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Confidential Kick-Off!! The Gold Sheet!!
America's Handicapping Leaders For 50 Seasons!
11* KANSAS CITY (over Minnesota)
Late Score Forecast:
*KANSAS CITY 20 - Minnesota 6
(Sunday, September 23)
Chiefs finally get to play a game at friendly Arrowhead, where they are 12-4
last 16 vs. spread. And there are other pluses as well, with DE Jared Allen
(7.5 sacks LY) returning from two-game suspension, and Larry Johnson now
having two games to get the kinks out following his training-camp salary
holdout. QB Damon Huard played a heady game last week vs. Chicago's tough
defense, with one TDP and another perfect strike nullified by a motion
penalty. Re-acquisition of quick OLB Donnie Edwards gives Chiefs another
blitzer to pair with forceful young veteran Derrick Johnson. K.C. OL
protection held up pretty well vs. Chicago pressure. Meanwhile, Minny QBs
had 5 turnovers at Detroit
JIM KRUGER
4* Detroit Lions +7
Red Sheet Plays
NFL 88--
PITT 34-13 over S Fran
87's--
N ENG
CAR
TENN
DOC SPORTS (Warning : Very poor start in NFL this year)
4 Unit Play. #110 Take Philadelphia -6 over Detroit (Sunday 1:00 pm Fox) Many said last Monday’s game was a must win game for the Eagles at home against the Redskins. That did not occur, but we feel that the Lions coming to town is just what the doctor ordered to get back on track. The last time these two squads battled, it was all Eagles by a score of 30-13. The Eagles have a bye coming and realize that this is a must win game if they have any visions of repeating as NFC East Champions. QB McNabb has too much ability to be kept down for long. Philly dominated a much better NFC North team in week one, yet lost because of special teams. Now they put a complete game together and win this game by double-digits. Philly 28, Detroit 17.
5 Unit Play. #120 Take Cincinnati +3 ½ over Seattle (Sunday 4:05 pm CBS) Game of the Month. Both teams need this win after suffering loses last week to lesser opponents. Both teams also have strong offenses and bad defenses meaning the underdog looks very attractive. With New England on deck, this is a must win game for the Bengals or they are looking @ a possible 1-3 start to the season. The Seahawks have won games because they play in a terrible division that keeps getting with the fall of St. Louis. The Seahawks defense gave up 431 yards to Arizona last week. We all know how bad the Bengals played in week 2, but there defense will respond and has a knack of creating turnovers to stop opposing drives. The Bengals will reach 30 points and this is just too much to ask of the Seahawks offense. Cincy 30, Seattle 27.
4 Unit Play. #128 Take New Orleans -4 ½ over Tennessee (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) The Saints have yet to find the magic of last season, but that can happen in the NFL, especially opening up with two games on the road. This will be their first game in the Superdome and is a must win affair in order to save their season. The Titans are coming off a tough loss to Indy, a game in which they had a chance to win with under two minutes to play. The Titans weakness (passing game) plays right into the Saints weakness (pass defense) and thus this is a perfect match-up for New Orleans. QB Brees is too good and has too many weapons to not put it together. New Orleans earns the victory and we collect on the last game of week three.
Best of Luck - Doc's Sports
Gator Report
NFL "Tech" Total GOW: Jacksonville vs. Denver
Technical Set: Game 3 road teams off back to back "Unders" are 5-16 Under since 1996 and a perfect 0-8 Under as underdogs of 8 points or less. NFL Home Favorites off back to back SU wins but off back to back ATS losses are 1-9 Under since 1986. Game 3 road teams who began the year with two straight home games are 1-7 Under since 1999. Jacksonville is 1-4 Under in their first road game of the season and 0-2 Under versus Denver the last two meetings. Denver is 0-13-1 Under off a division home game and 3-10 Under after facing the Raiders. Play Under NFL teams when the total is between 35.5 and 42 points after allowing 9 points or less last game facing an opponent after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. 12-38 Under the last 10 years.
Selection: UNDER 35
Larry Ness' NFL Week Three 24* Play (1st of the '07 FB season!)
Larry's established himself as one of the most recognizable, respected and successful handicappers in the industry. The current FB season is his 24th and a 24* play not only represents his years in the business but is also the highest star rating he assigns any game. "Be there" for Larry's first 24* of the '07 NFL season!
My 24* play is on the KC Chiefs at 1:00 ET.
There are a number of phony 2-0 NFL teams but the Vikings are a phony 1-1 team! In Week 1 vs the Falcons, despite not running a SINGLE play in the red zone, Minnesota beat Atlanta, 24-3. The Vikings returned two interceptions for TDs plus saw Adrian Peterson take a "dump off" 60 yards for a TD. Some had Peterson ready for Canton after his Week 1 performance (19-103 YR / 60-yd TD catch)) but he followed up that effort with just 66 yards (3.3 per) vs the Lions last week. QB Tarvaris Jackson had FOUR interceptions vs the Lions before he was hurt and it looks as if Kelly Holcomb will get the start here. Minnesota fans seem to love the idea but one wonders if they know the 34-year-old Holcomb has appeared in 38 NFL games, going 8-13 (.381) in his 21 starts. After a playoff appearance LY, the Chiefs went 0-4 in the preseason and have opened the regular season at 0-2. LJ's holdout hurt the team, as the man who averaged 26 attempts per game in '06, has totaled just 26 carries in two games in '07 (for 98 yards). Look for MUCH more from Johnson in this one, even though the Vikings own a great rush D. Also, I expect QB Damon Huard to show some of his '06 form in which he went 5-3 as a starter, completing 60.7% with 11 TDs and only one INT (98.0 QB rating!). KC gets DE Jared Allen back from suspension this week and he's the team's best defensive player (27.5 sacks the L/3 years). The Chiefs actually out-gained the Bears in LW's loss (281-239) and I predict the team that's 19-6 ATS in its last 25 home openers, is PRIMED for a breakout game. 24* KC Chiefs.
Good Luck...Larry
Ben Burns PERSONAL FAVORITE (12-2 L14 PFs) *EARLY KICK
Site regulars know all about Ben Burns' ABSOLUTE DOMINATION with his "Personal Favorites." These HIGHLY COVETED plays are currently on a INCREDIBLE 12-2 (86%) RUN including 1-0 this NFL season. That selection came in Week 1 when Houston HAMMERED KC by a score of 20-3.
Kansas City Chiefs (-3 or better)
Ben Burns' NFL Total of the Week (176-114 Totals RUN!)
There's a reason why Ben Burns is so well respected throughout the industry and why his over/under picks have a GRANDMASTER RATING. That's because The Man is Documented, against totally unbiased lines, with an ABSOLUTELY AMAZING 176-114 (61%) RECORD with his L290 NFL totals.
Oakland/Cleveland UNDER (38 or better)
***ALERT*** Ben Burns' #1 NFC GAME OF THE MONTH!
Last month, Ben Burns released his highest rated play from the NFC during the month of August, his Preseason NFC Game of the Year, and the Green Bay Packers ABSOLUTELY SMASHED the Seattle Seahawks, winning by a score of 48-13. The TIME HAS COME for Ben to release his #1 NFC play from the month of September.
Chicago Bears (-4 or better)
Ben Burns' 3-Game EXECUTIVE Report *1:00 EST KICK!
Ben Burns had to settle for a 2-1 card with last week's 3-Game Executive Report. Burns LOVES this afternoon's card and today he's GETTING OUT THE BROOM and going for the SWEEP. This COMMANDING CARD contains Ben's BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK and a pair of POWERFUL LIVE DOGS, including Ben's Contrarian Game of the Week
Contrarian GOW : ATLANTA (+3 or better)
Live Dog : N.Y.GIANTS (+3 or better)
Blowout of the week : PHILADELPHIA (-7 or better)
MARC LAWRENCE PERFECT SYSTEM CLUB
FALSE FAV
PLAY AGAINST an NFL non-division home favorite off a SU home dog wiin
if they won 6 < games last season vs. an opponent of a win or loss of
4 < points.
ATS W-L Record Since 1981: 14-0Play Against: Tampa Bay (therefore, play ON St Louis RAMS)
P.P.P.
NFL SIDES
5% DENVER (-3) over Jacksonville
3% Arizona (+8) over BALTIMORE
3% SEATTLE (-3) over Cincinnati
Dr Boob
One Best Bet and 6 Strong Opinions.
Cincinnati (+3) 3-Star at +3 1/2, 2-Stars at +3.
Strong Opinions
Houston (+6)
Buffalo - New England UNDER (42)
Tampa Bay (-3 1/2)
Chicago (-3)
Dallas - Chicago UNDER (41 1/2)
Tennessee (+3 1/2)
Trey Johnson 5* NFL Dog of the Year
Not only do we have an incredible 20-5-1 ATS for 80% mark this football season our Top Rated 5* selections are an awesome 3-1 ATS for 75 percent! Join us today as we increase those winning numbers with our 5* NFL Dog of the Year. With the support of a 90 percent winning trend you don’t want to pass on this easy money.
#415 Jacksonville (+) over Denver at 4:05 PM EST
After a tough opener the Jaguars settled down and took care of business last week against Atlanta. As a first year starter Garrard is proving to be the right choice for the Jags. Last week he was 17-25 for 272 yards and a touchdown. Defensively the Jags had seven sacks last week and held the Falcons to 82 yards rushing.
Denver is 2-0 but just barely winning both of their games on the last play of regulation. Second year QB Cutler has looked solid although he is a bit erratic having thrown three interceptions this season. Defensively six new starters is just one reason the Broncos are allowing 156 rushing yards per game.
Jacksonville is the better of the two teams in this matchup. After barely escaping against both Buffalo and Oakland the Broncos are about to learn they can’t get that lucky against a good team. Denver is 1-9 ATS in their last ten. That is about to drop to 1-10 after the Jags dominate today.
Play Jacksonville (+)
MTI Sports
5 Carolina/Atlanta Over
4 San Fran
4 Minnesota
Larry Ness' 20* NFL Total of the Month (12-4 or 75% ATS the last four seasons!)
My 20* is on Car/Atl Over at 4:15 ET.
We are getting some great value in this over/under number, as Atlanta has opened the '07 season with just 10 points! Bobby Petrino was brought in from Louisville to "spice up the offense" but of course Mike Vick's off-field problems left the Atlanta offense with Joey Harrington at the controls. Harrington has been DREADFUL in the first two weeks with a QB rating of 74.1. He's been sacked 13 times and Petrino has been very critical of his "holding onto the ball too long." I mention this because I believe we will see a much different Harrington on Sunday. This is Atlanta's first home game and you may remember Atlanta's first home game in the preseason (Monday nighter vs the Bengals), in which an animated Harrington had two first-half TD passes. I believe Harrington will "look to force things" in this game, with both GOOD and BAD consequences. Carolina's 2ndy has yet to make an interception (70 attempts) plus has just one sack, so Harrington could do well. If not, he'll lengthen the game with incompletions plus remember, both of his INTs this year have been returned for TDs. Atlanta's once proud rushing attack has been held in check by two excellent run defenses (Minnesota and Jacksonville) the first two weeks but Carolina's D is no longer top-flight. Carolina's Delhomme has completed 66.2% through two games with six TDs and only one INT (QB rating of 112.2) and Atlanta's 2ndy allowed David Garrard to pass for 272 yards LW. Atlanta once had a fierce pass rush but most of those key players have either left or are injured. Carolina is 1-1 but plays three straight division games (Bucs and Saints follow), with a chance to take control of what figures to be a weak NFC South. Carolina will not hold back. The team's running game is not longer a major threat, so that leaves it up to the passing game. Steve Smith already has 15 catches and four TDs. With a weakened pass rush and a questionable 2ndy, the Falcons will have trouble slowing down the Panthers. This game figures to top 50 points. NFL Total of the Month 20* Car/Atl Over.
Good Luck...Larry
Brandon Lang
SUNDAY
50 DIME
PITTSBURGH STEELERS - (Only lay -10. If your man has 10 1/2 , you buy the hook and only lay -10. If your man has 11 when you call up, lay that no problem. You NEVER let that 1/2 point beat you. NEVER get beat by the hook.
free pick - Cowboys/Bears OVER - For analysis see daily video
analysis by 9 am eastern
SUNDAY LATE PLAYS
20 DIME
BEARS - (If your man has 3 1/2, you buy the hook and only lay -3. If your man has -4, it's ok to lay that. You just NEVER, I repeat, NEVER get beat by the 1/2 point. NEVER get beat by the hook.)
10 DIME
Seahawks - (If your man has 3 1/2, you buy the hook and only lay -3. If your man has -4, it's ok to lay that. You just NEVER, I repeat, NEVER get beat by the 1/2 point. NEVER get beat by the hook.)
5 DIME
Packers
Lions
Buccaneers
Falcons
Free Pick - Cowboys/Bears OVER - (For analysis see Daily video)
Rocketman Sports
plays are rated 1-5 units / 8-1 5* NFL last year
Minnesota @ Kansas City 1:00 PM EST
Play On: 5* Kansas City -3
Minnesota is 1-7 ATS last 3 years in non conference games. Kansas City is 13-3 SU and 12-4 ATS at home the past 3 years. Chiefs have won 4 of the past 6 meetings. Chiefs quarterback Damon Huard is 6-0 as a starter at home. Kansas City is 8-2 ATS as favorites when the Over-Under line is 35 points or less. Kansas City is 13-4 ATS in Game 3 last 17 years. Kansas City is 19-6 ATS in home openers. Kansas City is 8-1 ATS away off a non division game in September. Minnesota is 2-15 ATS off a straight up loss vs opponent off a double digit straight up loss. Brad Childress is 1-4 ATS off a division game vs non division opponent. We'll play Kansas City for 5 units today!
NASCAR
#1 Martin Truex Jr. vs #2 Kurt Busch 2:15 PM EST
Play On: 3* #1 Martin Truex Jr. -135
Martin Truex Jr. won at this track earlier this year. He has 1 win, one Top 5 finish and two Top 10 finishes in his 3 career races in Dover. Truex Jr. has a 9.7 average finish at the Monster Mile. Kurt Busch only has two Top 5 finishes, four Top 10 finishes and no wins in his 14 races in Dover. He has an average finish of 20.1. We'll play Martin Truex Jr. to finish ahead of Kurt Busch today for 3 units!
#01 Mark Martin vs #26 Jamie McMurray 2:15 PM EST
Play On: 3* #01 Mark Martin -130
Mark Martin has four wins, 19 Top 5 finishes and 26 Top 10 finishes in his 42 races here in Dover. Martin has an average finish of 12.9 in Dover. McMurray has only one Top 5 finish and three Top 10 finishes in his 9 races in Dover. We'll play Mark Martin to finish ahead of Jamie McMurray for 3 units today!
We finished last years NFL season 38-12 last 17 weeks including 19-4 last 23 plays last season. 43-17 last 60 NFL plays overall!
HSW Early Telephone Service
5* Seattle
3 Team Parlay
Seattle, Kansas City, Atlanta
Wolkosky Milan
121-72-2 last thirty six days!!! (62.7%)
5-1 Yesterday!
Today:
10* CHIEFS -3
10* DOLPHINS +3
10* COWBOYS +3½
10* FALCONS +4
10* STL/TB OVER 38
10* CAR/ATL OVER 37
10* IND/HOU UNDER 47½
Free: PACKERS +5½
Scott Spreitzer's NFL Knockout Beatdown! *42-19, 69% ATS Run!
Denver has been quite possibly, the most fortunate team through the first two weeks of action. They followed a last-second win over Buffalo, with an OT victory over the hapless Raiders. The worst news for Denver is that they can't stop the run. The Broncos are allowing 156 rushing yards per game at 5.1 yards per pop and will now face a Jaguar offense that sports one of the best RB duos in the league. This is the week that the mammoth Jaguar offensive line puts it together for Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew. Once the two RBs get it going, it should be lights-out! The Jaguar play-action offense is obviously predicated by a strong ground attack. Against this defense, I believe the Jaguars will finally bust out. Defensively, the aggressive Jaguar defense should be able to keep Denver's offense in check. Jay Cutler is an up-and-comer, but he doesn't yet possess the ability to make defenses pay downfield on a consistent basis. That will be Denver's offensive undoing in this one. The Broncos may be undefeated, but the Jags are the better team. We'll grab the points with Jacksonville on Sunday. Thanks! GL! Scott
Volmania
09-23-2007, 07:34 AM
We have a consensus play today
FBZ Service Tracker (http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=pELqHsmn0ySz2bVLgWCInCA)
Good luck post it where ever you like.
jaf303
09-23-2007, 08:01 AM
Can you post the consensus in the thread because I can't get the tracker on the mobile.
Go birds!
Volmania
09-23-2007, 08:33 AM
Thor, Ness 24 and LV Hilton pushed KC Chiefs to a consensus
Kelso 100, ppp and LV Hilton pushed Denver to a consensus.
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