Fridays FREE Service Plays

[Volmania]

Dr bob

Strong Opinion - Rotation #307 Utah (+14 1/2) Strong Opinion at +14 or more.

[Bluemyboy]

DCI

Friday, October 5, 2007
FBS Non-Conference
LOUISVILLE 39, Utah 21

[Bluemyboy]

BEN BURNS'


Louisville (-110)
Fri Oct 5 '07 8:00p
Oct 5 2007 8:00PM

Prediction: Louisville

Reason: Regular readers will recall that we successfully went against the Cardinals a few weeks ago when they hosted the Blue Raiders. Favored by more than five touchdowns, Louisville never came close to covering the huge number. The Cardinals followed up that sub-par effort with back to back upset losses, falling as five point favorites to instate rival Kentucky before getting absoutely shocked by Syracuse, losing 38-35 as -37.5 point favorites. That stunning loss ranked among the greatest upsets of the modern football era. The Cardinals didn't hang their heads though and were able to bounce back with a solid 29-10 win and cover at NC State last week. Despite that impressive win, due to the Syracuse loss and to their poor overall 'ATS' record, tonight's line (currently -14.5) is quite reasonable.

The Cardinals are certainly capable of winning by more than two touchdowns. In fact, their last nine 'SU' victories have all come by double-http://www.therxforum.com/images/smilies/digitando.gifs. The Cardinals are 7-3 ATS the last 10 times they were favored in the -10.5 to -21 range and 13-7 ATS the last 20 times they were favored by more than eight points. The Utes, on the other hand, have already lost by more than a touchdown three times. Both road games resulted in losses of 17 points or more which dropped them to 4-10 ATS their last 14 regular season road games.

While these teams haven't faced each other this millennium, Louisville head coach Steve Kragthorpe faced Utah in last year's Armed Forces Bowl. At the time, he was the coach of Tulsa. The Utes would win that game 25-13. That result should help ensure that Kragthorpe keeps the "pedal to the medal" the entire way here. Consider laying the points.
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[Bluemyboy]

Mighty ! Quinn

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His best bet is tonight .He's 5~0 on these plays
Loui - 14 1/2

[Bluemyboy]

Mike Wynn

FREE PLAY: NHL San Jose +100 Over Vancouver

[Bluemyboy]

Razor Sharp

YOUR FREE WINNER FOR FRIDAY: LA ANGELS/BOSTON UNDER the total of 9½

[Bluemyboy]

Huddle Up Sports

Friday Free Winner

NY Islanders

[Bluemyboy]

DR BOB.

Strong Opinion (TODAY)
Utah 26 LOUISVILLE (-14.5) 35
05:00 PM Pacific, 05-Oct-07

I’ll favor Utah plus the points.

[Bluemyboy]

ACE-ACE/A. Eastman

Record 14-8 +$1491.00


LOUISVILLE -14 1/2 -103.............$300(Today)

[Bluemyboy]

Selective

4 units Louisville/Utah Over 61.5
(Good up to 63)

[Bluemyboy]

GAMBLERS DATA

COMP PLAY FRIDAY :

CFB Louisville- 1st half-8

Free Play Record : 808 - 462 65%

[Bluemyboy]

Michael Cannon Money Train
Thursday he goes 1-1, down a net 10 dimes on the day.
Friday Picks:

15 Dime –

UTAH
Take the points with Utah tonight when they take on Louisville at Papa John’s Stadium.
Now that Utah quarterback Brian Johnson is back the Utes have the capability to present a run/pass balance that can keep the Cardinal defense on the field for long stretches.
It’s not like Louisville’s defense has been up to the task this year anyway, so having Johnson back under center should keep this game closer throughout.
Much has been made of the Cardinal’s debacle when they lost at home against Syracuse as a 37-point chalk. There were signs of pending disaster earlier in the season when they had to outscore Middle Tennessee State 58-42 as a 41-point home chalk.
If those two schools can rack up the points against Louisville, I love our chances here with Utah.
Even though Utah has been inconsistent this season, I attribute that more to their early-season injuries than anything else. They will come into this game fired up in front of a national TV audience and with full confidence they can break through the Cardinals defense and hang with them score-for-score.
The Utes have a big advantage in overall defense, allowing just 19 points and 349.6 total ypg, compared to Louisville’s 28 ppg and 417 ypg average. Utah is giving up just 151.6 ypg passing, so Cardinal quarterback Brian Brohm will have his work cut out for him tonight.
Utah has been a cash cow as an underdog in recent years, going 21-5 ATS in its last 26 when catching points, including a perfect 4-0 ATS mark in its last four as a double-http://www.therxforum.com/images/smilies/digitando.gif dog. They are also a sparkling 13-0 ATS as a dog when taking on a .600 or better foe.
With Johnson back at quarterback, take the points with full confidence as Utah stays within the number tonight.

5 Dime –

YANKEES
Take the Yankees as the road chalk today in Game 2 of their ALDS against the Indians.
I had the Yankees as a 20 dime best bet and they failed me miserably, but I expect them to bounce back in a big way tonight.
That’s because Andy Pettitte will get the start and he brings a boatload of playoff experience into this game. The southpaw should be able to keep the predominately left-handed hitting lineup of the Indians in check.
The Tribe will counter with Fausto Carmona and the right-hander had a terrific season, but you have to wonder if the Indians might have wished they saved some of those runs they scored last night for today’s game.
That’s because the Tribe didn’t provide Carmona with a ton of run support this season, and if they struggle at the plate again tonight it’s going to be tough to keep the Yankees offense under wraps.
Take the Yankees for the road win behind Pettitte in Game 2.
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[Bluemyboy]

Complimentary Selection FRIDAY'S PLAY

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A loser on the under last night between Kentucy and South Carolina as the Gamecocks scored a late TD pushing the total over. I am now 15-11-1 with my last 27 overall free releases.

Take the over tonight between the Angels and the Red Sox.

Josh Beckett's domination in Game 1 should have the Angels digging deep in an effort to try to get back into the series, and they should be able to plate some runs against Boston starter Daisuke Matsuzaka.

Dice-K struggled down the stretch, going 1-4 with a 7.09 ERA in eight starts after August 4 before beating Minnesota in Friday's AL clincher. He wasn't the dominating pitcher in the second half of the season that Boston envisioned when they signed him, and I expect him to give up his share of runs against a pretty good Angels lineup.

Kelvim Escobar will get the start for the Angels and he too struggled down the stretch, mainly because of a sore shoulder. The right-hander went 2-0 in his last three starts, but posted a 7.63 ERA over that span.

Runs should come aplenty in this game tonight, so take the over as the Angels and Red Sox slug it out in Game 2.

3♦ OVER
<o:p></o:p>
On a 1♦ to 5♦ basis
</o:p>
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[Bluemyboy]

Karl Garret

Today's Complimentary Selection
After getting 4-hit by Josh Beckett on Wednesday, I expect the Angels to get something going against Matzusaka this Friday evening. I also expect the Boston attack to increase on their paltry 4 run output with some runs off the sore-armed Kelvim Escobar.

Tonight you will see the offense dominate at Fenway Park, as this will be Dice-K's first postseason start stateside, and nerves could play a bit of a factor. More of a factor will be the Halos looking to save face after Beckett mowed them down in convincing fashion on Wednesday.

Over the last 11 meetings at Fenway Park, these teams are on a 7-3-1 OVER clip, and the G-Man is just not convinced that Escobar's late season sore shoulder is 100%.

After giving you a comp play on the UNDER on Wednesday, I am coming back with a play on the OVER this Friday evening.

4♦ OVER
(on a 1♦ to 5♦ basis
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[Bluemyboy]

Brandon Lang

FRIDAY
15 DIME

Louisville

5 DIME

New York Yankees - Specify Pitchers - Pettitte vs Carmona
Utah/Louisville UNDER
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[Bluemyboy]

Big AL

At 5:05pm our selection is on the Cleveland Indians over the New York Yankees. After two days of the postseason, three series' favorites (Philly, New York, and Chicago) have a combined record of 0-5. So far, if you just look at which team has the most consistent talent across the board, instead of which team spends more on salaries, then these games have gone exactly like they should have. In no first round game was this made more obvious than the Cleveland Indians' dismantling of the Yankees in game 1 by a score of 12-3. Sure the Yanks have A-Rod and Jeter, but when you look at the batting orders from top to bottom and the pitching staffs in their entirety, there is no doubt that the advantage here rests solidly in the Indians'
corner. And now they will start young righthanded stud Fausto Carmona, while the Yankees will counter with veteran southpaw Andy Pettitte. Carmona was perhaps the best pitcher in the AL in the second half of the season, and he finished just one win shy of the league lead. In his last five starts, he was 5-0 with a 1.78 ERA, and he was also 9-1 this year in daytime starts. Pettitte has had a solid year with 15 wins, but his last two road starts were particularly troubling, having given up four earned runs in four innings in Boston on September 14th and then perhaps his worst start of the year on September 29 when he gave up eight earned runs in five innings (with no strikeouts) in Baltimore. Also of concern if you're a Yankee backer is the fact that Cleveland is an even better hitting team against lefties than against righties. The Tribe batted .273 this season vs. southpaws, and in their last ten games, their average was .306. Take the Indians. As always, good luck...Al McMordie
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[Bluemyboy]

Larry Ness

Game: Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox Oct 5 2007 8:35PM
Prediction: Los Angeles Angels
Reason: The Red Sox went 18-4 (plus-$1,000) at home in day games vs right-handers in the regular season but just 21-17 (minus-$890) in night games. They did open with a 4-0 win in Game 1 vs Lackey in a 6:35 ET time start but didn't do much with their bats after taking a 4-0 lead in the 3rd inning. They didn't need to, as Josh Beckett was superb. Will Dice-K give them a similar effort tonight? Red Sox manager Terry Francona made a bit of a surprising move when he opted to start Matsuzaka over Curt Schilling in the second game. Schilling is 8-2 with a 2.06 ERA in 15 career postseason starts, and also posted a 2.79 ERA in his final six starts of 2007. Francona chose Matsuzaka instead. Matsuzaka was a workhorse throughout his first major league season, going 15-12 with a 4.40 ERA and logging a team-high 204.2 innings. However, the Red Sox went just 17-15 (minus-$661) in his 32 starts this year. That heavy workload may have contributed to his 2-4 record and 7.14 ERA over his final eight outings (Boston lost eight of his last 13 starts!). Kelvim Escobar turned in his best season in 2007, going 18-7 with a 3.40 ERA. He was bothered by shoulder problems down the stretch but gave up one run over six innings in a 3-2 victory at Oakland on Saturday. Although he was a little shaky in some of his later outings this year, the Angels won EIGHT of his last nine starts, finishing 22-8 (plus-$951) in his 30 starts this year. 15* LA Angels.
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[Bluemyboy]

COMPS:

Matt Rivers
comp play

For Friday take the price back with the Angels.



Boston is clearly the far superior offense and being at Fenway Park is certainly not going to hurt Terry Francona's Red Sox but with their backs against the wall I'll take my chances on the Angels here.



Kelvim Escobar has been an absolute stud this season. The guy has been lights out for most of the campaign and should be fine here against Manny, Big Papi and the home Sox. I'm not saying he'll hurl a complete game gem but Escobar will keep the Halos in the game.



I love Dice-k's stuff as the gyro ball and his overall repertoire is scary when on but the Japanese hurler has been hit hard a bunch of times this season meaning that he cannot be fully trusted. Obviously Josh Beckett completely shut down Vlad, Garrett Anderson and the Angels in game one of the series but I don't see that happening again and with Escobar on the bump I'll take back this price on Mike Scioscia's Angels.



Anaheim really has to pull out all of the stops here as digging an 0-2 hole means a ton of trouble. With a very qaultiy hurler in Escobar here I believe we are looking at a 1-1 series.


Tony Mathew's Free College Football Proposition Selection for October 5, 2007.

Matchup: Utah vs. Louisville

Proposition: Total Rushing Attempts by Darrell Mack (of Utah)?

Selection: Total Rushing Attempts by Darrell Mack of Utah "Under" 19.5 Attempts. (-115)

[Bluemyboy]

Valley Sports

FREE MLB BASEBALL
Friday 10-05-2007
LA Angels/Boston Under The Total

[Bluemyboy]

Vegas Experts

New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians
Friday, October 5th, 5:05 P.M. EDT

Twilight time start will help the hurlers. Carmona shows a 1.78 ERA his last five starts after a 19-win season. Pettitte making his 35th post-season start and knows what his job is. Torre probably won't make the same bullpen moves and let this one get away completely. Indians had scored but 17 runs in six previous games versus the Yanks this year before suddenly exploding for 12 last night.

Play on: Under<!-- / message -->

[Bluemyboy]

Big Al

Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox
Friday, October 5th, 8:35 P.M. EST EST

At 8:30pm our selection is on the Los Angeles Angels and Boston Red Sox 'under' the total. Although the main story coming out of game one of this series was the pitching of Boston ace Josh Beckett, the Angels have to continue to be concerned about their lack of offense. It's not just that they were facing Beckett. Los Angeles has now only scored a total of ten runs in their last six games, which is an average of well under two runs per game. Tonight's pitching matchup is not that different than game one. Each team is throwing a very talented and experienced righthander as its starter. For the Angels, that means 31 year old Kelvim Escobar. Escobar always had talent, but constantly battled injury problems in the past. This year he finally put it all together: 30 starts, 18 wins, a 3.40 ERA and 160 strikeouts. Interestingly, Escobar did not face the Red Sox in 2007, but the last two times he's faced them in Boston (in 2006 and 2005), he's pitched very well, only giving up two earned runs in twelve innings. Boston goes with Daisuke Matsuzaka, a baseball veteran who is a major league rookie, much the same way Ichiro was when he first came over from Japan to join Seattle. Matsuzaka has never faced the Angels before, but the way that team is hitting right now, he probably won't need much run support in this one. He will also have the added benefit of pitching in front of a very appreciative home crowd where he has been very tough lately. The 'under' is now 6-2 in the Angels' last eight playoff appearances. Good Luck - Big Al McMordie

Play on: Under

[Bluemyboy]

Robert Ross

Game: New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians Oct 5 2007 5:05PM

Prediction: New York Yankees

Reason: Cleveland's nine-run win last night makes it possible for them to lose next three games by one run, outscore the Yankees by six runs in the series and still lose. Expect veteran Pettitte to restore order here and the Yankees to even the series vs. the upstart Indians. Edge in a close game goes to the more experienced playoff team. Take New York!
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[Bluemyboy]

Guaranteed Sports Picks

MLB
NY.Yanks -120

[Bluemyboy]

Jimmy The Moose

Game: Washington Capitals at Atlanta Thrashers
Oct 5 2007 7:35PM

Prediction: Washington Capitals

Reason: Tonight's game will be the season opener for both team's. Washington has one of the game's best players in Alex Ovechkin and in the offseason they surrounded him with better players especially Nylander. Last year's stats don't reflect this year's team. It will be interesting to see Lehtonen starts off the season after being pulled in last year's Stanle Cup Playoffs. The Capitals have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between the clubs. The Capitals have also won 2 of their last 3 trips to Atlanta.

Play on the Capitals +
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[Bluemyboy]

Karl Garrett
LA Angels at BOSTON (-155)

After getting 4-hit by Josh Beckett on Wednesday, I expect the Angels to get something going against Matzusaka this Friday evening. I also expect the Boston attack to increase on their paltry 4 run output with some runs off the sore-armed Kelvim Escobar.
Tonight you will see the offense dominate at Fenway Park, as this will be Dice-K's first postseason start stateside, and nerves could play a bit of a factor. More of a factor will be the Halos looking to save face after Beckett mowed them down in convincing fashion on Wednesday.
Over the last 11 meetings at Fenway Park, these teams are on a 7-3-1 OVER clip, and the G-Man is just not convinced that Escobar's late season sore shoulder is 100%.
After giving you a play on the UNDER on Wednesday, I am coming back with a play on the OVER this Friday evening.

4♦ OVER

[Bluemyboy]

Sports Gambling Hotline
NY Yankees at CLEVELAND (+120)

I will come right back in this series and play the UNDER tonight, as we feel sure Andy Pettitte's postseason experience (34 playoff starts!) will make a difference in cooling off the Cleveland sticks in Game 2.
Fausto Carmona will counter, and there is a good chance the flame-thrower will keep the Yankee bats at bay. New York was limited to just 5 hits last night, and now the pressure of another postseason collapse is in the back of their minds.
The runs will be hard to come by tonight as the pitchers put up the goose eggs.
Play the UNDER at the Jake tonight.

3♦ UNDER
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[Bluemyboy]

BRIAN GABRIELLE

At this week’s Valero Texas Open, take Steve Flesch (20-1), 1/6 unit: Flesch has a good record in San Antonio (he finished 12th last year) and he has very quietly won two tournaments this year, including two weeks ago at Turning Stone. He’s managed the two wins, one each in the last two months, despite Sunday rounds of 72 and 73. Take Jeff Maggert (66-1), 1/6 unit: This is a short layout, giving short hitters like Flesch and Maggert a chance. Maggert finished T8 two years ago. He’s been playing well the last couple months with a T5 and T11 sprinkled in six straight made cuts. He finished T25 at Turning Stone two weeks ago. Take Justin Leonard (33-1), 1/6 unit: I picked Leonard at Turning Stone, where he finished T13. He’s won the Texas Open twice and finished runner-up twice and as recent as 2004 had a T10 at LaCantera.
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[Bluemyboy]

CAPPERS ACCESS

(Fri) CFB Louisville
(Fri) MLB Yankees

[Bluemyboy]

Winning Angle Sports

NHL 10/5/2007 at 7:00:00 PM
Anaheim at Columbus puck line

Columbus +1.5

[Bluemyboy]

Templer's Sports Picks

MLB 10/5/2007 at 5:00:00 PM
NY Yankees/Andy Pettitte at Cleveland/Fausto Carmona overunder

NY Yankees/Cleveland o9.5

[Bluemyboy]

JAKE TIMLIN

Friday selection is the New York Yankees

My complimentary selections are 45-39 over the last 84 days.
Call me crazy but even with the Yankees losing big time last night I still thinks this series in New York’s to lose. After all even with yesterday’s lose it is New York that has won 6 of the 7 meetings this season as the Yankees turn to Pettitte and all of his postseason experience to right the ship tonight. For Pettitte he will have a huge leg up on Carmona as the Yankees lefty will be making his 35th postseason start compared to Carmona’s first. Plus with the fact that I just can’t see the Yankees offense being held in check to straight games I look for New York to get the road split as they had back to New York way home field advantage.
Flat out thanks the Yankees having owned the Indians in the regular season I look for New York to bounce back in a big way today as Carmona won’t be able to handle the pressure in his first postseason start.

Take the Yankees minus the road chalk as they even up this series.

[Bluemyboy]

Marc Lawrence

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free play

Play On: LA Angels w/Escobar
Note: Angels look to even up the series behind Kelvim Escobar, who has struggles somewhat coming down the stretch. His last start, though in in-form effort, an indicator he's rounding back into the quality arm that he is. Look for the Halos to even things up in Beantown tonight
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[Bluemyboy]

florida booky busters

MLB
10/5/2007 at 5:00:00 PM
NY Yankees/Andy Pettitte at Cleveland/Fausto Carmona

Cleveland

[Bluemyboy]

TRACE ADAMS

Yankees-Cleveland UNDER

[Bluemyboy]

TONY WESTON

Now we turn to some college football on Friday night.
It’s no secret that the Utah football program has been down since Urban Meyer and Alex Smith moved on to the next step in their careers.
But the Utes made a huge statement earlier this year when they beat down then-Top 25 team UCLA in every way possible 44-6. But Utah’s struggled this season with only two victories.
Now, the Utes get arguably the best quarterback in the nation in Brian Brohm and Louisville. The Cardinals have been a disappointment this year, sitting at only 3-2.
But Brohm is killing his opposition with 1,948 and 16 touchdowns in FIVE games. Five. He’s matched his touchdown total from a year ago. Brohm is averaging 389.6 yards per game and is on pace to throw for 4,675 yards this year.
Nevermind that Louisville won’t even matter this year, Brohm is working on securing on that No. 1 overall draft pick spot in next April’s draft.
Tonight should be a stat game for Brohm and Cardinals. Look for Brohm to torch Utah to the tune of at least 400 yards and 3 touchdowns.

3♦ LOUISVILLE (1♦ to 5♦ Scale)
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[Bluemyboy]

Bobby Maxwell

Today we go to Fenway Park for a complimentary play on the Red Sox and we're taking them on the Run Line for another plus-money ticket.
The Red Sox cruised in Game 1, 4-0, behind the pitching of Josh Beckett and now look for more of the same as the Boston import Daisuke Matsuzaka (15-12, 4.40 ERA) shows everyone just how tired his arm isn't with a strong start tonight.
The Angels were never really in Game 1 as the Red Sox jumped ahead early and weren't ever threatened.
Matsuzaka was 1-0 in his last three outings with a 3.98 ERA and was 8-4 at home this season. He seemed to get some of his mid-season form back in his last outing, limiting the Twins to two runs on six hits in eight innings of a 5-2 victory. In each of his last two home starts he allowed just two runs.
For the Angels it's Kelvim Escobar (18-7, 3.40) on the hill. He had a 7.63 ERA in his final three starts of the season, giving up 13 runs in 15 1/3 innings. Last time he faced the Red Sox was August 2006 when he allowed five runs over eight innings of a 5-4 loss. The Angels have won just once in his five starts against Boston.
Los Angeles is just 7-19 in its last 26 games at Fenway Park and just 2-6 in its last eight road playoff games.
Meanwhile Boston is 9-3 in its last 12 playoff games and 9-4 the last 13 times Matsuzaka has started at Fenway. The Angels might be overmatched in this series and will certainly fall behind 2-0 after tonight. Back Boston.

3♦ BOSTON Run Line
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[Bluemyboy]

COMPUTER PLAYS

NO BEST BETS

5:07 p.m. Cleveland Indians + 110
8:37 p.m. Boston Red Sox - 155

[Bluemyboy]

Nevada Sharpshooter

Friday
Yankees -125 Over Indians

[Bluemyboy]

JIM FEIST

(901) NY Yankees
(902) CLE Indians

Take "Under"

A couple of pitchers who know how to keep the ball down, something important in Jacobs Field. NY starter Andy Pettitte has a 2.54 ERA against Cleveland this season and has a better road ERA (3.95). The Indians have a sensational hard throwing sinkerballer in Fausto Carmona (19-8, 3.06 ERA). He's 10-4 with a 3.32 ERA at home where opponents hit just .238 off his electric stuff. The unders have been alive this posteason, starting 3-0, and this one has all the makings of a pitcher's duel. Play the Yankees/Indians under the total in Game 2

[Bluemyboy]

PLATINUM PLAYS

the Los Angeles Angels & Boston Red Sox Over 9½ runs

[Bluemyboy]

BIG TIME SPORTS

FRIDAY OCTOBER 5th
ISLANDERS / SABRES OVER 6

[Bluemyboy]

Vernon Croy

1 Unit, Take Columbus Over 5.5, We are getting a very good line here with the total tonight since both of these teams are very good offensively. The O/U is 21-6 for Anaheim after 3 or more consecutive unders the last 3 seasons and 3 of 4 games in this series played at Columbus have gone over the posted total the last 3 seasons. I have this game total hitting 7 tonight so grab the value as I know these teams very well.

[Bluemyboy]

DARK HORSE

MLB - Angels +140 over Boston

[Bluemyboy]

Arthur Ralph

Atl Thrashers

[Bluemyboy]

SCOUT

Utah/Louisville over 61

[Bluemyboy]

Tv Hotline

Anahiem

[Bluemyboy]

HD'S ACTIONLINE

Boston & Angels over 9.5

[Bluemyboy]

VEGAS SPORTS PICS

Louisville Cardinals - 14 over Utah Utes
.
Utah (2-3) is 1-6 last seven road games, including a 27-0 loss at (now 2-3) UNLV on Sept.22nd. Louisville (3-2) is 20-2 (17-5 ATS) last 22 home games. Cardinal's QB Brohm, 21-5 in 26 starts, has thrown 16 TDs vs. 4 INTs this season.

[Bluemyboy]

pure profit comp
MLB
Take the New York Yankees/Cleveland Indians 'UNDER' the total

[Bluemyboy]

THE WUNDERDOG comp:

Game: Los Angeles Angels at Boston (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Boston -1.5 runs +139

The postseason simply arrived at the wrong time for the Angels. Vladimir Guerrero is hurting, and has been relegated to the DH role, weakening their outfield defense. Chone Figgins their catalyst at the top of the order is in a 1-26 slump (.038) and their top two pitchers Lackey and Escobar are having problems as well. Their pen has fallen off over the second half to now rank in the bottom third of the league. This is a team that was lethal at home, but very ordinary on the road. They finished the season in a team-wide offensive slump. The Angels have produced just 10 runs over their last six games, and are 36-186 in the process, with a team average of just .194. They have not gotten it done at Fenway the entire season, producing just 22 runs in eight games or 2.75 per game. Kelvim Escobar allowed three runs or less in 17 of his first 23 starts or 74% of the time, but finished very poorly allowing five runs or more in four of his last seven! Like the Yankees, the Angels just don't hit or score against quality pitching on the road. Their last 10 games against a quality starter on the road have produced 21 runs in 10 games or 2.1 runs a game. That spells trouble with Escobar on the mound having pitched to a 7.16 ERA over his last seven starts as he has now walked 13 in his last 23.2 innings, and this is a Sox lineup that takes a lot of pitches and draws a lot of walks. The Sox are here because of their pitching which is the only AL team with a staff ERA under four, and their pen ranks No. 2 in all of baseball at 3.10. Diasuke Matsusaka won 15 games, and perhaps was a bit less spectacular than the Sox thought he would be. The key issue upon his arrival was how would he react to pitching every fifth day instead of once a week? Here is the answer. Early in the season it wasn't a problem, but as the season got into summer, around mid-June you could see it was certainly an issue. From mid-June on when Matsusaka pitched in the regular rotation every fifth day he worked 45.1 innings, 51 hits, 33 earned runs, 39 Ks with an ERA of 6.55. When he worked with extra rest or every sixth day or more, here are his numbers over the same period. He worked 66.2 innings, 51 hits, 23 earned runs, 70 Ks, with an ERA of 3.10. To capsulate, Matsusaka was 3.5 runs better on extra rest, to which he is accustomed instead of six more hits, than innings pitched. He was 16 less and also from less than a strikeout per inning, to more than a strikeout per inning. The bad news for the Angels is he is working on extra rest for this game, and they have not faced him all season, which adds to his potential in this game. The Red Sox have been on fire when winning at Fenway, so if you’re going to take them to win, then the -1.5 makes sense. In their home wins the Red Sox have won by an average margin of 4.12 runs a game, and in their last 28 home wins they have been 24-4 to the -1.5 runline, and outscored the opponent by 4.21 runs a game. Conversely, in their road losses the Angels have gone down by 3.79 runs a game, and have lost 34 of 43 (79.1%), by two runs or more. Sox go up 2-0 in the series with a convincing win in game two.
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[Bluemyboy]

Totals 4 U

TOP PLAY Louisville OVER 61

Reg Plays NYY OVER 9
LAA UNDER 9-

[Bluemyboy]

BEN BURNS Blue Chip Total = Yankees/Indians Under


Reason: I'm playing on the Yankees and Indians to finish UNDER the number. The bats came to life yesterday but I'm expecting the pitcher's to steal the show this afternoon. Pettitte is a big game veteran who has been here numerous times before. For his career, he is a solid 14-9 with a 4.08 ERA in the postseason. His team badly needs him to step up with a big effort and I expect this tough competitor to deliver. Carmona isn't nearly as experienced but he's got even nastier stuff. The Indians' young star has had a superb season and he's been awesome down the stretch. Indeed, for the season he was 19-8 with a 3.06 ERA and he finished the year by going 5-0 with a 1.78 ERA in his last five starts. Since this is an afternoon game, it's also worth noting that Carmona was 9-1 with a 2.14 ERA in 12 daytime starts this season. With those kind of stats, it's no surprise that Carmona has seen the UNDER go a highly profitable 13-2 his last 15 starts. Expect more of the same this afternoon as this pitcher's duel stays below the number. *blue chip total*

[Bluemyboy]

Tom Freese Blue Line Club CFB 86% ATS Super System 10* 'TOTAL'

OVER UT/L'ville

Reason: Louisville is in a 24-4 Over Super System that says to play OVER on any team that gained 450 or more yards in 3 straight games if in this game both teams have 8 or more offensive starters returning from last years team. The Cardinals are 13-4 OVER their last 17 October games. Utah is 8-3 OVER off a straight up win in their last game. The Utes are 6-2 OVER their last 8 road games vs. winning teams and they are 11-5 OVER after allowing 20 or less points in their last game. 10* Play On 'OVER'
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[Bluemyboy]

HONDO: ANDY MAN CAN


October 5, 2007 -- Hondo remained oh-for-the-playoffs yesterday when the fast-fading Phillies flopped in Game 2 to lower the earnings to a perfectly striking 300 mahaffeys.

Today, he'll be peeved if Pettitte doesn't stop the Native Americans. Ten units

[Bluemyboy]

Benjamin lee Eckstein

Ben lee lost again on Thursday with NY -$120.He is 0-2 -$270 for the week.

Today Mr Chalk is on the Red Sox-$160/Angles

[Bluemyboy]

CKO Vol. 46 October 4-8, 2007 No. 6



Confidential Kick-Off!! The Gold Sheet!!
America's Handicapping Leaders For 50 Seasons!


11 *CLEMSON over Virginia Tech
Late Score Forecast:
*CLEMSON 26 - Virginia Tech 10

Look for Clemson to bounce back at home this week after Saturday's special
teams meltdown at Georgia Tech (missed 4 FGs & had a punt blocked to set up
Tech's only TD in 13-3 loss). Tiger QB Cullen Harper has a 12-1 TD-int.
ratio and has completed 63% of his passes. Conversely, Virginia Tech is
suffering growing pains at QB, where true frosh Tyrod Taylor, who took over
the starting job from jr. Sean Glennon after the loss to LSU, has completed
just 51%, throwing only 1 TD pass. VT's offense is 112th in the country, as
star RB Branden Ore has been slowed by bruised ribs and an underachieving OL
that's come under sharp criticism. Clemson has been a winner at home lately
when not saddled as heavy chalk (6-2 vs. number last 8 at "Death Valley" when
a dog or not laying more than 2 TDs), while VT covered just 4 of last 14 on
line.


10 *FLORIDA STATE over N. Car. St.
Late Score Forecast:
*FLORIDA STATE 37 - N. Car. St. 10

Long-time ACC scouts are surprised coagulating Florida State is laying less
than 3 TDs vs. a banged-up, mistake-prone NCS squad (118th in TO margin).
Wolfpack lacks consistency at QB with unproven soph Beck or jr. Evans
(neither one ranked among top 100 in pass efficiency!), and it's highly
doubtful their staggering offense (only 18 ppg, just 2.7 ypc) will find a
solution vs. smothering 'Nole defense (17 ppg, 2.6 ypc; only 3 "meaningful"
TDs in last 3 games). And you can be sure the FSU stop unit performs with
increased fervor for LB coach Amato, who was fired in Raleigh end of last
year. Meanwhile, FSU's attack has perked up behind athletic 6-4 jr. QB X.
Lee, who will start after engineering 3 scoring drives & throwing for 224
yds. in 21-14 victory over Bama. New NCS mentor O'Brien needs more time to
reverse fortunes of withering Wolfpack squad that's 1-10 vs. spread last 11.


10 UNLV over *Air Force
Late Score Forecast:
UNLV 26 - *Air Force 20

O.J. Simpson's antics aren't the only sports-related news items emanating
from Las Vegas lately. Indeed, there's mounting evidence that UNLV's
recently-suffering program is finally turning the corner for 3rd-year HC Mike
Sanford. Much of that improvement is credited to a nastier defense (paced by
likely future NFL draftee LB Bell) that shouldn't have too much trouble
coping with Air Force's new shotgun looks after dealing with a variety of
different offenses (such as Hawaii, Utah, & Nevada) in recent weeks.
Moreover, Rebs should be able to take advantage of smallish Falcon front
seven thanks to emergence of chop-busting, 240-lb., juco RB Summers (310 YR
last 2), which in turn ought to impede AFA blitz tactics and give maturing RS
frosh QB Dixon extra time to look downfield.


10 *KANSAS STATE over Kansas
Late Score Forecast:
*KANSAS STATE 31 - Kansas 17

No doubt the 2007 Jayhawks are a team to be reckoned with. 5-11 soph QB Todd
Reesing (11 TDs, only 1 int.) is providing an extra dimension to the offense,
FB/TB Brandon McAnderson adding important power (6.3 ypc, 6 TDR), all-Big XII
CB Aquib Talib has provided 3 TD catches in addition to his interception
return TD, and Mark Mangino has proven to be a coach of substance, as well as
girth. However, KU's entire 2007 performance so far must be filtered
through the prism of reality that shows all four victories have been achieved
at home vs. teams with class "C" defenses, or worse! So taking on the
battle-hardened Wildcats should prove to be a disorienting chore, especially
in Manhattan, where KSU has won 8 straight in the series. Despite its
blowouts by a combined 214-23 score, the KU defense has only nine sacks.
Without more pressure than that on jumbo Wildcat QB Josh Freeman, he should
have a big day.


10 SEATTLE over *Pittsburgh
Late Score Forecast:
Seattle 24 - *Pittsburgh 20
(Sunday, October 7)

Mike Holmgren and Seattle veterans, still bummed over some "bum" calls in
Super Bowl XL vs. Pittsburgh two seasons ago, are catching Steelers a little
wounded as Seahawks seek some retribution. Key S Troy Polamalu (ab strain)
and NT Casey Hampton (hamstring) were unable to finish last week's 21-14 loss
at Arizona, and clutch WR Hines Ward (knee) was unable to start. Holmgren
has revamped the Seahawk "D" since that Super Bowl loss, most importantly
adding extra-dimension LB Julian Peterson (3 sacks last week) from the 49ers.
And former Patriots' Super Bowl MVP Deion Branch (7 for 130 last week vs.
S.F.'s quality CBs) has arrived to add a more reliable target for Matt
Hasselbeck. Now facing a rookie HC in Mike Tomlin, Holmgren brings his
veteran expertise
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[Bluemyboy]

Wayne Root is back on the Yankees again tonite w/ a low-rated "Chairman" play. Paid and confirmed

[Bluemyboy]

Teddy Covers 20* GOY is Purdue +7.5.

[Bluemyboy]

Chris Jordan
Friday winner ...

200♦ UTAH - I know the Cardinals stopped the bleeding against NC State, but I can't help but acknowledge the resume Utah brings into this contest, having played enough solid competition that will help it challenge Louisville. Despite a 2-3 mark, the Utes have seen the likes of Pac 10 members Oregon State and UCLA, and fellow Mountain West challengers Air Force and UNLV.



And before we go brow-beating the Falcons and Rebels, playing the Academy is never an easy chore, and the Rebels are a team that were extremely close to knocking off then-5th ranked Wisconsin with a stellar defensive effort.



Meanwhile, we're taking points from a Louisville team that tuned up for the season by humiliating Murray State (73-10) and beating Middle Tennessee State (58-42) by 16, when it laid 42. Since then the Cardinals lost to Kentucky and Syracuse (laying 37-1/2 points). And other than the Murray State debacle and last week's 29-10 win over the Wolfpack, the Cards have given up an average of 40 points in the other three.



Now they face a Utah team that has holds the advantage with its overall defense, which is giving up just 19 points and 349.6 total yards per game. And with Utah flourishing as a pup – it's on a 21-5 ATS run when catching points, and that includes a 4-0 mark in its last four as a double- dog. Take the points in this one, as the Utes stay inside the number.



100♦ RED SOX RUN LINE - With a chance to put the Angels in a 2-0 hole, I'll side with Dice K in this one, as he comes in after looking pretty sharp against the Twins last Friday, allowing just two runs and six hits, while fanning eight. Matsuzaka comes in with plenty of rest, after having six days off, and should be comfy at home, where he was 8-4 in 14 Fenway Park starts.



This is the first time the Halos get a chance to see Dice K, and that's clearly on our side. When he pitched against a team he had not faced – there were 16 occasions - he went 9-6 with a 3.14 ERA, 36 walks and 116 strikeouts in 108-2/3 innings. Let's lay the run and a half here, as the Sox roll to a 2-0 lead.
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[Bluemyboy]

Scott Spreitzer's Friday ALDS Grand Slam! *Perfect 2-0!
I'm taking the underdog Indians on Friday. The Yanks are once again laying a price due to public perception. New York's best chance to steal one at the "Jake" may have come with their game one matchup. Obviously, they couldn't get the job done. I think they're in a world of hurt in game two. Cleveland sends Fausto Carmona to the bump today. The Indians have won each of his last seven starts, and the righty owns a 1.78 ERA in his last five. The Tribe are a healthy 13-4 in his 17 home starts this season, where Indian opponents are averaging just 3.59 RPG. The wrong team is the fave, we'll take the underdog Indians on Friday. Thanks! GL! Scott.

[Bluemyboy]

THE WUNDERDOG comp (NHL)

Game: New York Islanders at Buffalo (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Buffalo -173

Buffalo dissapointed in a huge way in last year's postseason. They roared through the regular season only to lose in the Eastern Conference finals. In the offseason, they lost some key offensive members of last year's team to free agency including Chris Drury and Daniel Briere. But, the defense is still intact. The Islanders also suffered some big losses including All-Star Jason Blake. New York has lost six of their last seven meetings here in Buffalo while Buffalo has won 48 of their last 70 home games. The past three seasons, Buffalo has started very strong (54-23 in first half of season) and we look for them to do so again, winning their opener.
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[Bluemyboy]

BEN BURNS
WINNIPEG (CFL Friday)

Game: British Columbia Lions vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Game Time: 10/5/2007 8:00:00 PM
Prediction: Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Reason: I'm taking the points with WINNIPEG. I feel that the wrong team is favored here. Yes, the Lions are the defending champions and are again the "best in the West." However, the Lions, who are down to their third-string quarterback, are taking on the "Beast of the East" this evening, and they're doing so in "the Beast's" own backyard! Winnipeg boasts the CFL's most prolific scoring attack, averaging a whopping 316 yards passing per game. Quarterback Kevin Glenn, a strong candidate for the East Division's nominee for the CFL's outstanding player award, has thrown for a league-high 3,923 yards with 19 touchdowns against just eight interceptions. The Bombers stellar receiving corps which is anchored by veteran CFL legend Milt Stegall, who has 48 catches, 792 yards, five TDs. However, Winnipeg is much more than just a passing team. Running back Charles Roberts is the CFL's second-ranked rusher with 1,043 yards. He is averaging 4.9 yards per carry and has scored 14 touchdowns. The Bombers, who already upset the Lions at BC, have won four straight home games and are 6-1 their last seven here. They know this is a possible Grey Cup Preview and I expect them to respond with a statement victory.

Friday Feast
UNDER yankees/indians

[Bluemyboy]

WISE GUY SPORTS
2 unit YANKEES
1 unit LOUISVILLE

[Bluemyboy]

RAS Official Plays:

BG/BC OVER 57

Fresno/Nevada UNDER 54'

UAB/Miss St.UNDER 50

All 1 Unit plays

SF,

[Bluemyboy]

10/5 PYSCHIC SPORTS

NCAAF

2 units Louisville -14

MLB

2 unit Ny Yankees -123
2 units Anaheim +143

[Bluemyboy]

Lenny Stevens

10* Louisville
NY yankees
LA angels
http://www.therxforum.com/images/smilies/WTF.gif
Lenny is 0-8 since monday night

[Bluemyboy]

css sports
cleveland

[Bluemyboy]

northcoast marquee play

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Louisville -14 released @noon Fri

[Bluemyboy]

Sportbook Guru

MLB
2 units Utah/Louisville Under 61

MLB
3 units Boston/LA Angels Under 9.5

NHL
2 units Columbus Blue Jackets +105

[Bluemyboy]

ATS Financial Package

Over 60 1/2 Loui/Ut......................3 Units

[Bluemyboy]

Ats Lock Club

4 units on the OVER 9.5 in the NY
Yankees/Cleveland game, 5:05pmET

3 units on the LA Angels (+140) over Boston, 8:35pmET


ATS Lock Club

2 units on Utah (+14.5) over Louisville, 8:00pmET

[Bluemyboy]

NHL

Banker

Atlanta Thrashers (2*)

(Picks are rated from 1-5)

[Bluemyboy]

Prophet

Anaheim Ducks (1*)

(Picks are rated from 1-5)

[Bluemyboy]

spritzer--
tko alds gom........................clev
tko.....................................laa

feist--
special total...............................laa over