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Volmania
09-19-2007, 06:20 PM
Big al has a monster play on Miami tonight
EZ Winners
1 STAR: (908) WASHINGTON (+$111) over Philadelphia
(Listing Bergmann only)
(Risking $100 to win $111)
1 STAR: (912) ST. LOUIS (-$128) over Houston
(Listing Looper only)
(Risking $128 to win $100)
Winning Points
*CLOSE CALL
Texas A&M over Miami-FL* by 2
The key number in this puzzle might be in the play counts
for each offense:
2006
Miami-FL: 61.8
Texas A&M: 67
2007
Miami-FL: 59.7
Texas A&M: 74.0
The Aggies can stay on the field better than Miami-FL can.
They did so a year ago, and they are doing it so far this
season. Miami needs to hit big plays but they don't seem to
have the big-play receivers any more. Defensively, Miami-FL
haslong thrived on the turnover but A&M is not the kind of
team to come in and throw it away. They play power football
with the added difficulty of option and if they don't fumble,
they bull their way to owning the clock, controlling the game,
and wearing down the Miami-FL defense in the second half.
Weather forecast of possible thunderstorms and winds up to
20 mph would probably benefit the ground-oriented visitors
and hamper the big-play seeking home team. TEXAS A&M, 23-21.
Wayne Root
Chairman - Texas A&m
Big Al
Blue Chip - Miami Hurricanes
Championship - Brewers Over
Linemover - Washington Nationals
Kelso
7 units Tex A&M +2.5 @ Miami
2 units Under 46.5
1 unit Parlay of both
Beat Your Bookie
100* NCAA NO LIMIT Football Winner
Miami Huricanes
Brandon Lang
15 DIME
Texas A&M
5 DIME
Texas A&M/Miami OVER
BIG AL's
93% THURSDAY NIGHT ESPN GAME OF THE MONTH
Miami Hurricanes
Ben Burns
Thursday night Game of the month
Miami-Fla
Marc Lawrence
Hurricanes tackle the Aggies in at home in hot and muggy South Florida this evening knowing that teams in Game Four of the season with 17 or more returning starters, playing off back-to-back ATS losses who allow < 30 PPG, are 14-0 ATS as a dog or favorite of < 10 points provided they were not shutout in their opening game of the season. With Texas A&M 0-6 ATS in their last 6 non-conference road games, and also 1-9 ATS on the road in weekday games, we'll stay at home with Miami here tonight.
Lenny Del Genio's Thursday Night Game of the Month (15-4 starts in CFB!)
It can't get too much better than Lenny's 15-4 start to CFB '07 here at BigAl! He was 7-1 last weekend and opens this weekend with his 15* Thursday Night Game of the Month. Be sure to put an oddsmaker's edge on your side as Lenny continues the winning tonight on Aggies and 'Canes!
Prediction: Texas A&M
Reason: Play on Texas A&M at 7:45 ET. These teams meet for just the second time ever and not since 1944. Clearly there's no history. Recent history however, shows a Miami program in decline, with a young first-time head coach, who would have never been given a chance if Miami was what it once was! LY's disaster saw an ugly 31-7 loss at Louisville, a 20-15 'escape' at pathetic Duke and a road loss at 5-7 Virginia. Miami did go 5-2 at home but two of those wins came over Florida A&M and Florida Int'l. Speaking of Fla Int'l, while Miami had 428 yards of total offense, including 204 via the run, the 'Canes won just 23-9 (as 32 1/2-point favorites). Kyle Wright is back at QB (replacing Kirby Freeman) but really, neither QB can play at a high level. Miami's offense still looks to make "big plays" but the team has no "big-play" people! There's nothing wrong with Miami's defense but A&M is a grind-it-out team with a very dangerous QB in Stephen McGee plus a deep stable of runners. McGee completed 62% LY (12 TDs and just two INTs) and while he's not off to as good of a start TY, he does lead the team in rushing (263 yards / 9.1 ypc). A&M averages 296.3 yards on the ground (6.4 ypc) and 275-pound FB Lane already has seven TDs! A&M went 5-0 away from College Station last year, before getting swamped by Cal in the Holiday Bowl. Franchione's in his fifth year at A&M and while the Aggies won in Austin last year, a win on the road against a non-conference "name school" like Miami, would be HUGE. The good thing working for A&M here is that Miami is "big-time' in name only. Miami got drubbed in Norman 51-13 and while this game will be closer, A&M is clearly the better team. A&M is my 15* Thursday Night Game of the Month.
INDIAN COWBOY
Play: Texas A&M +3 (POD)
Comments: IC'S NCAAF PLAY OF THE DAY: Texas A&M +3 (POD) You notice the line slowly going down? There is good reason for it. The Aggies are the far better team here and I understand that they have played no one of significance, but I also understand that that this team's lowest point total of the season is 38. What is the one thing that Miami is horrible at? Offense. This team put up a pathetic number of points against a no-name Florida school, and now has to match point totals with the Aggies? This is going to be a long day for the overrated Hurricanes as this is still the same crop that Coker brought in and Coker has killed the program in the final few years he was there and this is not Shannon's fault, but the Aggies, should rightfully be favored here as the Hurricanes are getting far too much respect with a terrible offense. Miami's defense is great right? Any team that gets lit up for 50 points, Oklahoma or not, is not a great defense. A&M will simply make more plays and have far too many offensive weapons in my mind to be held back in this game. Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, this team is ranked top 20 in the nation for a reason and the Hurricanes are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite.
IC MLB: HOUSTON vs ST LOUIS
Play: Astros / Cards Under 8.5 (some places possibly 9)
Comments: IC MLB: Astros / Cards Under 8.5 (some places possibly 9): Yes, I know Wandy is horrible on the road. However, I also know that neither of these offenses can score worth a lick as well as the fact that Wandy went on the road, to Wrigley and pitched 6 scoreless innings and gave up 4 hits. Now, that won't show up on the overall stats for him this year as he is 2-10 away from home. The Cardinals beat Wandy with a 2-4 ballgame against Wainwright and getting runs from either of these teams right now is like pulling your hair out. Looper has gone under 2 of 3 times when he faced the Astros this year and the game that went over was when Jennings was on the mound, that itself should be understandable - plus it was a road start for Looper. Braden has a 3.05 ERA at home and when he faced both Sampson and Williams of the Astros, the game went under, and why not Wandy here, where whenever he pitches 2 straight non-quality starts, he comes backfired up with a quality start. Under is 7-1 when the Astros are a dog, under is 4-1 when the Cards face a lefty at home and the under is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings in St. Louis
IC MLB: TBA vs TBA
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