View Full Version : Saturday 9/15 FREE Service Plays
Volmania
09-11-2007, 04:35 PM
here you go
Volmania
09-13-2007, 02:40 PM
DR.BOB !! Strong Opinions on UCLA at -14 or less and Miss State at +11 or more.
3 Star Selection
***MIAMI OHIO 24 Cincinnati (-8.5) 23
09:00 AM Pacific, 15-Sep-07
Cincinnati won for me last week as a 3-Star Best Bet in their 34-3 romp over Oregon State, but the situation is not good for the Bearcats as they hit the road for the first time and Cincy is now overrated. The Bearcats have won their two games by a combined 93- 6 score, but they are averaging a +4.5 in turnover margin, which certainly isn’t going to continue. Cincy only out-gained Oregon State 4.8 yppl to 4.1 yppl last week, so they weren’t nearly as dominant as the final score indicates and Miami-Ohio is a missed kick away from being 2-0 after losing in 3 OT’s at Minnesota last week. The Redhawks upset Ball State on the road in their opener and they are a much improved club after last season’s uncharacteristic 2-10 record. My ratings only favor Cincinnati by 4 ½ points in this game and Miami is certainly capable of an upset win here given that the Bearcats apply to a negative 31-75-1 ATS road favorite letdown situation (that worked against Cal at Colorado State last week). Cincinnati, meanwhile applies to a 109-46-1 ATS home underdog situation and the record is 19-6 ATS for the home dog when both of those situations apply to the same game. Miami’s starting running back Brandon Murphy is out, but backup Andre Bratton is solid. One concern is the questionable status of top defensive player Joey Hudson, who led the team in tackles, tackles for loss and interceptions last season. Hudson is worth 1 ½ points based on last year’s stats, so I’d still only favor Cincy by 6 points if Hudson doesn’t play. I’ll take Miami-Ohio in a 3-Star Best Bet at +7 points or more and for 2-Stars at +6 ½ or +6 points.
3 Star Selection
***KANSAS (-23.0) 42 Toledo 9
04:00 PM Pacific, 15-Sep-07
Kansas was very impressive in their 52-7 opening day win over a decent Central Michigan team and the Jayhawks followed that up with a 62-0 rout of SE Louisiana last Saturday. Kansas is no fluke. The Jayhawks’ defense struggled a bit last year with just 3 returning starters, but they look as good as the 2004 and 2005 defensive units, which had an average rating of 0.9 yards per play better than average. This year’s team finally has an offense to compliment their defense, as sophomore quarterback Todd Reesing has looked sharp while the rushing attack has been better than average as well. Toledo was a bad team last season and they don’t appear to be any better this year after getting blown out by Purdue 24-52 at home in week 1 and then losing 31-52 at Central Michigan last week – the same Central Michigan team that Kansas beat 52-7. The Rockets have averaged just 5.0 yppl while allowing a horrendous 7.2 yppl in their two games and they won’t be able to compete with Kansas in this game. The Jayhawks apply to a very strong 68-15-1 ATS fundamental indicator, a 110-43-1 ATS home momentum situation and a 46-8 ATS momentum situation. Toledo, meanwhile, is just 12-22-3 ATS on the road under coach Todd Amstutz. My ratings favor Kansas by 23 ½ points and I’d favor the Jayhawks by 37 points if I only used this year’s games instead of incorporating my pre-season ratings. The Jayhawks certainly have incentive after dominating last year’s game against Toledo only to lose in overtime thanks to -5 in turnover margin. I’ll take Kansas in a 3-Star Best Bet at -24 points or less, for 4-Stars at -21 points or less and for 2- Stars from -24 ½ to -26 points.
2 Star Selection
**KENTUCKY 40 Louisville (-6.5) 37
04:30 PM Pacific, 15-Sep-07
Louisville’s offense is as explosive as ever, but the Cardinals allowed 42 points on 564 yards at 10.3 yards per play in their 58-42 win over Middle Tennessee State last week. Kentucky has averaged 301 rushing yards at 7.8 yards per rushing play in the first two games and senior quarterback Andre Woodson is among the nation’s best quarterbacks after rating at 1.3 yards per pass play better than average last season with 31 touchdowns and just 7 interceptions (he’s now gone 206 passes without throwing a pick). Kentucky will give up tons of yardage on the ground to Louisville but the Wildcats’ secondary is much better this season and the ‘Cats have certainly played better defensively than Louisville has so far this season. My ratings favor Louisville by 5 points, but Kentucky has actually been the better team so far this season. The reason for the play is not the line value but rather a number of strong situations that favor the Wildcats in this game. Kentucky applies to a 48-8-1 ATS subset of a 144-63-3 ATS home momentum situation while Louisville applies to a negative 93-167-10 ATS situation that plays against road favorites coming off a home game in which they allowed a lot of points (applied against Cal last week). I’ll take Kentucky in a 2-Star Best Bet at +4 points or more and I’d make Kentucky a 3-Star Best Bet if they become an underdog of 7 points or more again.
Strong Opinion
Mississippi St. 19 AUBURN (-13.0) 26
09:30 AM Pacific, 15-Sep-07
Mississippi State came through with a good effort last week at Tulane despite being in a very negative situation and I expect the Bulldogs to build off of that performance against an overrated Auburn team that is already 0-2 ATS. The Tigers lost straight up to South Florida, which really isn’t much of an upset, and that loss sets up Auburn in a negative 9-43-1 ATS situation and a negative 30-66 ATS situation. Both of those situations are based on last week’s upset loss and the record is 0-5 ATS when both apply to the same game. Mississippi State looked horrible in their opening 0-45 loss to LSU, but that loss doesn’t look so bad now that LSU just dominated Virginia Tech 48-7. In fact, Miss State held LSU to just 4.8 yards per play while Virginia Tech’s top notch defense gave up 599 yards at 8.3 yppl to the Tigers. Mississippi State’s offense performed pretty well offensively last week, averaging a solid 5.8 yppl, but that unit is still below average and will probably have some trouble moving the ball against a good Auburn defense. However, Miss State is good defensively and Auburn has struggled on offense in their first two games against good defensive teams (just 4.3 yppl). The only negative is that Auburn is 5-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite following a loss. My ratings favor Auburn by just 10 points and I’ll consider Mississippi State a Strong Opinion at +11 points or more and I’d take Mississippi State in a 2-Star Best Bet at +14 points or more.
Strong Opinion
UCLA (-14.0) 30 UTAH 10
02:00 PM Pacific, 15-Sep-07
Utah’s offense went from a potentially potent attack to a worse than average unit when top back Matt Asiata and talented quarterback Brian Johnson both were injured in a game 1 loss to Oregon State. Backup quarterback Tommy Grady isn’t mobile enough to run the option elements of the Utah offense and the Utes don’t have a back that can run well without the benefit of the option’s deception. Grady was an Oklahoma transfer but he hasn’t shown any of his promise in 1 ½ games so far, as he’s averaged just 4.2 yards per pass play this season. UCLA’s defense is one of the better units in the nation and they should have no trouble shutting down the crippled Utes’ attack. UCLA, meanwhile, should be able to pound the ball up the middle against a soft Utah defense front that lost two run-stuffing tackles to graduation and now are without senior DT Gabe Long, who suffered an MCL injury last week. Utah has surrendered an average of 297 yards per game at 5.7 yards per rushing play in two games while UCLA has averaged 5.8 yards per rushing play in their two games. Talented Bruins’ quarterback Ben Olsen has done a pretty good job throwing the football (6.4 yards per pass play), but Utah defends the pass well – although UCLA probably won’t need to throw the ball much given their projected domination running the ball. The Bruins apply to a very strong 131-53-3 ATS fundamental indicator while Utah applies to a negative 30-64-2 ATS situation that is based on their upset home loss to Air Force. My ratings favor UCLA by 12 points and I’ll consider UCLA a Strong Opinion at -14 points or less and I’d make UCLA a 2-Star Best Bet at -13 or less.
Cash Pomers
Upset Underdog Of the year
Boston College
Michael Cannon
Money Train.........
50 Dime
MICHIGAN STATE
5 Dime
INDIANA (Buy the 1/2 point if your line is -13 1/2)
20 Dime
USC
5 Dime
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
KANSAS
Jimmy Broadway
1000 Stars Syracuse
750 Stars Alabama
300 Stars Washington
300 Stars Michigan State
Elite Sports Investing
Saturday CFB Free Play
Illinois at Syracuse
Play Syracuse plus the points
Sometimes you have to back bad teams to get value, and the line has definitely adjusted to Syracuse being dominated vs. Washington and Iowa so far this year. The Carrier Dome is still a tough place to play, as evidenced by the Orange's 24-12$ record at home since 2000. They are also an excellent 22-8$ in non-conference affairs during that stretch. Illini HC Zook, an excellent recruiter, and fiery motivator, and his teams often play extremely well as underdogs. However, his game day skills leave a lot to be desired, and he's a poor 9-17$ as a favorite at both Florida and Illinois. Off of an embarssing shutout loss at Iowa, you will get the Cuse's best effort here, and the gap is rapidly closing between the Big East and Big 10 if it still even exists. Look for a big play form the Orange special teams, and run with the line value here in this contrarian play. Not sure you will ever see a team 1-18 SU in its last 19 road games be a 13 pt. RF again. Illinois by only 8
SELECTIVE
Saturday September 15, 2007
USC -9 for 5 units
Tennessee +7.5 for 3 units
Tulane +14.5 for 2 units
SDSU +28.5 for 2 units
Vandy over 46 4 units
TONY GEORGE
KENTUCKY +5
NEBRASKA +9½
Dave Malinsky
Army at Wake Forest Sep 15 2007 3:30PM
PICK: 6* Army
Chris Copeland
(5-2 last week)
Tulsa
va.Tech
South Miss
Hawai
Auburn
Houston under
Nebraska
ASA
4* Southern Mississippi
3* North Carolina
3* Alabama
STEAM PLAYS
11:34:22am 2007-09-15 198 Florida Atlantic Over 55
9:58:43am 2007-09-15 126 Iowa State Over 39
BIG AL
5* Kentucky
3* Georgia Tech
3* Washington
OPINIONS : Kansas - Notre Dame - Tulsa
Psychic Sports
2 units Syracuse +12.5
2 units Tennessee +8
3 units Michigan -8
3units Arkansas +3.5
3 units Ball State +7
WISEGUY---Boston College +7
Root
Millionaire Dog GOY: Nebraska
No Limit: Kentucky
Chairmanof the Board: Miami Ohio
R.A.S
BYU at Tulsa (Over 48) - 6:00pm Pacific - Game #179-180
New offensive coordinator Gus Malzhan has installed an uptempo no-huddle spread offense at Tulsa. Unlike last year at Arkansas, Malzhan has full support from his head coach and it will not be long before the scoreboards get lit up. The offense is designed to score quickly and get in as many plays as possible. Coaches will even go as far as to lobby officials to get the ball spotted and ready for play quickly after each down. It does not hurt that Tulsa returns an all conference three year starter in senior QB Paul Smith to run the show. The Golden Hurricane ran 86 plays (2005 NCAA average was 70.6) in their season opener, racking up 35 points and 523 total yards while playing conservatively with a big lead late. This is despite only four returning starters on offense and playing their first ever game in the new system. They since have had a BYE week to fine tune things and should be ready to roll this week in home opening revenge situation vs BYU. The Tulsa defense lost four of their top five tacklers from last season and were scorched for 49 points by the BYU offense last year. Fortunately for them, they faced a one dimensional offense vs UL Monroe in season opener but will face a much more difficult task vs BYU's balanced offense this week.
Everyone expected a significant dropoff in BYU's offensive production this year with the loss of QB John Beck, top four receivers, and top RB, but the offense has looked solid so far despite facing what could be two top 25 defenses in Arizona and UCLA. New QB Max Hall is getting rave reviews for his play and has already passed for 679 yards and 4 touchdowns in first two games. BYU is averaging 415 yards of total offense, but only 18.5ppg due to turnovers, penalties, and other bad breaks stalling drives in or near the red zone. They are likely to breakout here against a much weaker defense than what they have seen thus far. BYU lost a starting defensive lineman and starting safety to season ending injuries in fall camp as well as a reseve safety who was scheduled to move into a starting role. So far the defense has performed well above expectations but they have had some favorable circumstances. Arizona was playing their first game in a new offensive system on the road, and UCLA played very conservatively after jumping out to a 20-0 lead. Last year's meeting between these two saw 73 points scored. With Tulsa's uptempo style both teams will get even more opportunities this year, so even if these two good QB's do not match last years offensive efficiency, the scoring should still easily get into the fifties. Play the over.
RAS Official Play: Over 48 2 UNITS
UTEP (+6) at New Mexico State - 5:00pm Pacific - Game #175-176
The Miners went 16-6 in 2004 & 2005 but are somewhat under the radar this year after an underacheiving 5-7 season in 2006. Redshirt freshman QB Trever Vittatoe, the biggest question mark on this year's squad, is coming along nicely. He has gone up against two difficult defenses in his first two starts, vs New Mexico and at Texas Tech. His numbers have not been spectacular, but has not made any mistakes (0 interceptions), and showed marked improvement from game one to game two. Against NMSU he will face by far the easiest defense he has seen to date. Vittatoe is surrounded by a top notch group of receivers that boasts two Florida State transfers in Lorne Sam and Fred Rouse, along with mainstay senior Joe West. Two Pac-10 transfers man the tailback position, most notably hard running senior Marcus Thomas who sat out the season opener due to a one game suspension. The offensive line is much improved as evidenced by the 215 yards gained (4.7ypc) on the ground vs Texas Tech last week. Last year the team's season high was 135 vs Tulane and they averaged 2.4ypc for the season. UTEP was actually tied with Texas Tech going into the 4th quarter as a +25 point underdog and are now 2-0 ATS. Before the season head coach Mike Price said he was not concerned about his defense despite its inexperience. So far they have already performed above expectations. They held New Mexico to just 6 points in the season opener leading to an outright win and kept Texas Tech's high powered offense under wraps for three quarters. The return of defensive leader LB Jeremy Jones from injury last year (13 tackles in season opener vs New Mexico) has been a major positive.
New Mexico State is playing the favorite role for just the fourth time since Hal Mumme's arrival in 2005. The Aggies are just 2-21 vs Division 1-A opponents under Mumme. While some improvement is expected this year this team has no business being a significant favorite against a quality opponent. The Aggies are coming off a 10 point loss to instate rival New Mexico, the same team who lost to UTEP in week one. Aggie QB Chase Holbrook is off to a slow start having already thrown five interceptions this year (9 all of last year). In opening game the offense was able to put up just 28 points (defense added another score) vs 1-AA SE Louisiana who only returned three defensive starters. Defensively, NMSU has been awful for years and are replacing four of their top six tacklers from last year. They gave up 44 points and 496 yards to a New Mexico offense that was inept in week 1 vs UTEP. Last year NMSU allowed 34.1ppg vs 1-A opponents. Las Cruces is only a 40 minute drive from El Paso. If past years are any indication close to half of the fans in attendance will be supporting the road team making the home field advantage very minor. There is a good chance the wrong team is favored all together here. Take the points.
RAS Official Play: UTEP +6 1 UNIT
Brandon Lang
25 DIME
MICHIGAN STATE
5 DIME
Vandy
Miami/Ohio
Army
E.Carolina
Florida Atlantic
Ultra Sports
5 georgia tech
5 florida st.
4 new mexico
3 michigan st.
Spylock
5* Nebraska
1* Florida -3
1* Ball State +7
Greg Roberts
THE BARKING DOG
TEXAS OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA BY ONLY 6
Bevo has been anything but impressive so far as they were outgained by Arkansas St. in their opener and shutout in the 1st half last week vs. TCU. Now they take their lethargic offense on the road to take on a Knight's squad that's been buoyed by a confidence building win over N.C. State in their opener. The emotion will also be at fever pitch with the opening of their new Bright House Networks Stadium on national TV and the fact they were able to lure a big BCS school to Orlando. The tailgating will start early and last well into the night and the menu item of choice - Bar-B-Q steer butt of course!
TEXAS - 27 CENTRAL
------------------------------------
THE ROAST OF THE WEEK
PURDUE OVER CENTRAL MICHIGAN BY 35
A band of Chippewa's show up at the buffet table this week but they won't be sharing a peace pipe with the hard hat riveters of West Lafayette. The Curtis Painter led Purdue offense has already posted back-to-back 52 point efforts and to hang another on the tribe should come easy considering the Injun's have allowed 83 points in their 2 outings thus far. The Central Michigan secondary has been roasted to the tune of 68% completions and 345 yards per game through the air. Joe Tiller's squad loves the momentum winning can bring as his squad is 29-11 against the spread after a win. With the Chips only 3-9 against the spread on the Big 10 road don't close the bar before I have another Boilermaker!
PURDUE - 52 CENTRAL MICHIGAN - 17
KELSO
Chairmans Club 10 unit Fla Atl +7.5 v. Minnesota
Scott Spreitzer's
CFB Non-Conf. KNOCKOUT GAME OF THE YEAR!
KANSAS
Colin Cowherd
By: Steve
ESPN Radio
NOTRE DAME
FLORIDA
FRESNO STATE
KENTUCKY
Opinion- ALABAMA, UCLA
Gavazzi Steamrollers
5% MICHIGAN ST
3% OREGON
3% VA TECH
Larry Ness'
20* Conference GOY (perfect 7-0 start with 20* plays in FB '07!)-Saturday
My 20* play is on Southern Miss at 6:00 ET. Jeff Bower may be the least appreciated coach in the nation. He enters his 17th season at Hattiesburg and after a 1-1 start in '07, has compiled a 113-78-1 mark. That includes taking the Golden Eagles to NINE bowls in the last 10 years (six wins, including C-USA's lone bowl win LY!). Skip Holtz has done a real nice job at East Carolina, as he took over a school which had gone 3-20 in '03 and '04 and is 13-13 since '05. More impressively, his ATS mark is 19-7! To open '07, the Pirates went into Blacksburg and played Va Tech well, losing 17-7 as almost a four-TD underdog. They then beat North Carolina 34-31 on a last-second FG last Saturday, for the school's first win over the Tar Heels since 1975 and just the SECOND in school history! QB Patrick Pinkney was great LW (406 YP and three TDs) but he gets little help from a rushing game that's averaged just 103 YPG (3.0 per). While the Pirates are home, they'll have a tough time with Southern Miss. East Carolina could easily be 'flat' off the North Carolina win plus Southern Miss will surely be focused after losing to EC last year at home! The Pirates scored on a 4th down play from the two-yard line, to send the game into OT with 13 seconds remaining. EC then won 20-17 in OT. That ended a five-game winning streak in the series for Southern Miss, in which it had outscored EC by the combined score of 174-66! QB Jeremy Young is now a senior and RB Damion Fletcher is off a freshman year in which he gained 1,388 YR (5.0 per) and scored 11 TDs. Revenge is a major motivating force here and Bower leads his team to yet another conference win. C-USA Game of the Year 20* Southern Miss.
Good Luck...Larry
Winning Points
Best Bets: Army 24-23
Best Bets: Kansas
Perfered
Illinois
Vanderbilit
Wyoming
Indiana
JIM HURLEY'S
GOLD KEY FOOTBALL
Saturday, September 15, 2007
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
4*UNLV (+17) over Hawaii 9:30pm (ET)
2*Arkansas (+3) over Alabama 6:45pm(ET)
2*Fla Atlantic (+7) over Minnesota 1:00pm(ET)
indian cowboy
Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Football
Game: Mississippi Rebels @ Vanderbilt - Saturday September 15, 2007 7:00 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) ATS: Vanderbilt -6 (-110) (Play of the Day)
Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Football
Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Auburn Tigers - Saturday September 15, 2007 12:30 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) ATS: Mississippi State Bulldogs +12.5 (-110) (Normal)
10:30am.
Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Football
Game: Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ Michigan - Saturday September 15, 2007 3:30 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) TOTAL: Over 44 (-110) (Normal)
10:30am.
Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Football
Game: So Mississippi @ East Carolina Pirates - Saturday September 15, 2007 6:00 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) ATS: So Mississippi -1 (-111) (Normal)
10:30am.
Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Football
Game: Hawaii @ UNLV Rebels - Saturday September 15, 2007 9:30 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) ATS: UNLV Rebels +17.5 (-112) (Normal)
MARC LAWRENCE CFB PAID for PICK
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Here is this weekend's one PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB Play from Marc
Lawrence:
Perfect System Play -
9/15/07 - College
DOS MUCHO
PLAY AGAINST any Game Three college team that is 2-0 SU & ATS who won
their first game of the season by 40 < points, that did not cover the
spread by 25 > points in their last game, if they were a bowl team
last season and are not playing with revenge against a conference
opponent today.
ATS W-L Record SInce 1980: 15-0
Play Against: Boston College (therefore, bet ON Georgia Tech)
Rationale: Teams who open the season nice and fat who were successful
last year will come back to earth in Game Three against conference foes.
Phil Steele
TV Play of the Dau: Illinois -11 over Syracuse
College Comp: BYU over Tulsa
POWER PLAYS NEWSLETTER
4* Power Plays
4* Illinois
4* Purdue
4* Virginia Tech
4* Iowa
4* Kansas
4* Oregon
4* Alabama
4* UTEP
4* BYU
4* FSU
4* Arizona State
Pointwise Newsletter
Rating:1 Kansas over Toledo
Rating:1 Missouri over Western Michigan
Rating:2 New Mexico over Arizona
Rating:3 Arizona State over San Diego State
Rating:4 Tennessee over Florida
Rating:4 North Carolina over Virginia
Rating:5 Central Florida over Texas
Rating:5 Mississippi over Vanderbilt
Pointwise Redsheet
89 Kansas 57 Toledo 13
89 Tennesee 22 Florida 23
88 Michigan State 38 Pittsburgh 20
88 Indiana 41 Akron 17
88 Arizona State 56 San Diego State 7
87 Missouri,New Mexico,Penn State,Texas Tech
Pointwise Phone Service Plays
4 Purdue
4 Kansas
3 Kentucky
3 USC
3 Miami OH
3 Tennesse
3 Missouri
3 New Mexico
2 Ohio St
2 Notre Dame
THE GOLD SHEET Late Telephone Selections:
#166 ALABAMA = SUPER POWER 7 (which I think means it's a 2 unit play)
#175 TEXAS-EL PASO = Top Play (which translates to 1 1/2 units)
#122 MIAMI (Ohio) = Regular Play (1 unit)
#124 VIRGINIA TECH = Regular Play (1 unit)
#133 TENNESSEE = Regular Play (1 unit)
#173 & #174 (Southern Cal vs. Nebraska) UNDER = Regular Play (1 unit)
Goldsheets super 7's at 13W 15L the last 5 years
Norm Hitzges: 20-17 YTD
Double Play--Kansas -23 vs Toledo
Illinois -12.5 vs Syracuse
Wake Forest -19.5 vs Army
Arizona State -28 vs San Diego State
Buffalo +34 vs Penn State
Vandy -5 vs Mississippi
VaTech -20.5 vs Ohio
Michigan State -11 vs Pittsburgh
Kentucky +6.5 vs Louisville
USC -9.5 vs Nebraska
Georgia Tech -6.5 vs Boston College
California -33.5 vs LaTech
Doc's Sports
college
4* Maryland +16.5
4* Central Flr +19
4* Tenn +7.5
3* iowa -17.5
6* atlantic +7.5
4* Indiana -13.5
4* ul monroe +23
5* Wash. +4
3* Neb +9.5
Gameday
4* Hawaii.
3* Michigan State
10-3 last yr, 1-0 this yr. on 4 *s
Wild Bill
Maryland +16 1/2 (1 unit)
Syracuse +12 1/2 (1 unit)
North Carolina -3 (5 units)
Auburn -13 (2 units)
Va Tech -20 1/2 (1 unit)
Over 39 1/2 Iowa-Iowa St (5 units)
E. Michigan +14 1/2 (1 unit)
Utah St +46 1/2 (2 units)
Fresno +16 1/2 (1 unit)
Over 48 1/2 Texas-UCF (1 unit)
UCF +19 1/2 (1 unit)
Cal -33 1/2 (1 unit)
Over 53 Ball St-Navy (1 unit)
Akron +13 (1 unit)
Over 55 1/2 Idaho-Wash St (1 unit)
Louisville -6 1/2 (2 units)
Alabama -3 (2 units)
Boston College +7 1/2 (1 unit)
Duke +16 1/2 (2 units)
UTEP +6 1/2 (1 unit)
Florida St -4 (3 units)
New Mexico +10 1/2 (1 unit)
SMU +3 (2 units)
Middle Tenn +42 (1 unit)
Over 49 Stanford-San Jose (5 units)
Over 62 UNLV-Hawaii (2 units)
Ultra Sports
5 georgia tech
5 florida st.
4 new mexico
3 michigan st
Penthouse Picks
6% Alabama –3
5% Florida St –4
4% Byu –6
4% Indiana –13.5
3% Houston –14.5
3% Utep +5.5
Ben Burns
main event lock........nebraska
situational goy......tulsa
blowout......cal
revenge gow....unlv
regular plays.......utah and syr
Pro Info Sports
Game: Pittsburgh vs. Michigan State
Date / Time: Saturday September 15th, 2007 12:00PM EST
TV: n/a
Line: Michigan State -11.5 Total: 48.5
Rating: 3* (3% of bankroll)
Selection: Michigan State
Analysis:
A new wind is blowing in East Lansing and it’s because of new Head Coach Mark Dantonio. His no nonsense coaching style has been a welcome change for the Spartans and his record at Cincinnati, two bowls in three seasons has the State faithful dreaming about the old days at Michigan State.
We used this Michigan State team in Week 1 as a 3* over UAB and they delivered an easy win for us, 55-18. The same fundamental and statistical indicators that put us on State in Week 1 are giving us State over Pittsburgh this week.
Last season State racked up 335 yards rushing to Pitts 81 in a 38 to 23 win. MSU has shown a balanced attack this season putting up 593 yards of total offense to UAB’s 226. Last week versus Bowling Green they showed a balanced attack once again with 142 yards rushing and 250 yards passing in a 28-17 win.
Technical Support for our selection: Pittsburgh is 4-25 ATS away after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers since 1992, Pitt is 3-14 ATS away after a two game home stand, Pitt is 20-39 ATS in road games after playing a game at home since 1992. MSU is 21-8 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992.
SELECTION: 3* MICHIGAN STATE 37 PITTSBURGH 14
Sebastian
200* Alabama -3 unless the line is beyond 4, then buy no points.
10* Indiana -12.5
10* HOU -14
10* Utah +15
20* GA Tech -7
20* Notre Dame +10
20* Tulsa +7
30* Kentucky +6
30* Kansas lay whatever
30* Ohio +21
The Real Animal
Top Plays
5* BC/GT Under
4.5* Tennessee
Volmania
09-15-2007, 08:23 AM
SERVICE PLAY TRACKER (http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=pELqHsmn0ySz2bVLgWCInCA&hl=en)
We have one consensus play today
SERVICE PLAY TRACKER (http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=pELqHsmn0ySz2bVLgWCInCA&hl=en)
THE HITMAN
09-15-2007, 09:40 AM
thanks for the work
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