir and Shields but don't sleep on Sonnanstine.
He comes off 8 shutout innings at Yankee stadium and now comes back home to face the Orioles, a team that has roughed him up twice this year.
Learn from your mistaks young Luke Skywalker. Trust the force you had in New York and go with it.
Prior to that Yankee start he was coming off a horrific start in Boston to shut down the A's for 5 innings allowing 2 earned in getting the win there.
So back to back wins brings him back home against the O's and I like him and the D'rays off that loss last night.
Liz has good stuff but is hittable. He is 0-1 with an ERA over 7 allowing 7 runs in his 9 innings here at the big league level.
This is a great spot to ride the D'rays and call for them to get a big home win over the O's.
Drays are the play.
PlayMaker
09-05-2007, 12:01 PM
Stan Sharp
Double Dime Mismatch Big Bet Of The Week :
Millwaukee -1 1/2 Runs
PlayMaker
09-05-2007, 12:02 PM
RJ MILLER
ROCKIES -1.5 +120 over Giants (Jimenez-Correia)
PlayMaker
09-05-2007, 12:03 PM
larry ness 15* under dog
Larry Ness' 15* MLB Underdog of the Week (25-7 since Aug 7 / 108-37 this season!)
My 15* play is on the Tor Blue Jays at 7:05 ET. The Red Sox have started September by winning four in row (has outscored opponents by 31-15), beginning with rookie Clay Buchholz's no-hitter over Baltimore in his second career start on Saturday. Despite owning the best record in baseball, Boston has not won more than five straight this season. The Red Sox won't make it to five here! Curt Schilling takes the mound. He came within one out of throwing a no-hitter at Oakland on June 7 but then was 'lit up' for 11 ERs in just 9.1 innings of his next two starts. That landed him on the DL for seven weeks with shoulder tendinitis. Schilling is 2-2 with a 3.48 ERA in the five starts (team is 2-3) since his return but he's always struggled against the Blue Jays. Schilling is 3-6 with a 5.68 ERA in 15 career appearances (11 starts) against Toronto, his highest ERA against any team. Toronto will turn to Shaun Marcum (12-5, 3.75 ERA). He began the year in the bullpen, with his first start not coming until May 13. He's been Toronto's best pitcher since the break, going 8-2 with a 3.92 ERA. Marcum is 2-1 with a 2.57 ERA in seven career appearances (two starts) vs Boston and has been excellent on the road all year. He's 7-2 with a 2.65 ERA in 16 outings (10 starts) away from home in '07 (Toronto is 7-3 in those 10 road starts). Underdog of the Week 15* Tor Blue Jays.
Good Luck...Larry
PlayMaker
09-05-2007, 12:03 PM
Larry Ness' Weekly Wipeout Winner-MLB (25-10 since May 6!)
My Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Mil Brewers at 8:05 ET. After last night's 5-3 win, the Brewers will try to complete a six-game homestand with five victories, as they close a three-game series with the Astros on Wednesday night. Milwaukee owns the NL's best home mark (44-26) while Houston owns the NL's worst road mark (26-44). The Astros also rank 29th of 30 team in the moneyline standings at minis-$1,656. Matt Albers (4-6, 5.36 ERA) gets the start for Houston and while he is 2-1 in four starts (3.42 ERA) since rejoining the rotation on a regular basis, he's hardly someone to be trusted. A three start stretch in May (0-3 with an 11.68 ERA) got him sent to the minors. Since his return, he's spent most of his time in the bullpen but is making his fifth consecutive start here. However, let's not forget in eight road starts in '07, he's 2-4 (team is 3-5) with a 5.76 ERA. Brewers rookie Yovani Gallardo (6-4, 4.66) is trying to win consecutive starts for just the second time. The 21-year-old right-hander shut down the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday, giving up two runs in seven innings while striking out seven in a 3-2 victory. Gallardo is 4-1 with a 3.26 in six home starts this year (team is 4-2). The Brewers have gotten back to within a half-game of the Cubs in the NL Central and knowing they start a six-game road trip at Cincinnati on Friday following this game, won't miss this opportunity to beat the NL's worst road team, especially with a pitcher like Albers on the mound. Weekly Wipeout Winner on the Mil Brewers.
Good Luck...Larry
PlayMaker
09-05-2007, 12:04 PM
Big Al McMordie
At 7:05pm our selection is on the Washington Nationals over the Florida Marlins. Lest you think this series between the 4th and 5th place teams in the NL East doesn't mean anything to these franchises, think again. Neither the Nats nor the Marlins wants to finish in the cellar of the division at year's end. For the Marlins, there is pride at stake for a team that only four years ago won it all and for the Nats, because they were expected to finish dead last in the National League, there is almost a playoff atmosphere for the team and their fans if they can stay out of the basement of the NL East, which right now they have managed to do (by two games as of Tuesday night). Marlins young righthander Sergio Mitre looked like one of the best young pitchers in the league earlier this year, but the bottom fell out all of a sudden and he has been simply horrific of late. The Marlins have lost Mitre's last four starts and he has given up a minimum of five runs in each of those outings. Tim Redding on the other hand has some what resurrected his career this season in Washington. Despite losing his last two, Redding has been very solid for Washington with a 3.27 ERA in his eleven starts. And the Nationals have a winning record in Reddings seven home starts (4-3). Take the Nationals. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
PlayMaker
09-05-2007, 12:05 PM
Michael Cannon Money Train
Wednesday's Plays:
10 Dime –
NATIONALS (With Mitre and Redding as listed pitchers)
Take the Nationals as the home chalk tonight over the Marlins.
Washington will start Tim Redding and although he has struggled with his command lately, I like him to get back on track tonight at home.
His mound opponent, Sergio Mitre, has been awful for the Fins recently. The right-hander hasn’t won since July 29 over the Giants and has an 8.86 ERA in his past eight starts. Mitre has allowed five or more runs in his last four starts.
With runs usually hard to come by in the cavernous RFK Stadium, Mitre just can’t afford to have another poor outing if the Fins have any chance here.
I don’t expect him to rise to the challenge, so take the Nats as the home chalk for the win.
5 Dime –
CARDINALS -1 ½ RUN LINE (With Bullington and Mulder as listed pitchers)
Take the Cardinals on the run line tonight over the Pirates.
Both teams have starting pitchers making their season debuts tonight, but I like the Cardinals to win big behind Mark Mulder.
That’s because the Bucs will start Bryan Bullington, who missed all of the 2006 season recovering from shoulder surgery. The right-hander went 11-9 with a 4.00 ERA in 26 starts for Triple-A Indianapolis, but he’s going to find the going a lot tougher against Albert Pujols and company.
Mulder has a good track record against the Pirates, going 6-0 with a 2.68 ERA in eight career starts. The left-hander will be facing a Pirates lineup comprised of September call-ups, so he shouldn’t have too tough of a time keeping limiting the Bucs offense.
Take the Cards on the run line tonight over the Bucs.
PlayMaker
09-05-2007, 12:05 PM
Will Cover
BREWERS vs the Astros. 8:05pm EST
COVER STORY: After struggling in the second half of the season, the Brewers are making a run for the lead in the NL-Central. They are 1.5 games behind the Cubs with the Cards on their tail as Milwaukee will probably have to win the division for post-season play. The Beer Boys have won four of their last five, including last night's 5-3 win over these Astros, making it six of the last seven vs Houston! Astros have lost three of their last four, are 1-4 last five with Albers, and are just 8-23 last 31 on the road vs .500> teams.
Lay the wood with the Brew Crew
Spreitzer
special release...............kc/tex over 10
insider................sd
ko......................wash
tko diamond dominator gom.....................mets
Chicago Hotsides
+70.43 for 2007 baseball
-72.11u for 2006 baseball
1 NYM -138
1 CLEV -119
1 LAA -136
Rob Ferringo
5-Unit Play. Take Cleveland (-120) over Minnesota (1 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 5)
Note: This is our Game of the Week.
A very successful system this season is to fade average MLB pitchers coming off a complete game in their last appearance. Scott Baker nearly through a no-hitter in his last outing, but I think he’ll get touched up today by the Indians. Cleveland has won nine of 11 and are 8-2 in their last 10 within the division. Also, they are 17-8 in Fausto Carmona’s last 25 starts and 7-2 in his last nine against A.L. Central teams. Finally, Carmona is 8-1 with a 2.11 ERA in day games this season and he has been outstanding (6-4, 2.86) on the road as well.
4-Unit Play. Take Atlanta (-150) over Philadelphia (1 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 5)
This is the Phillies’ 15th straight day playing a game and I think that fatigue – and knowing that home is just one game away – will catch up with them. Tim Hudson is 11-2 in his last 13 starts and 5-1 in his last six home starts. His counterpart, Kyle Kendrick, has dropped four of his last five road starts and is 1-4 following a quality start in his last appearance.
4-Unit Play. Take New York Mets (-140) over Cincinnati (12:30 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 5)
John Maine is 10-0 on the road with a total between 9.0 and 10.5 and is 10-1 in his last 11 road starts against a team with a losing record. In fact, Maine is 11-3 in his last 14 road starts and 18-4 against sub-.500 teams. Also, the Mets are 7-2 with Bob Davidson behind home plate while the Reds are 0-6.
3-Unit Play. Take Detroit (-1.5, -110) over Chicago White Sox (7 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 5)
This is a system play based on the Tigers loss last night as a big favorite. The White Sox are 4-13 against teams above .500, 17-35 vs. a left-handed starter, and 7-20 over the past month. The Tigers haven’t been that much better, but I think they bounce back today. Kenny Rogers has won five of his past six starts against the Sox and the Tigers are 17-5 in his last 22 home starts.
3-Unit Play. Take St. Louis (-160) over Pittsburgh (8 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 5)
This is not as much a play on Mark Mulder’s return as it is a play against Tony Armas Jr. The Pirates have dropped six of his seven road starts and Armas has a career record of 24-44 as a visitor. The Pirates don’t hit lefties particularly well and are 15-36 in the past 51 meetings with the Cardinals. St. Louis is 12-3 as a favorite recently and there are still good vibes in that ballpark
SEBASTIAN
10* Mets
10* LAD
20* Clev under
20* NYY over
20* Tor
Rocketman Sports
Kansas City @ Texas 8:05 PM EST
Play On: 1* Kansas City +125 (Davies/Padilla) Listed
Kansas City is 7-1 this year as a road underdog of +100 to +125. Texas is only hitting .259 overall this year and .261 against right handed starters this season. Padilla is 4-9 with a 6.36 ERA overall this year. Padilla is 0-1 with a 7.27 ERA overall vs Kansas City since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on Kansas City tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Ben Burn's
Getaway Day Total of Month - Indians UNDER
Personal Favorite - Devil Rays
Major Mismatch - Nationals
LT Lock
TWINS
streak is 0-2
POWER SWEEP NEWSLETTER
College 4* Key Selections : 65-45-2 last 9 years.
COLLEGE SELECTIONS
KEY SELECTIONS :
4* Miss State over Tulane (Forecast:M.St.24Tulane10)
3* Baylor over Rice (Forecast:Bay.30Rice16)
3* Florida State over UAB (Frcst:Fla.St.52UAB3)
OTHER SELECTIONS :
2* E.Michigan over Ball State (E.M.20Ball St.18)
2* Penn St. over Notre Dame (P.St.34N.D.3)
2* Washington over Boisy St. (Wsh.30B.St.27)
Rocketman Sports(2)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MLB -Seattle @ NY Yankees 7:05 PM EST
Play On: 2* Seattle +150 (Washburn/Hughes) Listed
Seattle is 6-2 this year as a road underdog of +150 to +175. NY Yankees are 14-19 this year against left handed starters. Seattle is batting .287 overall this year and .289 on the road this season. Seattle bullpen has a 3.75 ERA overall this year and a 3.15 ERA on the road this season. Phil Hughes is 0-2 with a 7.86 ERA at home this year and 0-2 with a 7.56 ERA his last 3 starts. Jarrod Washburn is 6-4 with a 2.67 ERA overall vs NY Yankees since 1997. We'll play Seattle for 2 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky!
Teddy Covers ( 7-0 on last 7 totals. Having good year. Won yesterday on Az over)
20* Texas/K.C . over
Wise Guy Move:
RANGERS-133
ASTROS OV 9½
Wildcat
San Diego Padres
Doc's WNBA
6 Unit Play. #601 Take Phoenix +3 over Detroit (7:30 pm ESPN)
This comes down to a simple factor, fatigue. The Mercury have played four games and the Shock have played six games to advance to the WNBA Finals. Detroit has the home court, but expect them to come out flat in this opener, because Indiana gave them all that they could handle in game three. The Shock have started slow in many of their playoff games and that will bite them in a big way on Wednesday. Phoenix puts up eighty points and wins this game outright.
Best of luck – Doc’s Sports
+16.2 in WNBA pl.
Wolkosky Milan
10* BREWERS
10* NATS
10* ROCKIES
10* PADRES
10* TIGERS
10* CARDS
Free: LA DODGERS RL
57-33-1 last seventeen days.
Yesterday 5-0 + free play.
Volmania
09-05-2007, 01:58 PM
Lets not forget that thursday, sat and sunday threads are already up
vBulletin® v3.8.4, Copyright ©2000-2010, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.