Thursday FREE Service Plays

[Volmania]

Post it if you have it.

Good luck today.

[5teamparlay]

TOTALS4u.com comp:

THURSDAY'S FREE WINNER: TORONTO/OTTAWA OVER 6 GOALS

[Bluemyboy]

COMP:

UNDERDOG SPORTS

NCAAF Kentucky vs. South Carolina

Take Kentucky Wildcats

Kentucky has not lost a game this year and are ranked 14th in offense. Take the Wildcats for the underdog free play of the week.

[Bluemyboy]

Ryan's 5* SEC Monster Play of the week - 67% ATS
Ryan has hit 67% ATS over the past 3 seasons with his 5* MONSTER plays and his two best conferences have been the Pac-10 and the SEC. Here is his SEC 5* MONSTER Play of the Week. This play is backed by Ryan's extensive research featuring an incredible system and an 8-1 ATS angle.

Guaranteed Pick: John Ryan
Game: Kentucky at South Carolina Oct 4 2007 7:45PM
Prediction: Kentucky
Reason: Ai Simulator 5* graded play on Kentucky – AiS shows an 82% probability that Kentucky will lose this game by 3 or fewer points. Let's first look at one of the dominant factors in this game. The Kentucky rushing game will be the reason that Kentucky covers and may win the game as well. The projections call for them to rush for at least 100 yards in this game and note that Kentucky is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they rush for 100 to 150 yards over the last 3 seasons. Plus, Kentucky is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when they rush for 4 to 4.5 yards per attempt since 1992. South Carolina has a strong offense featuring Spurrier's pass happy schemes. Kentucky's ability to run the ball keeps the SC offense off the field and keeps the SC defense fresh. Kentucky is 5-0 and 4-0 ATS and they are coming off a big win against an inferior opponent in Florida Atlantic. Note that Kentucky is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after a win by 17 or more points since 1992. During HC Brook's tenure the Wildcats are 8-1 ATS after a win by 17 or more points. Supporting this DOG is a money line system that has gone 28-8 and has made 17.5 units since 2002. Play against any team after a win by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 37 points or more in 3 straight games. Take Kentucky

[Bluemyboy]

Big Al

At 6:35pm, on Thursday, our 5* MLB Playoffs Game of the Year is on the Cleveland Indians over the New York Yankees. Everyone will focus on the high-powered offense of the Yankees and the fact that they went 6-0 against the Tribe during the 2007 regular season (hence New York being the favorite here despite the fact that Cleveland has a better record and home field advantage). But what may not be so obvious is that the Yankees did not face Cleveland's best pitcher, tonight's starter lefthander CC Sabathia. In fact, New York has not faced Sabathia since 2004, despite playing Cleveland plenty of times in that span. One of the key reasons why New York should struggle on Thursday is that it is a terrible 5-14 this season on the road vs. lefty starters (minus 15 games on the money line). New York goes with righthander Chien-Ming Wang who has some pretty impressive numbers of late. But if you look at who he's faced in his last four starts, you'll see that three of those were against Kansas City, Tampa Bay, and Toronto (all great pitching lines for Wang). But the fourth start was against a postseason team in the Boston Red Sox, and Wang got hammered in that one. Also of concern to Yankee backers has to be his numbers on the road this season. Away from the Bronx, Wang sports a 4.91 ERA and 103 hits in only 88 innings. One more thing to keep an eye on is the performance of Mariano Rivera. Although generally solid down the stretch, Rivera's last call to the mound on September 28 at Baltimore (a classic save situation with a 3-run lead) was a disaster. Rivera gave up three hits and three earned runs and blew the save. Was this just a rare blip on Rivera's normally spotless resume, or a sign of things to come? The wrong team is favored here. Take the Indians. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.


Big Al
5* Goy Indians
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[Bluemyboy]

DCI

Thursday, October 4, 2007

PLAY KENTUKY + 3 1/2

Southeastern Conference
SOUTH CAROLINA 30, Kentucky 29

[Bluemyboy]

Today's Complimentary Selection The G-Man scored with an easy UNDER on yesterday's Angels-Red Sox contest, and now I am all set to score again with another UNDER, this time in the Rockies-Phillies series.

Yesterday the teams combined for just 6 runs, but more importantly there were only 10 hits total in the contest. While I expect more hits to be rapped out in this game, I still don't see enough combined runs to send this one OVER.

Both Morales and Kendrick were pretty tough to score on down the stretch, and the late day shadows that were cast on the field yesterday should once again benefit the pitchers today.

Philly has been UNDER in their last 4 games, and 8 of their last 11. Expect this one to be another tight, low-scoring affair from Citizens Bank Park.

The G-Man is going LOW in Game 2 of this series!

4♦ UNDER
(on a 1♦ to 5♦ basis)
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[Bluemyboy]

Michael Cannon

I'm now on a 15-10-1 run with my free plays after the Rockies get it done for us yesterday as a +140 dog over the Phillies!

Take the under tonight when Kentucky takes on South Carolina.

The Gamecocks have a good defense and should be able to keep the Wildcats under wraps for the most part.

On the other side of the ball, Steve Spurrier continues to use a quarterback carousel with Chris Smelley and Blake Mitchell, which has prevented any continuity on offense.

Whoever gets the nod tonight will have to get it done against a Kentucky team ranked No. 8 in the country.

With both teams ranked so high, this SEC battle figures to be more of a grudge match than a shootout.

Take the under against this over-inflated number tonight.

3♦ UNDER
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On a 1♦ to 5♦ basis
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[Bluemyboy]

Michael Cannon

20 Dime

YANKEES

Take the Yankees as the small road favorite today in Game 1 of their ALDS over the Indians.
New York will send Chien-Ming Wang to the mound and the right-hander turned in another impressive season, going 19-7 with a 3.70 ERA. He should be able to give manager Joe Torre at least six strong innings tonight, and unlike recent seasons it shouldn’t be an adventure once the bullpen takes over.
That’s because the biggest key in this series, as far as I’m concerned, is the emergence of Yankee setup man Joba Chamberlain.
The rookie right-hander gives the Yankees their most deadly bridge to the closer since Mariano Rivera was setting things up for John Wetteland.
Chamberlain has been virtually unhittable since his promotion to the big leagues, pitching 24 innings and allowing just one earned run on 12 hits, while striking out 34. His emergence gives the Yankees the opportunity to shorten the game to six innings. If the Bronx Bombers have the lead after that point, you can chalk up the win.
As far as the potential for the Yankees hitters to come up short, you can forget about that tonight.
That’s because the Indians will start C. C. Sabathia. Although the burly left-hander is a Cy Young candidate, he has struggled big time against New York in his career.
Sabathia is just 1-7 with a 7.13 ERA in eight career starts against the Yankees.
New York as a team dominated the Tribe in the regular season, winning all six games. They batted .348 as a team and outscored Cleveland 49-17. Overall the Yankees have won the last eight meetings between the clubs.
Take the Yankees as the small road chalk as they grab the win in Game 1.


10 Dime

SOUTH CAROLINA (Buy the ½ point if your line is -3 ½)

Lay the small number with South Carolina tonight when they host Kentucky.
I know Kentucky brings the best player into this game in Andre Woodson. The Wildcats quarterback is a legitimate Heisman Trophy candidate and is one of the nation’s most accurate passers.
But he’s not going against some run-of-the-mill secondary in South Carolina.
The Gamecocks have a veteran laden defense and sport the No. 1 pass defense in the country. The home crowd will add to that advantage by making it difficult for Woodson to call out his signals.
South Carolina coach Steve Spurrier absolutely owns Kentucky, going 14-0 SU in his career against them. The ‘Ol Ball Coach is 33-12-1 ATS playing an SEC opponent off a win and the Gamecocks have won seven in a row against Kentucky (5-2 ATS).
It also helps that South Carolina has already faced two of the SEC’s top teams in Lsu and Georgia, and covered the number in both games.
I’m just not convinced that Kentucky is worthy of its Top 10 ranking, as they haven’t faced the caliber of competition that South Carolina will bring tonight. Sure the Wildcats 40-34 victory over Louisville was impressive at the time, but that win was tempered after the Cardinals lost at home to Syracuse two weeks ago.
The coaching edge definitely goes to South Carolina in this one and it’s hard to go against Spurrier at home laying just a field goal.
Lay the points with South Carolina and remember to buy the ½ point if your line is -3 ½.
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[Bluemyboy]

MR A'S SPORTS RUMBLE

Thursday, October 4th 7:30 p.m. est.
(8) Kentucky Wildcats (5-0) at (11) South Carolina Gamecocks (4-1)
Williams-Brice Stadium - Columbia, South Carolina

Kentucky has lost the last 5 meetings versus South Carolina and is 3-8 ATS in their last 11.

Prediction: South Carolina 27, Kentucky 21
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[Bluemyboy]

Brandon Lang

THURSDAY
10 DIME

Kentucky
Kentucky/S.Carolina UNDER
New York Yankees - Specify Pitchers - Wang vs Sabathia


free pick - Chicago Cubs (For analysis see daily video)

analysis by 3:00 pm eastern today
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[Bluemyboy]

underdog

NCAAF Kentucky vs. South Carolina

Take Kentucky Wildcats

[Bluemyboy]

Dave Cokin

Take "(970) ARI D'backs"

Check out the stats, and you'll see that the Diamondbacks are superior to the Cubs statistically against lefties. Considering this Arizona team seldom outstats anyone, that's actually pretty signifcant. Ted Lilly has been solid for the Cubs, and grades out higher than 'Zona counterpart Doug Davis. But Davis has fared well against the Cubs and despite his pedestrian stuff, the tall southpaw finds a way to keep his team in it more often than not. I like the D-Backs to capture Game Two of this NLDS.
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[Bluemyboy]

Dan Gordon early nfl

Bears +3 ½ or more over Packers: Small Play
Normally this would be a normal or even possibly a large play but since I have seen some bad things with the Bears, I am keeping this as a small play. For one thing, I really thought that the Bears would make a better showing last week off of a Sunday night nationally televised rout loss to the Cowboys. The Bears blew a ten point fourth quarter lead to the Lions and gave up a record 34 points in the fourth quarter of their 27-37 loss in that game. The Bears also have numerous key defensive players out.
However, what stands out this week and has gotten me to back the Bears is that they are a very legitimate must-win underdog this week. The Bears are defending NFC champs and for them to miss the playoffs this season would mark this season as a total disaster. Right now, the Bears are three games behind the Packers. A loss here not only would put them four games back but also would put them two games behind the Packers in the divisional records and make it almost impossible for them to win a tiebreaker and be pretty much out of the playoff running. Whatever effort the Bears have left in them will be given on Sunday night in Green Bay. Meanwhile, the Packers continue to win with an ancient Brett Favre not only playing way beyond himself, but doing so without any running game support. Evenutally, hopefully this week, this will catch up with the Packers.
In addition:
1) The Bears have covered five of their last six revenge games as underdogs (the Packers won the season finale in Chicago last year).
2) The Packers come from two straight emotional up games.
3) The Bears have won three straight in Green Bay.
4) The Bears are a fresh due up, while the Packers are a fresh due down. The Bears have revenge, number (power rating), coverage, and fatigue (Packers up last two) working in their favor in this clashing due combo.
Again, take +3 ½ as soon as you see it.
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[Bluemyboy]

RAS: Not setting the world on fire, much better in College Hoops.

1/2 Unit Early Looks:

K St. -3 over Kan, line the same -juice

Tulsa -3 over UTEP, same

UL Monroe +3 over Ark St, now +2'

UL Laff -6' over N. TX, now -8

YTD. 15-13 +1.05

[Volmania]

copied from MauiSportsinsider

Wayne Root

Chairman - Gamecocks

Millionaire - Yankees

[Thor]

SOLID SERVICE:

LVTR
3-0 SWEEP LAST NIGHT
6-0-1 FOR THE WEEK

LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) POWER PLAY: SOUTH CAROLINA -3 (ALWAYS BUY THE HOOK). Don't be fooled by all the hype surrounding Kentucky. How have we won for you the last two nights going against the public? It was simply a matter of looking at the level of competition each side has faced and as we look closer, all these SEC leading statistics have been against teams that shouldn't be in their class or teams that have been struggling. The Kentucky Wildcats lead the SEC in scoring this season and are second in passing yards yet they accumulated those great numbers against FAU, which is a notch above a community college in S. Florida. They faced a struggling Louisville team who was cruising on last year's success on the perception they were any good this year. Lets add powerhouses like Kent state, and Eastern Kentucky that UK has gained this reputation as an offensive powerhouse against. If Kentucky gets one stamp of approval you could give it to them for the Arkansas win. Now on the other side of the coin we have South Carolina who has faced #1 LSU, Mississippi state and Georgia. With that on their plate, South Carolina Gamecocks leads the nation in pass defense which means trouble for Kentucky as the pass is Kentucky's primary weapon, South Carolina are second in the conference in yards allowed. Spurrier is 14-0 vs. Kentucky. QB Andre Woodson has never beaten South Carolina.
SC will be starting freshmen quarterback Chris Smelley in place of fifth-year senior Blake Mitchell. Smelley did a good job stepping up with 279 yards and two touchdown passes against the Bulldogs’ 48th-ranked pass defense with a 38-21 win. Look for Kentucky to finally see a defense that will be up to the level of competition and we expect a comfortable ATS win. The line is in that gray area between the 3 and 4 so put up the extra 10% and buy the hook as an insurance policy and secure your wager for tonight.

[Thor]

Sports Gambling Hotline
NY Yankees at CLEVELAND (+110)

As good as Chien-Ming Wang and CC Sabathia are, we just don't see this being a low-scoring game.

Wang's road ERA is near 5 for the season, so you can expect the Indians to get a few off the Cy Young candidate tonight.
4 of the 6 meetings between the teams this season went OVER the posted total, and 6 of the last 10 mettings between the teams played in Cleveland have also sailed OVER the posted price.
With both teams featuring some potent sticks in the lineup, and the Yankees on a 7-2-1 OVER clip their last 10 games of the regular season - including their final 3 - we will look for the bats to have their way against the pitching tonight, and for Game One of this series to be a high-scoring one.

Play the OVER in Cleveland tonight.

2♦ OVER



MALINSKY:

PICK: South Carolina
Your pick will be graded at: -3.5
EXPERT: David Malinsky
REASON FOR PICK: 4* SOUTH CAROLINA over KENTUCKY

We certainly tip our caps to what Rich Brooks has been able to do at Kentucky, turning around what had truly been a moribund program. But now the marketplace is giving them too much credit, and that gives us the ability to take advantage of the excellent matchups to the Gamecocks in this one.

First let’s address the market, and the best way to do so is to establish a historical perspective. This will be the third meeting between these programs since Steve Spurrier came to Columbia, with South Carolina winning 44-16 as -12.5 on this field two years ago, and then 24-17 as -4.5 at Lexington last October. We remember both games because we had the Gamecocks as 4* plays each time, and note that LY’s win was easier than the final score would suggest – Carolina led 10-0 at halftime, and 24-10 before a late back-door score was allowed, with the line of scrimmage being dominated to the tune of 190-62 in rushing yards. And of extreme importance was how the Gamecock defense shut down Andre Woodson & Co. on their own field.

Kentucky scored two TD’s in that loss, the first coming when the Wildcats were down 17-0 in the third quarter, and Brooks rolled the dice successfully on a fake punt after another drive had stalled. The other came when they were down 24-7 with less than three minutes remaining, getting set up by a 63-yard pass. It does not get any easier this time, especially in front of a rabid crowd at night, and facing a veteran South Carolina secondary that will have several players eventually playing on Sunday’s. The Gamecocks rate #2 in the nation in pass efficiency defense so far this season, second only to LSU, and through three SEC games they are allowing only 42.4 percent completions and an outstanding 4.5 yards per pass attempt, with more interceptions than TD passes allowed. There is so much quality depth that seven different players have started at least one game so far, and there is perhaps no better compliment than the one given to them by Carolina WR Kenny McKinley - ”I go versus them (in practice) and I’m like, ‘Man, no other team can be this strong.’”

If you take away the strength of Kentucky, which is Woodson and the passing game, this is still a team that is nothing special. The Wildcats had exciting rallies to beat Louisville and Arkansas, but in those games they were out-gained each time, with the defense allowing 467 yards to the Razorbacks and 495 to the Razorbacks. Even Kent State was able to pile up 463, with four turnovers keeping the Golden Flashes from getting more points on the board. This is an average team that has a couple of great skill players, and has gone +7 in turnover ratio so far. They are not good enough to beat this class of SEC opponent on the road.


Marc Lawrence

Game: Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies Oct 4 2007 3:05PM

Prediction: Colorado Rockies

Reason: Play On: Colorado w/Morales vs Kendrick
Note: Okay, we were wrong in assuming the white-hot Rockies would let down in the series opener yesterday. Today they send Franklin Morales to the hill knowing he is 4-1 away with a 2.05 ERA in his team starts. Meanwhile, Philadelphia's Kyle Kendrick is winless, 0-2, with a 7.00 ERA in his career team starts against Colorado. Look for the Rockies win train to stay on track here this afternoon


MIKE WYNN

Colorado/Philadelphia Over 10 Runs

[Thor]

SOME HOCKEY:


TOTALS 4U

TORONTO/OTTAWA OVER 6 GOALS





RAZOR SHARP

SAN JOSE (NHL) -135 over Edmonton






Jeff Bonds
STL (-110) vs 66 PHO
Analysis:

The St. Louis Blues will be a much better team this season - with a full season under head coach Andy Murray. He led the Blues to a 27-18-9 record after starting the year at 7-17-4.

The Blues also added offensive star Paul Kariya and have Keith Tkachuk back and ready for the season.

On the other hand, Phoenix has simply declined under coach Wayne Gretzky - scoring just 216 goals last season and they are missing MUCH of that limited firepower to start the 2007-08 season. Goaltending is also a MAJOR QUESTION MARK and that simply isn't a good omen to start the season.

St. Louis also dominated the last matchup in Phoenix - picking up a 5-2 victory and I expect them to be one of the surprise teams in the NHL this season

[Thor]

Mighty ! Quinn

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1-4 this week
won last night
Yanks (pickem)
Yanks series -180

Kentucky + 3 1/2




Tim Sullivan

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Worst week he ever had was last week

SO. CAROLINA (-31/2) over Kentucky: The Wildcats may have the better team, but Steve Spurrier on a national stage at home with a small number is too good to pass up.


Benjamin lee Eckstein

Ben lee lost with the Fightin Phillies yesterday.
He is 0-1 _$150 for the week.

For Thursday Mr Chalk likes the Yankees -$120/Indians.


HONDO GOES 0-FOR-2


October 4, 2007 -- Hondo swung and missed twice last night as the Angels and Cubs failed to make contributions to The Cause, which sliced the still-beefy bankroll to 375 schofields.




Today, Mr. Aitch expects the Philatelists to get even by puttin' a lickin' on the Rockies. Ten units.

ASHN FREE PICK (1-1 in October, 47-54 in 2007)

CLEVELAND over NY Yankees (Sabathia over Wang)


PRIORITY SPORTS INFO COMP

SEPT: 27-6
OCT: 0-1

PHILLY -155...mlb

[Thor]

David Page

PREMIUM AND CONFIRMED

Thu, October 4th 2007 03:05:00 PM
MLB
Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies +133
Game Pitchers Kyle Kendrick -vs- Franklin Morales

Thu, October 4th 2007 03:05:00 PM
MLB
Philadelphia Phillies
Colorado Rockies
Over 10 (-103)
Game Pitchers Kyle Kendrick -vs- Franklin Morales

Thu, October 4th 2007 10:05:00 PM
MLB
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs -129
Game Pitchers Doug Davis -vs- Ted Lilly

Thu, October 4th 2007 07:45:00 PM
NCF
South Carolina
Kentucky
Kentucky +4 (-102)

Thu, October 4th 2007 07:45:00 PM
NCF
South Carolina
Kentucky
Under 57.5 (-105)

[Thor]

Dr. CHAD

15-2-1

CFB Kentucky

CFB Kentucky OVER

MLB Colorado

MLB Cleveland

[Thor]

Jeff Bonds 007 NHL SEASON OPENING SELECTION

Jeff Bonds enjoyed an absolutely DOMINATING NHL SEASON during the 2006-07 season and it continues with his first pick of the new season. Jeff has found a team that will DOMINATE its opponent tonight

Jeff Bonds | NHL Money Line
dime bet65 STL (-110)BetUS vs 66 PHO
Analysis:

The St. Louis Blues will be a much better team this season - with a full season under head coach Andy Murray. He led the Blues to a 27-18-9 record after starting the year at 7-17-4.

The Blues also added offensive star Paul Kariya and have Keith Tkachuk back and ready for the season.

On the other hand, Phoenix has simply declined under coach Wayne Gretzky - scoring just 216 goals last season and they are missing MUCH of that limited firepower to start the 2007-08 season. Goaltending is also a MAJOR QUESTION MARK and that simply isn't a good omen to start the season.

St. Louis also dominated the last matchup in Phoenix - picking up a 5-2 victory and I expect them to be one of the surprise teams in the NHL this season.

[Thor]

ATS Lock Club

4 units on South Carolina (-3 1/2) over Kentucky, 7:45

Ats Lock Club

4 units on the NY Yankees (-115) over the Cleveland Indians, 6:30

4 units on the Chicago Cubs (-125) over the Arizona D-Backs, 10:00