Wednesday FREE Service Plays

[Volmania]

Lets take it to the man on hump day.

[Volmania]

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Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness

Game: Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers Sep 26 2007 10:10PM
Prediction: over
Reason: The Rockies are chasing franchise history tonight in LA, as they look to for their 10th consecutive victory in their game with the Dodgers. Colorado won its ninth straight game last night (9-7), matching a franchise record. The Rockies are now tied with Philadelphia and both are one game behind NL wild card leader San Diego with five games remaining. The Rockies have averaged 7.1 RPG during their streak (six of nine games have gone over) and have beaten the Dodgers five straight times, with the last four games sailing over. Let's look at tonight's starters. Derek Lowe of LA has allowed 30 hits and 20 ERs over his last five starts, posting a 6.84 ERA. In 12 career games vs Colorado, he's got a 5.35 ERA. That includes two starts in '07 in which he's allowed 16 hits and 10 ERs in 7.2 innings (11.74 ERA). Josh Fogg of the Rockies had a super three-game stretch from 8.27-9/9 in which he posted a 2.12 ERA but he's lasted just five innings in each of his last two starts (both no-decisions), allowing 13 hits, four walks and seven ERs (6.30 ERA). He's allowed 179 hits in 153 innings on the season, with a 5.06 ERA. In two starts vs LA this year, he's allowed 16 hits and nine ERs for a 6.94 ERA. Why won't this game go over this modest total? NL Total of the Week 15* Col/LA Over.





Guaranteed Pick: Larry Ness

Game: Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Sep 26 2007 7:05PM
Prediction: over
Reason: I went over in Santana's last start and cashed and will come right back and go over again. The man who won two of the last three AL Cy Young awards, has struggled through a tough '07. The Twins went 27-7 (plus-$1,669) in his starts LY (best mark in MLB!) but are just 17-15 (minus-$931) in his starts in '07. He's allowed four ERs or more in FIVE of his last six starts, posting an ERA of 5.05 in that six-game stretch. This will be Santana's final start of the year, as he closes out his worst season as a full-time starter. He gave up three homers against Chicago in his last outing, which raised his AL-leading total to 33 HRs this year. The Tigers have been great all year vs lefties, going 27-15 (plus-$1,260) on the season and that includes a 12-5 mark at home, where they've averaged 6.3 RPG. Jair Jurrjens (3-1, 3.90 ERA) goes for Detroit as he tries for his fourth straight winning decision. He allowed four runs and six hits in just 2.1 innings in his last outing, a 5-4 win over Kansas City on Friday. The Tigers need to win-out and also need the Yanks to lose-out, to force a one-game playoff. That's not realistic, so I see the Tigers playing fairly "pressure-free." The low total reflects a Santana in "top-notch form," which he CLEARLY is not! AL Total of the Week 15* Min/Det Over.

[Volmania]

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Sebastian
Oak 5*,
Tex Under 7*,
Giants 7*,
Reds 10*,
Dodgers Over 10

[Volmania]

Copied from Mauisportsinsider

BIG AL

championship - indians game 2
blue chip - yankees
linemover - mets
offshore steam - twins

[Volmania]

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Robert Ferringo 3-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 Washington at New York Mets (7 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 26)
1-Unit Play. Take #909 Washington (+1.5, -120) over New York Mets (7 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 26)
Phil Humber has done absolutely nothing in this league to justify being a -180 favorite so we’re going to hit him with the fading stick. The Nationals have owned the Mets over the past week and all the value is squarely on them. Also, neither team can get anyone on the other out and I see more piles of runs today. John Hirschbeck is 9-1-1 against the total in his last eleven games behind home plate with an average of 12.8 runs scored in those contests. I fully intend to get on the ‘over’ tomorrow as well, so look for that play too.

3-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 New York Yankees at Tampa Bay (7 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 26)
Brian Gorman’s tight zone is going to get J.P. Howell into a lot of trouble today. Howell has an ERA of 6.80 on the season, 11-57 in his last three starts, and 11.01 at night. The ‘over’ is 13-3-2 in the last 18 meetings and 7-0-2 in the last nine meetings in Tampa Bay. Further, the ‘over’ is 42-18-3 in the Yankees’ last 63 on turf and is 20-9-3 in Tampa Bay’s last 32 games as an underdog of +200 or higher. Bombs away.

2-Unit Play. Take #903 Atlanta (-130) over Philadelphia (7 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 26)
Tim Hudson is throwing in a big spot here and I trust him more than Kyle Lohse. The Braves have been on fire lately and after they were able to stun the Phils in the opener last night I think they’re going to really turn up the heat tonight. Atlanta is 6-2 in Philadelphia and Kyle Lohse has gotten worked for 12 runs in his last 13 innings.

1-Unit Play. Take #924 Detroit (+125) over Minnesota (7 p.m., Wednesday, Sept. 26)
Johan Santana is just 1-4 in his last five starts and is just 1-4 against the Tigers this season. Santana has an ERA of 6.00 in his last two starts and is facing a team that just devastates left-handed pitching. The Twins have had a hard time putting runs on the board and they are simply playing out the string. The Tigers have more to play for and they will earn the underdog victory today.

That's it for today. Good luck.