Free Service Plays 9/11

[Volmania]

Lets see what we have on the docket for today.

[PlayMaker]

WUNDERDOG

Game: Texas at Detroit (1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Texas +153
The Tigers are in a battle for their post-season lives, as they have faded over the last half of the season. They stood at 58-37, and appeared poised to defend their AL title, but have been just 30-39 since. Texas on the other hand suddenly believes they can finish at .500, which would be remarkable after a 23-42 start! The Rangers have been 45-32 in their last 77, and come to Detroit as the hottest team in baseball winning 12 of their last 14. The Rangers have scored 5+ runs in 11 of those games, and are averaging seven a game. Vicented Padilla did not get off to a good start, as the Rangers stood 2-11 in his first 13 starts, but have rebounded nicely, going 5-2 in his last seven, two of which Padilla gave up no runs. Chad Durbin lost his spot in the rotation, when the Tigers were playing well, and in the four starts he has made since, they are just 1-3, while his ERA has been over five. Gotta like the hot Rangers in this one. THIS IS A DOUBLEHEADER GAME 1 PLAY.

[PlayMaker]

Ben Burns' Blue Chip TOTAL BLOWOUT (1:05 est First Pitch!)
I'm playing on Texas and Detroit to finish UNDER the total in Game 1 of their Double-Header. Neither starter has very impressive stats for the season. However, both have pitched better lately and both are coming off excellent outings. In his last start, Durbin held the White Sox to four hits through five shutout innings. That game would finish with a final score of 3-2. Durbin, who will have the advantage of starting against Texas for the first time, has now seen the UNDER to 4-0 his last four starts. Padilla was even better in his last start as he allowed only two hits through six shutout innings vs. Kansas City. That game would also finish with a score of 3-2. Granted, the Tigers' offense is much better than the Royals' offense. However, Padilla has pitched well against the Tigers in the past. In fact, he is 2-0 with a stellar 2.70 ERA in three career starts vs. the Tigers, most recently allowing two hits through seven complete innings in a 3-2 loss at Detroit exactly one year ago. In his only other start at Detroit, Padilla also pitched seven complete innings and allowed only a single earned run. Including his gem vs. the Royals, Padilla has now seen the UNDER go 3-1-1 his last five starts. I'm expecting another relatively low-scoring affair with the final score finishing above the low number.

[PlayMaker]

Dunkel Index - MLB

San Diego at LA Dodgers

An important NL West series opens tonight in Dodger Stadium where LA has to face its old nemesis in Jake Peavy. Peavy is 8-1 with a 2.28 ERA in 17 career starts against the Dodgers, including a perfect 2-0 mark against them this season. But San Diego has scuffled to a 2-4 start on their current road trip and faces Esteban Loaiza (2-0, 2.49), who has delivered a quality start in each of his three appearances since coming off the DL. Even with Peavy on the mound, the Dodgers look like a good home underdog pick (+142) according to Dunkel, which has LA favored straight up by 2.

Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+142).

Here are all of today's games.
TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 11
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: Colorado at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Morales) 15.198; Philadelphia (Eaton) 14.912
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-131); 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+124); Under

Game 953-954: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 16.174; Pittsburgh (Bullington) 15.175
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-155); 10
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-155); Over

Game 955-956: Washington at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Bacsik) 14.656; Florida (Seddon) 13.639
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 12
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 957-958: Atlanta at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Carlyle) 14.570; NY Mets (Hernandez) 17.119
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-160); Under

Game 959-960: St. Louis at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Mulder) 14.141; Cincinnati (Belisle) 14.654
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 12 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-106); 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-102); Over

Game 961-962: Chicago Cubs at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago Cubs (Marquis) 14.927; Houston (Backe) 13.867
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-115); Under

Game 963-964: San Diego at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Peavy) 14.594; LA Dodgers (Loaiza) 16.531
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2; 9
Vegas Line: San Diego (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+142); Over

Game 965-966: Arizona at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Gonzalez) 15.785; San Francisco (Correia) 15.014
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+122); Under

Game 967-968: LA Angels at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Saunders) 16.801; Baltimore (Santos) 14.566
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 2 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-165); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-165); Under

Game 969-970: Tampa Bay at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Sonnanstine) 15.247; Boston (Wakefield) 15.776
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-212); 10
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-212); Under

Game 971-972: Texas at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (McCarthy) 16.191; Detroit (Jurrjens) 15.332
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 12
Vegas Line: Detroit (-156); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+148); Over

Game 973-974: NY Yankees at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Hughes) 16.025; Toronto (Marcum) 16.671
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-122); 10
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+114); Under

Game 975-976: Minnesota at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Baker) 15.922; Kansas City (Davies) 14.658
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-115); Over

Game 977-978: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Byrd) 17.807; White Sox (Danks) 14.169
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 3 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-151); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-151); Over

Game 979-980: Oakland at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Braden) 15.002; Seattle (Washburn) 15.313
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Seattle (-164); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-164); Over

[PlayMaker]

Doc's WNBA
6 Unit Play. #606 Take Phoenix -5 ½ over Detroit (8:30 pm ESPN 2) In any series Game Three is the time you get the best effort from the team that does not have home court advantage. Phoenix was pleased with their split and expect them to pick up where they left off, dominating after a 28 point victory in game two. The Shock have trouble scoring points consistently and had a 28-point drop off from game one to game two. Expect the Mercury to reach triple digits again and easily come away with a double-digit victory. Phoenix has the best player on the court in Diane Taurasi, and the Shock have no answer for her.


best of luck - Doc's Sports

[PlayMaker]

Brandon Lang

TUESDAY
5 DIME

Padres -1 1/2 runs
Angels -1 1/2 runs
Twins


Free Pick - Indians - (For analysis see Daily video)

Note:
Brian Billick is a complete idiot. End of story and his ego will continue to cost the Ravens football games.

Let me explain myself for a moment.

You have overcome 4 turnovers to take a 20-19 lead. Your defense has held Cincy to 3 first downs the entire 2nd half. You are in complete control of the game.

You face a 3rd and 1 at your own 35 with just over 9 minutes. The only thing that can cost you the game is a turnover. ONLY THING.

Run the ball and pick up the first down, use another 3 minutes off the clock and maybe, just maybe, you run out the clock with a tired Bengls offense.

But no, Brian puts the ball in the air and granted, Mason was wide open and McNair threw high but what happened is exactly what could have happened by putting the ball in the air in the first place, INTERCEPTION.

Jesus, will these coaches ever learn? Will they ever stop thinkng they are bigger than the game itself? Will they ever learn?

Forget the complete debacle at the goal line, it should never have come to that in the first place. NEVER.

To be in complete control of the game, overcoming 4 turnovers on the road, have the lead in the 4th quarter of a divisional game with your defense playing lights out only to let your head coach lose it for you.

Very frustrating from a handicappers standpoint to lose a game like that last night. At worst the final should have been 22-20. At worst but thanks to Brian Billick, I lose with the Ravens again.

All those great breaks over the weekend, with Penn State and Ucla on Saturday and the Chargers on Sunday were used up with the Ravens on Monday.

Like I always say, without question the right side of the game was the Ravens and if you just keep getting on the right side of games more than the wrong side, we will win more of those games than we lose.

Unless coaches continue to do moronic things we can't control. My goodness, what a jerkoff Billick is and I am sure a lot of you agree who watched the game.

Still a solid run to close out last week and with the OVER in the Ravens game and the Cardinals, not much lost to the bankroll last night.

14-4 football run last week and 2-1 so far this week, a 16-5 football run overall. Not bad folks. Not bad at all.

Let's get a 3-0 sweep in baseball today, keep this winning streak going and let's get that 4th straight winning week shall we?

Now to Tuesday's game.

PADRES -1 1/2 RUNS
Ok, he screwed me royally in Arizona. I mean, Jake Peavy owes me one.

He went off -170, which was even more of an insult but that is what happens when the overnight line is -150, the world hammers Peavy all day and I am stuck with 170.

Then he gets lit up like a christmas tree and has one of his worst starts of the year. Ouch. I look for him to bounce back big tonight.

He is facing a Dodger team that he is has beaten 6 in a row. That is a great place to start.

Furthermore, in 17 career starts against them, he is 8-1 with a 2.28 ERA. Pretty solid there as well.

Inside that 17 number you will find that the last 11 times he has faced the Dodgers, he is 6-0 with a 1.90 ERA.

Inside that number, he is 2-0 in four starts this season.

Bottom line is I am confident Peavy steps up and delivers a dominating performance and the Padres get to Loiaza early and often.

Peavy and the Padres get it done by 2 runs or more tonight.


ANGELS -1 1/2 RUNS
The road has been a nice place for the Angels and they are probably glad they are back there.

After dropping their last 2 at home to the Indians, which could be a playoff preview by the way, the Angels take to the road where they have won 4 in a row.

Inside those 4 wins you will see the fact they have outscored their opponents 27-9 in those 4 wins. Don't think a 2 run win tonight is to much to ask.

Now they face an Orioles team that has not only gone 3-16 their last 19 but has a pitching staff that has been hammered to the tune of an 8.52 ERA in this 19 game stretch.

Now they throw Victor Santos to the wolves here and this one gets ugly early.

Saunder on the other hand has been solid at 7-3 with a 3.78 ERA and will be conident against an Orioles team he is 1-0 against beating them with 2 run ball over 6 innings on June 2nd.

Angels bats get hot and they win in a blowout tonight.


TWINS
Well, if you almost pitch a perfect game against an opponent, chances are you will be pretty darn confident against them the next time you face them.

Enter Scott Baker tonight.

We all know about the perfect game into the 9th inning and lost the no hitter as well but rest assured, he wanted one or the other.

However, a win is a win and he looks to get another one tonight against as I said, a team he is truly confident against.

You take the near no hitter and near perfect game with his other start againt them this year, 2 hits over 8 innings on July 30th and it all adds up to a 2-0 record with a 0.53 ERA.

Exactly, confidence is a scary thing folks, A scary thing.

In two career starts in KCity, he has an era of 2.57. All good things for Scott Baker tonight.

Davies has pitched really well against the Twins but he is still 2-4 this year with a 5.97 ERA for a reason. He is hittable and the Twins will finally figure him out tonight.

Baker and the Twins roll tonight.

[PlayMaker]

Michael Cannon Money Train
Tuesday Plays:

15 Dime –

CUBS (With Marquis and Backe as listed pitchers)
Take the Cubs for the road win over the Astros.
The Cubs are coming off an impressive 12-3 win over the Cardinals yesterday afternoon. Their offense finally broke out of the doldrums after scoring just 15 runs in their previous four games.
That surge should continue tonight against the Astros, who will start Brandon Backe.
Backe is making just his second start since undergoing elbow surgery in August 2006. He gave up four runs and eight hits in 5 2-3 innings of a 5-3 loss at Milwaukee last Tuesday.
While Backe continues his climb back from injury it should allow the Cubs bats to stay hot. Third-baseman Aramis Ramirez is 7-for-17 in his last four games and is batting .353 with a homer and eight RBIs in nine games against the Astros this year. First-baseman Derrick Lee is hitting .410 with three homers in 10 games this month.
Jason Marquis will start for the Cubs and although he’s pitched well in three of his last four starts he only has one win to show for it. He should be able to outpitch Backe tonight, and the Cubs offense will take care of the rest.
Take the Cubs for the road win.

5 Dime –

REDS (With Mulder and Belisle as listed pitchers)
Take the Reds for the home win over the Cardinals.
St. Louis will start Mark Mulder and he was tagged by the Pirates in his first outing of the season last Wednesday. The left-hander gave up six runs on eight hits in just four innings. His velocity is still down and his problem is hittable pitches, something the Reds should be able to take advantage of.
Playing in a hitter’s park is not going to benefit him as he continues to work himself back into shape.
Matt Belisle will start for the Reds and even though he’s no Cy Young candidate, his offense should provide him with plenty of run support. The right-hander does own a 1-0 record with a 0.95 ERA in 19 career innings against the Cardinals, so that should be enough to give the Reds the edge here.
Take Cincinnati for the home win.

INDIANS (With Byrd and Danks as listed pitchers)
Take the Indians as the big road chalk for the win over the White Sox.
Paul Byrd will start for the Tribe and he’s had good success against the White Sox in his career.
The right-hander is 7-2 with a 4.21 ERA in 12 lifetime outings against Chicago, including a 2-0 mark with a 1.71 ERA in three starts this season.
Byrd will be opposed by John Danks, who has routinely been pounded this year. The left-hander is 6-13 with a 5.41 ERA on the year, and has lost his last six outings.
With Cleveland having something to play for and the White Sox out of it, take the Tribe as the big road chalk for the win.

[PlayMaker]

Vernon Croy
G1 Texas Rangers vs. G1 Detroit Tigers

1 Unit, Take Detroit ML Game 1, This pick falls into one of my MLB systems and this game means a lot more to Detroit who is still trying to make the post-season. Chad Durbin (6-6 ERA 4.64) pitched solid in his last outing allowing just 4 hits over 5 innings. Texas is just 1-9 this season when Vicente Padilla (5-9 ERA 6.01) has pitched on the road and they are just 5-11 when he has pitched as an underdog. Padilla has struggled on the road this season with a 1-6 record over 10 starts and an ERA of 9.06. Padilla has allowed 80 hits on the road over 81.7 innings and this is a very good hitting Detroit ball club that erased a 3 run deficit in the 9th inning last night to cost me my 10 Unit MLB Smash. Texas is just 4-10 this season as a road dog of +150 to +175 and the Rangers opponents are averaging 5.7 rpg over their last 7 games. Have a great Tuesday! Vernon Croy

[PlayMaker]

Al McMordie

Our complimentary selection for Tuesday, Sept 11 is:

Chicago Cubs (Marquis) over Houston (Backe)

[PlayMaker]

Scott Spreitzer

Game: Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox
Sep 11 2007 8:10PM

Prediction: Cleveland Indians

Reason: I'm laying the price with the Tribe. Paul Byrd has pitched very well in this situation all season. It's allowed the Indians to post a 10-1 mark in his 11 starts within the division. His counterpart has not been as fortunate. White Sox lefty John Danks has been horrible at home this season and the Sox have lost each of his last six appearances overall. They're just 5-12 when Danks is opposed by a righthander and the Sox are a horrible, 31-52 when priced as an underdog. Look for the Indians to roll on Tuesday. The Tribe are the play. Thanks! GL! Scott.

[PlayMaker]

Will Cover

Tuesday, 9-11
INDIANS vs the White Sox. 8:10pm EST

COVER STORY: The Tribe looks to maintain their lead over the Tigers in the AL-Central and we think they'll do just that tonight with RHP Byrd on the bump. He is 14-6 this year, 7-2 in his career versus the Pale Hose, including 2-0 this year with a fine 1.71 ERA. Should he need help, the Indians can turn to a strong bullpen led by Borowski and his 40 saves. Chicago gives the nod the LHP Danks who is 0-3 with a 7.07 ERA in his last three outings.

Lay it with CLEVELAND...BOX

[PlayMaker]

Larry Ness' 15* Pitching Mismatch of the Week (111-40 with 15* GOW plays this season!)
My 15* play is on the SD Padres at 10:10 ET. In what may have been one of the year's stupidest moves, the Padres allowed Jake Peavy (or they allowed Peavy to talk them into it?) to come back on just three days rest at Arizona last Wednesday. As if the ENTIRE season was riding on the outcome of that game! Peavy entered that game having allowed 10 ERs over 73.2 innings of 11 road starts this year (1.22 ERA) and also entered that contest 7-0 (team was 8-0) over his previous eight starts (anywhere), while allowing just eight ERs. So what happens? Peavy has his WORST outing of the year, allowing eight ERs in just four innings! With an off day for SD yesterday, Peavy's had five days of rest now and will face an LA team he's DOMINATED. He's 2-0 with a 1.95 ERA against the Dodgers in four starts this year (SD is 4-0) but that's hardly the whole story. Peavy (16-6, 2.43 ERA) is 8-1 with a 2.28 ERA in 17 career starts versus the Dodgers. In his last 11 outings against them, he is 6-0 with a 1.90 ERA. Peavy's only loss to the Dodgers was a 4-0 defeat Sept. 13, 2003. The Dodgers will turn to Esteban Loaiza (1-0, 3.86 ERA), who has delivered a quality start in each of his three outings since returning from a back injury that caused him to miss the first 4 1/2 months of the season. Loaiza started his first two games for Oakland before LA acquired him off waivers Aug 29. The right-hander made his Dodgers debut last Monday, holding the Chicago Cubs to three runs in seven innings in an 11-3 win. He's 2-0 with a 2.49 ERA overall this year. Loaiza is 1-3 with a 4.41 ERA in 11 career games, including eight starts (teams are 2-6), against the Padres. He's winless in eight games against them since 1998 and Loaiza is hardly up to the task of out-ptching Peavy! Pitching Mismatch of the Week 15* SD Padres.

Good Luck...Larry

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

Jim Feist. My free pick of the day is the game between (953) MIL Brewers and (954) PIT Pirates. Take "(953) MIL Brewers". An 8-3 run has gotten the Brewers back into first place in the division. It promises to be a wild finish with the Cubs. They are motivated, of course, unlike their opponent here. The Pirates are going nowhere, losing 8 of 12. Milwaukee starter Yovani Gallardo has been strong, at 2-1 with a 3.71 ERA his last 3 starts. Pirate starter Bryan Bullington has a 15.00 ERA in just 3 innings of work this season. Play the Brewers!

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

Bobby Maxwell

Arizona (+120) at SAN FRANCISCO


Dished out a FREE winner in the NFL Monday with the Bengals as they rolled in against the Ravens in the AFC North matchup. Today it's back to the diamond for a complimentary play on the red-hot D'Backs as they are in San Francisco against the Giants.
Arizona has won six straight games and is looking to run away with the NL West crown. The D'Backs rallied with a three-run ninth inning and beat the Giants 5-3 Monday.
Arizona has gone 7-3 in the last 10 against the Giants. Tonight the D'Backs send Edgar Gonzalez (7-2, 5.00 ERA) to the mound against the Giants' Kevin Correia (4-6, 3.59).
Gonzalez hasn't started since late June but since 2006 the D'Backs are 7-3 in his last 10 outings. He got two starts against the Giants this season including in San Francisco when he held them to one run on five hits over seven innings.
Let's play the red-hot D'Backs in this one as they keep it rolling against the Giants.

2♦ ARIZONA

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

Mike Rose

Texas Rangers @ Detroit Tigers o10.5 (100)
Tue Sep 11 '07 1:05p

Twin bill for the tigers and Rangers today as they get set to play two. The first game pits the Rangers Vicente Padilla vs. the Tigers Chad Durbin. Combined, these pitchers boast an ERA of 10.58, and I’ve got a very good feeling that both offenses get the day started off with a plethora of runs.

The Tigers are coming off a huge come from behind win over Toronto on Monday night, and they’ll no doubt take the field looking to get right back at chasing down the Wild Card leading Yankees.

Vicente Padilla has been a gas can on the road in each of the last few seasons, and I see nothing changing this afternoon. He comes into this game sporting a 1-6 mark with a 9.06 ERA when starting on the visitors mound, and he hasn’t fooled anyone in his day starts this year giving up 16 hits in 10 innings of work which equates to a robust 7.20 ERA.

His opponent, Chad Durbin, has been nothing short of mediocre this year. He owns an 8-6 mark with a 4.57 ERA, but has been very hittable allowing 126 hits in 124 innings of work. He’s not overpowering, and he’s semi wild registering 48 walks.

With both clubs simply pounding right-handed pitching of late, (Texas .310 / Detroit .307), I foresee a good old fashioned slugfest taking place provided the weather cooperates with us. Not even the cavernous Comerica will be able to keep these clubs off the board today as the Rangers and Tigers go at it in a high scoring matinee.


Chicago Cubs (-115)
Tue Sep 11 '07 8:05p

The Cubs and Jason Marquis were forced to swallow a bitter pill the last time he took the mound as Ryan Dempster took the bump in the 9th looking to close out a 4-3 win for the home team. The win wasn’t in the cards however as he went on to give up four runs, and the Dodgers escaped with a 7-4 win and broke the hearts of the Wrigley faithful.

Since partaking in a couple side sessions with pitching coach Larry Rothschild, Marquis has really turned the corner. He’s churned out six quality starts in a row with his last one coming against this exact same team.

Houston has pretty much mailed it in considering their 11 games out in the Central, and they’ve already started looking at guys for next season. Brandon Backe put forth an admirable performance in his ’07 debut vs. the Brewers, but Milwaukee prefers lefties while the Cubs would love nothing more than to sink their teeth into a soft tossing righty. With their offense coming alive of late and moving back into first yesterday with a big win over St. Louis, I’m looking for them to bring their “A” game with them to Houston and take the season series once and for all. It all starts tonight with Marquis, so play them as short chalks as they look to inch close towards securing a post-season invite.

[Thor]

Wolkosky Milan
By: Steve

10* PHILLIES
10* PADRES
10* DIAMONDBACKS
10* BREWERS
10* BRAVES RL
10* WAS/FLA OVE