Sundays FREE service plays

[Volmania]

WEEKEND OF OCTOBER 5TH, 2007

Hilton SuperContest
Week 5

Picked by most cappers

1 Green Bay -3 by 106
2 New Orleans -3 by 102
3 Baltimore -3 by 93
3 Tampa Bay +9 1/2 by 89
5 Pittsburgh -6 by 80


Picked by widest margin

1 Baltimore -3 by 69 more
2 New Orleans -3 by 65 more
2 Tampa Bay +9 1/2 by 65 more
4 Green Bay -3 by 63 more
5 San Diego Pick'em by 26 more

Picks by Top Contestants
(Top 21 with 14 points or more out of 20)

1 Green Bay -3 by 11
2 Seattle +5 1/2 by 9
3 Atlanta +8 by 8
4 Arizona -3 1/2 by 7
4 San Diego Pick'em by 7

Picks by Contest Leader
Rough Rider 39 (17.5 out of 20)

Kansas City +2
Atlanta +8
Seattle +5 1/2
Cleveland +15 1/2
Buffalo +10

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

DR....BOB

2 NFL Best Bets this week - 3-Stars on Pittsburgh and 2-Stars on Washington. My NFL math model predictions start this week and I will be sending those out, but there is an error in the programming so that will have to wait until later tonight or tomorrow to get fixed. Remember that the chance to cover is based solely on the math and is based on the historical predictability of my math model. Situational analysis is not included in the math chance to cover and there are often strong situations going against the side that the math favors so read my free analysis on my site to get my final analysis of each game. If the math is strongly in favor of a team and that team is not a Best Bet then there are probably situations going against them.


3 Star Selection
***PITTSBURGH (-5.5) 28 Seattle 14
10:00 AM Pacific, 07-Oct-07
Pittsburgh was in a bad situation last week in Arizona, but the Steelers will be ready to play this week at home against a good Seahawks squad. Seattle’s Matt Hasselbeck has bounced back from an off year and has led his team to 5.7 yards per play despite a sub- par rushing attack (just 3.7 ypr), but the Seahawks’ +0.3 yppl offensive rating is not nearly as good as Pittsburgh’s defensive rating of 0.6 yppl better than average (4.5 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average 5.1 yppl against an average team). Pittsburgh’s offense and Seattle’s defense are both 0.2 yppl better than average but the Steelers have a pretty good edge in special teams and my math model favors the Steelers by 7 points. The reason for the play is a very good 77-25-2 ATS statistical match-up indicator that applies to Pittsburgh. I’ll take Pittsburgh in a 3-Star Best Bet at -6 points or less and for 2-Stars at -6 ½ or -7 points.

2 Star Selection
**WASHINGTON (-3.5) 30 Detroit 19
10:00 AM Pacific, 07-Oct-07
The Lions are coming off a big upset home win over division rival Chicago but that win sets them up in a negative 67-132-3 ATS road letdown situation this week and I certainly don’t mind fading the overrated Lions against a solid Washington team. The Lions have certainly been good offensively this season (6.0 yards per play against teams that would combine to allow just 5.0 yppl to an average team), but Detroit has allowed 5.6 yppl to teams that would average only 4.9 yppl against an average stop unit and I rate the Lions a bit below average after factoring in their bad special teams. Washington, meanwhile, is a better than average team with an average attack and a very good defense that’s yielded just 4.7 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.4 yppl against an average team. In addition to the team trend against Detroit, the Redskins apply to a solid 227- 142-12 ATS statistical profile indicator. My ratings favor Washington by 5 points without top WR Santana Moss playing, so we have a bit of line value to go with the strong technical spot. I’ll take Washington in a 2-Star Best Bet at -4 points or less and for 3-Stars at -3 points or less (at -115 odds or better).

Strong Opinion
NY GIANTS (-3.5) 27 NY Jets 17
10:00 AM Pacific, 07-Oct-07
The Giants’ defense has really stepped up their level of play the last 6 quarters, shutting out Washington in the second half of their week 3 come-from-behind win and then dominating the Eagles last Sunday night. After a horrible opening game against Dallas (45 points on 477 yards allowed at 8.8 yards per play) the Giants now rate at 0.6 yppl better than average defensively (5.2 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.8 yppl against an average team), which gives them an edge over a Jets offense that has been just average with starting quarterback Chad Pennington under center. The Giants’ offense, which rates at 0.4 yppl better than average with Eli Manning on the field, has a huge edge over a Jets’ defense that has been 0.6 yppl worse than average so far this season (5.9 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.3 yppl). New York defends the run well but the Jets have given up 7.8 yards per pass play to teams that would average a combined 6.1 yppp against an average defensive team. New York just gave up 7.3 yppp to Buffalo’s rookie quarterback Trent Edwards, who was making his first NFL start, so I expect Manning to have a very good game. My math model favor the Giants by 9 ½ points even without assigning them a home field advantage and I’ll consider the New York Giants a Strong Opinion at -4 or less and I’d take the Giants in a 2-Star Best Bet at -3 or less (at -115 odds or better)

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

Dan Gordon early nfl

Bears +3 ½ or more over Packers: Small Play
Normally this would be a normal or even possibly a large play but since I have seen some bad things with the Bears, I am keeping this as a small play. For one thing, I really thought that the Bears would make a better showing last week off of a Sunday night nationally televised rout loss to the Cowboys. The Bears blew a ten point fourth quarter lead to the Lions and gave up a record 34 points in the fourth quarter of their 27-37 loss in that game. The Bears also have numerous key defensive players out.
However, what stands out this week and has gotten me to back the Bears is that they are a very legitimate must-win underdog this week. The Bears are defending NFC champs and for them to miss the playoffs this season would mark this season as a total disaster. Right now, the Bears are three games behind the Packers. A loss here not only would put them four games back but also would put them two games behind the Packers in the divisional records and make it almost impossible for them to win a tiebreaker and be pretty much out of the playoff running. Whatever effort the Bears have left in them will be given on Sunday night in Green Bay. Meanwhile, the Packers continue to win with an ancient Brett Favre not only playing way beyond himself, but doing so without any running game support. Evenutally, hopefully this week, this will catch up with the Packers.
In addition:
1) The Bears have covered five of their last six revenge games as underdogs (the Packers won the season finale in Chicago last year).
2) The Packers come from two straight emotional up games.
3) The Bears have won three straight in Green Bay.
4) The Bears are a fresh due up, while the Packers are a fresh due down. The Bears have revenge, number (power rating), coverage, and fatigue (Packers up last two) working in their favor in this clashing due combo.
Again, take +3 ½ as soon as you see it.

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

BEN BURNS
***BIG TOTAL ALERT*** Burns AFC Total of the Year


SD/Denver UNDER 41

**BIG GAME ALERT** Burns Divisional Game of Year!

Chicago Bears (+3 or better)


Ben Burns EARLY Afternoon BLOWOUT

Redskins (-4 or better)

Ben Burns' 3-Game Executive Report (EARLY KICKOFF)


Rams (+3 or better)

49ers (+3 or better)..415pm eastern time start...is this correct since hes stating early kickoff

Seattle/Pitt UNDER 37 - Non Conf TOW

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

Jim Rich
7~7 Last week
26~36 for the year in Totals

Giants and the over. 40 1/2
Steelers and the over. 39
Panthers and the over. 44
Titans and the under. 40 1/2
Texans and the under. 43
Chargers and the over. 43
Browns and the over. 48
Bears and over. 40 1/2
Colts and the under. 45 1/2

Monday
Cowboys and the over. 44



Cardinals at Rams

1 p.m. Cardinals by 3 1/2, 40 1/2

THE LOWDOWN: Gus Frerotte vs. Kurt Warner. What more could a fan ask for? The Cardinals (2-2) stunned the Steelers last week with a Warner-Matt Leinart combo at QB. Leinart is not happy about the situation, and Warner is good at making you think he's recaptured that late-'90s magic, only to revert back to his Giants days and daze. Frerotte replaces injured Marc Bulger for the Rams (0-4), who seem to have hit rock bottom - which is usually when you bet the house against St. Louis and they find a way to win.

CAN'T HELP YOURSELF? Rams and the under.

Best of the rest

Lions at Redskins

1 p.m., Redskins by 3 1/2, 46 1/2

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Redskins and the under

Ravens at 49ers

4:15 p.m., Ravens by 3, 35 1/2

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: 49ers and the over

Jaguars at Chiefs

1 p.m. Jags by 2, 36 1/2

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

Wunderdog Comp
Game: Arizona at St. Louis (Sunday 10/07 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: St. Louis +3.5



The Rams are a very banged up team and come into this contest with more question marks than answers. They are a hideous 0-4 SU and ATS. If St. Louis is a dissapointment, Arizona has been just the opposite. The Cardinals have been an underdog four straight weeks, covering every game. No win was as big as last week's upset over the Steelers. This week their role cahnges as they become the hunted, instead of the hunter. Historically home dogs have barked loudly in the NFL, and this year certainly has been no different. Home pups are now 14-7 ATS through four weeks. Arizona certainly has been a live dog over the years, but unfamiliar and unkind to backers as a road favorite. They are just 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS in that role since 1995. They are currently using a formula that usually backfires in the NFL - two quarterbacks. Sooner or later that will bite them, and it may be this game. Stephen Jackson and Marc Bulger will both sit this one out, as Gus Frerotte will lead the offense. While most would consider Frerrotte a downgrade, sometimes a struggling team needs a change. This may be the infusion this offense needs (see Buffalo and Edwards last week). Frerotte has a lot of experience and the last two times he has gotten significant playing time he delivered 25 TDs and 15 INTs. With Bulger sitting on a 64.9 QB rating, it can't get much worse. Jackson was not having a good year, so turning the load over to Bryan Leonard may not be as bad as one would think. Leonard has rushed for 4 yards per carry as compared to Jackson's 3.4. The fact that the two offensive super stars are out for St. Louis gives us line value without a big dropoff in performance (from how they have played this year). St. Louis so far has played teams that were 6-1 combined at the time they played them, and 11-5 overall, so they haven't had an easy go yet. They were actually up on Carolina midway through the 3rd quarter, with more yardage for the game. They also led San Francisco 13-7 with just three minutes left. They completely dominated as they produced 20 first downs to the Niners 8, and doubled them up in yardage. So this is a much more competitive team than it would appear at first glance, especially at home. Arizona appears to be an up and coming team, but the hardest corner to turn is winning on the road. This team is 5-34 SU on the road in their last 39 games, and to put them as better than a FG better than anyone on the road at this point, has no value to us. We will ride the Rams with the points

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

Fairway Jay's 20* NFL NFC Mismatch GOM (14-6 70% Run)


10/7/07 NFL 20* Big Drive: Washington -3.5 (412)

ANALYSIS: The Redskins had a well-needed bye last week to get their bruised and battered bodies a bit healthier. Wide receiver Santana Moss (groin) is now doubtful versus Detroit, but the Redskins power running game will key this solid victory. Running back Clinton Portis (knee) practiced fully the end of the week and will team with Ladell Betts to overpower Detroit’s smallish front seven behind their big offensive line. Look for them to be involved in the short/intermediate passing game with TE Cooley and WR Randle-El as Washing’ton moves the chains consistently in front of the Lions cover-2 coverage that ranks no. 31 against the pass while allowing 67% completions. Recall week 3 when Detroit traveled to Philadelphia and the Eagles erupted on the Lions porous secondary while out-rushing them 173-39 in a 56-21 route. The Lions offense was one-dimensional and QB Kitna was sacked 9 times while only having 27 minutes of possession time, and the defense allowed 8.5 yards-per-play. Similar success can be had by Washington, who is more conservative on offense, but following the Giants game prior to the bye when they became conservative in the second half and blew a 17-3 lead at home, don’t expect them to let up against a weak defense. The Redskins defense is also a quality unit that is stronger in the middle this season with London Fletcher leading the team in tackles. They have little to worry about with the Lions running game and have the strongest and most opportunistic secondary yet faced by the Lions wide-open passing attack. Calvin Johnson is questionable at wide receiver, yet the Lions have three other receivers with 20+ receptions led by one of the leagues best Roy Williams. However, Washington’s pass defense is no. 2 in the NFL in yards-per-pass attempt. With the Lions lacking in the running game, speed rusher Andrew Carter and the ‘Skins front line can pressure QB Kitna, who has been sacked a league-leading 19 times, and force the Lions into longer passing downs and a one-dimensional attack that failed them against Philly. Detroit has never won in Washington (0-17), and the fundamentals at the line of scrimmage and in the running game set the Redskins up for a very solid home victory worthy of 20* Big Drive status. Take the Redskins.

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

Alex Smart

Sunday Night NFL Total

Guaranteed Pick: Alex Smart

Game: Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers Oct 7 2007 8:15PM
Prediction: under
Reason: The Chicago Bears are reeling with a 1-3 record entering into this Sunday night game against their long time rivals the perfect 4-0 Green Bay Packers. The talk in Chicago is the team has to get back to basics, and begin playing the type of hard nosed football that had made them successful in the recent past. No way does Lovie Smith and his banged up secondary want to get in a shoot out with the Packers, team that throws 68% of the time and ranks last in the league in rushing. With that said, look for the ground attack, to be keyed upon by the Bears tonight behind RB Cedric Benson, with clock control and conservative approach from beginning to end. Look for this contest to fail to eclipse the number! Final notes & Key Trends: The Bears have gone under 11 straight on the road after a loss when they allowed at least 4 sacks last week. NFL teams in contest with a total of 35.5 to 42 that have averaged just 17 points or less per game on the season, and are off giving up 30 points or more in their last game like Chicago are 22-4 on the under! Play Under

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

Rocketman Sports

TOP RATED 5* NFL play Sunday!

45-18 71% last 63 NFL(7-2 +17.1 units yesterday)

Rocketman is now 45-18 71% his last 63 NFL plays after a perfect 2-0 sweep last week with Underdogs Cleveland and Arizona winning outright. Rocketman was 8-1 89% last year with his 5* NFL plays. 5* College Football play cashed easily yesterday with Virginia Tech.

We finished last years NFL season 38-12 last 17 weeks including 19-4 last 23 plays last season.

Rocketman Sports plays are rated 1-5 units

NFL

Seattle @ Pittsburgh 1:00 PM EST
Play On: 5* Seattle +6 1/2

Seattle defense is only allowing 13.2 points per game overall and 13 points per game on the road this year. Seattle is 5-1 ATS overall vs Pittsburgh since 1992. Seattle is actually 6-1 ATS last 7 overall with Pittsburgh and 3-0 ATS last 3 at Pittsburgh. I expect a fairly low scoring game here with Seattle keeping it close. Holmgren is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against AFC North division opponents in all games he has coached since 1992. Seattle has won 4 of the past 5 meetings outright. Hasselbeck has won 5 of his last 6 starts against AFC opponents. We'll play Seattle for 5 units today!

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

Carlo Campanella

NFC DOG Game of the year

Guaranteed Pick: Carlo Campanella

Game: Detroit Lions at Washington Redskins Oct 7 2007 1:00PM
Prediction: Detroit Lions
Reason: Detroit is surprisingly off to a 3-1 start to the season, including a solid 37-27 victory over a solid Bears squad last Sunday. We find NFL Dogs at 15-0 ATS when getting points after a game which they scored 34 points or more! Those numbers tell us to back the Lions as they are now road Dogs heading to Washington (2-1) this weekend. The Lions hold an huge offensive edge in this contest, averaging 28.5 points per game, as Washington has struggled to put points on the board while scoring 16, 17 and 20 points so far. Last week they lost, 17-24, at home to the Giants and doubt that the Skins will get things going on offense this Sunday as we find them at 1-9 ATS after losing as Favorites behind Head Coach Gibbs.

10*Detroit

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

Karl Garrett Comps

Jacksonville (-2') at KANSAS CITY
If this is a trap, the G-Man is falling for it hook, line, and sinker!

How can you explain the fact the Chiefs are getting a few points at Arrowhead Stadium? I mean, they are fresh off an upset win over San Diego that evened their mark to 2-2 on the year. They are also 2-0 the last 2 season's when installed as the home underdog, 4-1 overall as a home dog since 2004, and 12-4-1 overall against the spread at Arrowhead their last 17.

Jacksonville did pick up a road win at Denver just before heading to their bye week, but the Jags are just 3-7 against the spread on the road their last 10 games, and last season they went winless in 4 tries when laying points on the road!

These teams did meet last year in Jacksonville on the last week of the regular season, and KC came away with a 35-30 win as the 2 1/2-point road favorite.

The Jaguars are in the revenge mode, but it won't happen today against the improving Chiefs.

Take KC!


3♦ KANSAS CITY

[CaPPiNg TiGeRz]

Chuck Franklin

Atlanta (+8) at TENNESSEE
Just too many points in this game. The Falcons are capable of staying within the number against this Titans team. Tennessee is only averaing 19 points per game and had only 98 yards rushing against New Orleans in its last game. Atlanta got its first win of the season last week against Houston and they have scored a combined 46 points in its last two games.

Atlanta has not started a season with three straight road losses in over 10 years. They will compete today at Tennessee. As a matter of fact the Falcons are 4-1 ATS the last five road games and 5-1 ATS the last six games when listed as a road dog of more than three points and less than 10 points.

Tennessee is 4-10 ATS the last 14 games when listed as the home favorite and 1-5 ATS the last six games as a favorite of more than thee points and less than 10 points. The Titans are on a 1-5 ATS run the game after scoring more than 30 points.

I'll be on the road dog today with the Falcons.

3♦ ATLANTA

[Thor]

Root

Billionaire GOY-Jets
No Limit-Bears
Millionaire-Steelers
Insider Circle-Rams
Chairman-Miami

[Thor]

Big Al


Non Conference GOM-Jets
NFC North GOY-Bears
3*-Wash, St. Louis

[Thor]

BRANDON LANG

40 DIME
GREEN BAY PACKERS


20 DIME
TAMPA BAY

10 DIME
Steelers
Chiefs
Browns/Patriots OVER

5 DIME
Panthers
Redskins

[Thor]

Psychic Sports

10/7

NFL

2 units San Diego +1
2 units Tampa Bay +9.5
2 units Tennessee -9
3 units Arizona -3.5
3 units Seattle +6
3 units New Orleans -3
5 units Miami +5.5
WISEGUY

NCAAF

2 units Boise -24

MLB

2 units Anaheim +101
2 units Cleveland +172

[Thor]

Wolkosky Milan

Today:

10* RAMS +3½
10* REDSKINS -3½
10* DOLPHINS +5
10* RAVENS -3½
10* BROWNS +16½
10* CHIEFS +2


Computer Plays

Sunday, October 7th, 2007
1:00 pm Arizona at St. Louis Arizona Cardinals - 3½
1:00 pm Atlanta at Tennessee Tennessee Titans - 8
1:00 pm Carolina at New Orleans New Orleans Saints - 3
1:00 pm Cleveland at New England New England Patriots - 16½
1:00 pm Detroit at Washington Detroit Lions + 3½
1:00 pm Jacksonville at Kansas City Jacksonville Jaguars - 2½
1:00 pm Miami at Houston Miami Dolphins + 5½
1:00 pm N.Y. Jets at N.Y. Giants New York Giants - 3½
1:00 pm Seattle at Pittsburgh Pittsburgh Steelers - 6
4:05 pm Tampa Bay at Indianapolis Tampa Bay Buccaneers + 9½
4:15 pm Baltimore at San Francisco San Francisco 49ers + 3
4:15 pm San Diego at Denver Denver Broncos - 1
8:15 pm Chicago at Green Bay Green Bay Packers - 3
Monday, October 8th, 2007
8:30 pm Dallas at Buffalo Dallas Cowboys -10

[Thor]

Hank Green...
6* Over Pitt
6* G.b.
5* Jax
3* Pitt
3* Over San Fran
3* Houst

[Thor]

Phil Steele
Late Phone Selections
3.5* Over 40 Seattle/Pittsburgh
3* NY Giants -3.5 vs NY Jets
3* Baltimore -3.5 vs San Fran

Phil's Weekly NFL Plays
3.5* Green Bay -3
3* NY Giants -3.5
3* Atlanta +8

[Thor]

Football Chicks

NFL Blowout Of The Year: 11 units - 412 Washington -3.5

*Special note if the NCAAF game of the year loses on Saturday the NFL game of the year will be doubled to 22 units on Sunday. Play 11 units Washington -3.5 now.

NFL Game Of The Month: 9 units - 426 Indianapolis -10

8 units - 417 Seattle +5.5
8 units - 419 Cleveland +16
5 units - 412 Redskins ML -191
2 units - 426 Colts ML -530

[Thor]

Robert Ferringo

NFL SELECTIONS

5-Unit Play. Take #412 Washington (-3.5) over Detroit (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 7)
3-Unit Play. Take First Half: #412 Washington (-2) over Detroit (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 7)
The Redskins have been significantly better in the first half of games than in the second half this year. I think that Detroit is poised for a letdown this week against a rested, more physical team. Chicago didn’t take advantage of Detroit’s weak run defense and I think Washington will, controlling the ball and the tempo in this one. The home team is 5-1 ATS in this series and the Redskins are 9-2 ATS following a bye week.

3.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 40.5 New York Jets at New York Giants (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 7)
This is part of a system play that’s hit at over 61 percent over the last decade and I think it’s going against the grain a bit. All anyone has talked about is the Giants defensive resurgence and the Jets offensive incompetence. I look for both trends to reverse themselves. Also, if the Jets can give up 17 points to Trent Edwards and the Bills last week I think the Giants can hang 20+ on them. The ‘Over’ is 11-5-1 in the Jets’ last 17 games as an underdog and 6-1 in the Giants’ last seven as a favorite. Also, the ‘over’ is 5-1 in the Giants’ last six games after allowing 15 points or less in their previous game.

3.5-Unit Play. Take First Half: #418 Pittsburgh (-3) over Seattle (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 7)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #418 Pittsburgh (-6) over Seattle (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 7)
I like to jump on West Coast teams – particularly ones that play on turf – coming into the Eastern Time Zone. I think the Steelers are still smarting a bit from their loss in Arizona last week while the Seahawks may be primed for a bit of a letdown after their impressive divisional win over San Fran. Seattle is 5-22 ATS in its last 27 October games, 4-10 ATS in its last 14 road games, and is 2-14 ATS (0-9 on the road) in October after two straight wins.

3-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 39.0 Seattle at Pittsburgh (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 7)
The ‘over’ is 12-3-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 16 home games and 36-15-2 in their last 53 home games. Also, the ‘over’ is 15-6 in Seattle’s last 21 road games and 21-6 in their last 27 games on grass. We’re below some key numbers here and we have two very competent passing attacks. These have been two of the better defenses in the league this year, but I see both shutting down the run and that leading to more throwing.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #429 Baltimore (-3) over San Francisco (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 7)
The Ravens are 23-11-1 ATS following a SU loss and the 49ers are 2-10-1 ATS after home loss by 14 or more points. San Francisco is missing some key offensive pieces and I think the Ravens defense will play with a chip on its shoulder.

[Thor]

PLAYBOOK

NFL
5* Chicago over Green Bay 14
4* Baltimore over San Francisco by by 13
3* St. Louis over Arizona by 8

NFL TOTALS
5* Under Dolphins-Texans
4* Over Seahawks-Steelers
3* Under Bucs-Colts

[Thor]

Sebastian

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

20* Wahington, NO, TB, Miami, Chicago..Teaser Jax under, SD Under

30* Giants

50* over Giants/Jets
Seattle, Rams

Confirmed and paid for

[Thor]

Cokin---
System Clev
Big shot Jets
Wind - Wash
Hat - Tenn

Wise Guy Sports

3 units bears
2 units Pats
2 units lions
1 unit bears UNDER

[Bluemyboy]

vegas sports information

*** Free Sunday Trend Plays ***<?XML:NAMESPACE PREFIX = O /><O:P></O:P>
Take #417 Over 39 Seattle at Pittsburgh. (NFL)
Seattle is 17-7 O/U in their last 24 games as an underdog and the Seahawks are also 15-6 O/U in their last 21 road games. Pittsburgh is 10-4-1 O/U as a favorite and the Steelers are also 37-15 O/U in their last 52 home games

[Bluemyboy]

Ace-Ace

BAL-3.5 -104..............................................$ 300.00

HOU -5.5 -102........................................$800.00

CLEVE +16 1/2+100............................$800.00

PITT OVER 39 -105..............................$2400.00

GB-3-120............................................... $2600.00

[Bluemyboy]

FREE WINNER FOR 10/7
NFL
1 unit on Jets OVER 41<?XML:NAMESPACE PREFIX = O /><o:p></o:p>
We don’t expect to see much defense this week in the Big Apple battle. The Jets are 10-2 OVER in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Coughlin is 17-6 OVER in home games off 2 straight division games in all games he has coached since 1992. We expect lots of passing in this one and neither teams secondaries are very good. We’ll take the OVER.<o:p></o:p>


Locksmith

[Bluemyboy]

Confidential Kick-Off
The Gold Sheet


10 SEATTLE over *Pittsburgh
Late Score Forecast:
Seattle 24 - *Pittsburgh 20
(Sunday, October 7)

Mike Holmgren and Seattle veterans, still bummed over some "bum" calls in
Super Bowl XL vs. Pittsburgh two seasons ago, are catching Steelers a little
wounded as Seahawks seek some retribution. Key S Troy Polamalu (ab strain)
and NT Casey Hampton (hamstring) were unable to finish last week's 21-14 loss
at Arizona, and clutch WR Hines Ward (knee) was unable to start. Holmgren
has revamped the Seahawk "D" since that Super Bowl loss, most importantly
adding extra-dimension LB Julian Peterson (3 sacks last week) from the 49ers.
And former Patriots' Super Bowl MVP Deion Branch (7 for 130 last week vs.
S.F.'s quality CBs) has arrived to add a more reliable target for Matt
Hasselbeck. Now facing a rookie HC in Mike Tomlin, Holmgren brings his
veteran expertise into play.


TOTALS: OVER (39) in Seattle-Pittsburgh game...Steeler "D" was thinned by
injuries at Arizona; HC Tomlin has loosed the passing reins on Ben
Roethlisberger; OVER (42.5) in San Diego-Denver game...Broncs having problems
stopping the run; S.D. defense (26 ppg!) misses guidance of departed def.
coord. Wade Phillips.


HONORABLE MENTION
ARIZONA (+1) at St. Louis
(NFL)-Rams hurtin' on offense; Cards (3-0-1 vs. spread) soaring under Ken
Whisenhunt, who's defying NFL adages by playing two QBs (one of them former
Ram hero Kurt Warner)!
<!-- / message -->

[Bluemyboy]

ROBERT FERRINGO

5-Unit Play. Take #412 Washington (-3.5) over Detroit (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 7)
3-Unit Play. Take First Half: #412 Washington (-2) over Detroit (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 7)
The Redskins have been significantly better in the first half of games than in the second half this year. I think that Detroit is poised for a letdown this week against a rested, more physical team. Chicago didn’t take advantage of Detroit’s weak run defense and I think Washington will, controlling the ball and the tempo in this one. The home team is 5-1 ATS in this series and the Redskins are 9-2 ATS following a bye week.

3.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 40.5 New York Jets at New York Giants (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 7)
This is part of a system play that’s hit at over 61 percent over the last decade and I think it’s going against the grain a bit. All anyone has talked about is the Giants defensive resurgence and the Jets offensive incompetence. I look for both trends to reverse themselves. Also, if the Jets can give up 17 points to Trent Edwards and the Bills last week I think the Giants can hang 20+ on them. The ‘Over’ is 11-5-1 in the Jets’ last 17 games as an underdog and 6-1 in the Giants’ last seven as a favorite. Also, the ‘over’ is 5-1 in the Giants’ last six games after allowing 15 points or less in their previous game.

3.5-Unit Play. Take First Half: #418 Pittsburgh (-3) over Seattle (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 7)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #418 Pittsburgh (-6) over Seattle (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 7)
I like to jump on West Coast teams – particularly ones that play on turf – coming into the Eastern Time Zone. I think the Steelers are still smarting a bit from their loss in Arizona last week while the Seahawks may be primed for a bit of a letdown after their impressive divisional win over San Fran. Seattle is 5-22 ATS in its last 27 October games, 4-10 ATS in its last 14 road games, and is 2-14 ATS (0-9 on the road) in October after two straight wins.

3-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 39.0 Seattle at Pittsburgh (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 7)
The ‘over’ is 12-3-1 in Pittsburgh’s last 16 home games and 36-15-2 in their last 53 home games. Also, the ‘over’ is 15-6 in Seattle’s last 21 road games and 21-6 in their last 27 games on grass. We’re below some key numbers here and we have two very competent passing attacks. These have been two of the better defenses in the league this year, but I see both shutting down the run and that leading to more throwing.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #429 Baltimore (-3) over San Francisco (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 7)
The Ravens are 23-11-1 ATS following a SU loss and the 49ers are 2-10-1 ATS after home loss by 14 or more points. San Francisco is missing some key offensive pieces and I think the Ravens defense will play with a chip on its shoulder.
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[Bluemyboy]

Gator Report (free)

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NFL (Sunday): Green Bay is 9-0 Over in home games after being out rushed by at least 100 yards in their last game since 1992.

[Bluemyboy]

Computer Selections - had a great day last Sun. (34-20 so far this year) and they're free.

Sunday, October 7th, 2007
1:00 pm Arizona at St. Louis Arizona Cardinals - 3½
1:00 pm Atlanta at Tennessee Tennessee Titans - 8
1:00 pm Carolina at New Orleans New Orleans Saints - 3
1:00 pm Cleveland at New England New England Patriots - 16½
1:00 pm Detroit at Washington Detroit Lions + 3½
1:00 pm Jacksonville at Kansas City Jacksonville Jaguars - 2½
1:00 pm Miami at Houston Miami Dolphins + 5½
1:00 pm N.Y. Jets at N.Y. Giants New York Giants - 3½
1:00 pm Seattle at Pittsburgh Pittsburgh Steelers - 6
4:05 pm Tampa Bay at Indianapolis Tampa Bay Buccaneers + 9½
4:15 pm Baltimore at San Francisco San Francisco 49ers + 3
4:15 pm San Diego at Denver Denver Broncos - 1
8:15 pm Chicago at Green Bay Green Bay Packers - 3
Monday, October 8th, 2007
8:30 pm Dallas at Buffalo Dallas Cowboys -10

[Bluemyboy]

Dan Gordon early nfl

Bears +3 ½ or more over Packers: Small Play
Normally this would be a normal or even possibly a large play but since I have seen some bad things with the Bears, I am keeping this as a small play. For one thing, I really thought that the Bears would make a better showing last week off of a Sunday night nationally televised rout loss to the Cowboys. The Bears blew a ten point fourth quarter lead to the Lions and gave up a record 34 points in the fourth quarter of their 27-37 loss in that game. The Bears also have numerous key defensive players out.
However, what stands out this week and has gotten me to back the Bears is that they are a very legitimate must-win underdog this week. The Bears are defending NFC champs and for them to miss the playoffs this season would mark this season as a total disaster. Right now, the Bears are three games behind the Packers. A loss here not only would put them four games back but also would put them two games behind the Packers in the divisional records and make it almost impossible for them to win a tiebreaker and be pretty much out of the playoff running. Whatever effort the Bears have left in them will be given on Sunday night in Green Bay. Meanwhile, the Packers continue to win with an ancient Brett Favre not only playing way beyond himself, but doing so without any running game support. Evenutally, hopefully this week, this will catch up with the Packers.
In addition:
1) The Bears have covered five of their last six revenge games as underdogs (the Packers won the season finale in Chicago last year).
2) The Packers come from two straight emotional up games.
3) The Bears have won three straight in Green Bay.
4) The Bears are a fresh due up, while the Packers are a fresh due down. The Bears have revenge, number (power rating), coverage, and fatigue (Packers up last two) working in their favor in this clashing due combo.
Again, take +3 ½ as soon as you see it.

[Bluemyboy]

Mighty ! Quinn

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1~6 going into Friday
NFL best bets 0~3~1
J~E~T~S +3..They are the away team for todays game.

[Bluemyboy]

Jim Rich

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7~7 Last week
26~36 for the year in Totals

Giants and the over. 40 1/2
Steelers and the over. 39
Panthers and the over. 44
Titans and the under. 40 1/2
Texans and the under. 43
Chargers and the over. 43
Browns and the over. 48
Bears and over. 40 1/2
Colts and the under. 45 1/2

Monday
Cowboys and the over. 44



Look But Don't Touch

Cardinals at Rams

1 p.m. Cardinals by 3 1/2, 40 1/2

THE LOWDOWN: Gus Frerotte vs. Kurt Warner. What more could a fan ask for? The Cardinals (2-2) stunned the Steelers last week with a Warner-Matt Leinart combo at QB. Leinart is not happy about the situation, and Warner is good at making you think he's recaptured that late-'90s magic, only to revert back to his Giants days and daze. Frerotte replaces injured Marc Bulger for the Rams (0-4), who seem to have hit rock bottom - which is usually when you bet the house against St. Louis and they find a way to win.

CAN'T HELP YOURSELF? Rams and the under.

Best of the rest

Lions at Redskins

1 p.m., Redskins by 3 1/2, 46 1/2

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Redskins and the under

Ravens at 49ers

4:15 p.m., Ravens by 3, 35 1/2

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: 49ers and the over

Jaguars at Chiefs

1 p.m. Jags by 2, 36 1/2

IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Chiefs and the under
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[Bluemyboy]

EROCKMONEY SPORTS 19-9 @ website

KC +2, MIAMI +5, SEATTLE +6

BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK 1-3 INDY-10

UPSET SPECIAL 3-1 ST LOUIS +4

TOTALS 6-2 MIAMI UND 43' SEATTLE OVER 39
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[Bluemyboy]

BRIAN GABRIELLE

NFL Carolina vs. New Orleans

Take Carolina Panthers

One more loss for the Saints is coming up this Sunday. Brees throws interceptions like rice at a wedding. Take the points on the Panthers

[Bluemyboy]

DCI

Sunday, October 7, 2007
Western Athletic Conference
BOISE ST. 44, New Mexico St. 9

[Bluemyboy]

GOLD SHEET

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 7

*BOISE STATE 52 - New Mexico State 24--Now that new QB Tharp and rebuilt Boise receiving corps getting the hang of things, don't mind laying points with Broncos on blue carpet, where they're 16-6 vs. line last 22. Meanwhile, QB Holbrook and Hal Mumme's Air Raid (only 20 points & 249 YP last week vs. Ark.-Pine Bluff) not quite putting up the numbers it did a year ago. TV--ESPN

(06-Bsu 40-N. MEX. ST. 28...N.28-23 B.42/255 N.20/8 N.49/65/2/526 B.14/21/1/215 B.1 N.1)

(06-Bsu -26' 40-28 05-BSU -33 56-6...SR: Boise State 7-0)
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[Bluemyboy]

JEFF ALEXANDER

NFL
Arizona vs. Saint Louis

Take Saint Louis Rams

Rams +3.5 This is the week for St. Louis as Arizona has not been able to get it done on the road this year and a big win over Pittsburgh puts them in dangerous letdown territory. St. Louis nearly pulled one out at home against division rival San Fran earlier this season. With as close as the games in this division have been this season, we won’t hesitate to take an overdue Rams team here catching better than a field goal at home





LARRY COOK

NFL
Seattle vs. Pittsburgh

Take Pittsburgh Steelers

3* on Pittsburgh Steelers -6 Pittsburgh will turn around and pick up a big home win over Seattle after losing to Arizona on the road last week. Seattle is just 14-33 ATS coming off a division win. The Steelers are on a 14-5 ATS run as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. They are 26-8 ATS in their last 36 games against a team with a winning percentage of 75% or better. The best teams in the league bring out the best in the Steelers. Pittsburgh wins this game by double http://www.therxforum.com/images/smilies/digitando.gifs at home. Bet the Steelers




JOHN MARTIN

NFL
New York vs. New York

Take Under

1 Unit on Jets/Giants Under 41 The Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between the Jets and Giants. These teams bring out the best in each other defensively. 5 of the last 6 meetings haven’t surpassed a combined 30 points. The Under is 9-3-1 in the Giants’ last 13 home games. The Under is 9-2 in the Giants’ last 11 games in Week 5. The Jets are 42-25 Under in their last 67 games as a road underdog of 7 points or less. The Giants are 9-1 Under against good passing teams with a 61% completion percentage or better the last 3 seasons. The Jets don’t stretch the field and neither do the Giants. Each team relies heavily on the run and short passes to prolong drives. Cash in with the Under 41 points.





BILL YOUNG

NFL
Detroit vs. Washington

Take Washington Redskins

1* on Washington Redskins -3.5 The Lions picked up a big home win over conference rival Chicago last week. Detroit won’t be so fortunate against this tough Redskins defense Sunday. Washington is giving up only 16.3 points per game while the Lions are yielding a terrible 30.3 points per game this season. Detroit has been putting up point at will, but they won’t go for more than 20 against one of the best defensive secondary’s in the league. The Lions are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games. We will bet against a road underdog off an upset win by 10 or more points as an underdog the week prior. This is a 37-13 Situation with a 74% cash rate. The home team is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings between Washington and Detroit. Take the Redskins and lay the points.





JIMMY BOYD

NFL
New York vs. New York

Take Over

Jets OVER 41 We don’t expect to see much defense this week in the Big Apple battle. The Jets are 10-2 OVER in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Coughlin is 17-6 OVER in home games off 2 straight division games in all games he has coached since 1992. We expect lots of passing in this one and neither teams secondaries are very good. We’ll take the OVER
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[Bluemyboy]

Steve Merril (CoversExperts)

Wash -3.5

The Redskins blew a 17-3 halftime lead versus the Giants two weeks ago in their eventual 24-17 loss. Washington should benefit from last week’s bye and they will come out focused this week. The Redskins will also not overlook a surprising 3-1 SU Detroit squad.

The Lions are not as good as their overall record indicates as they are a very one-dimensional team that throws for 81% of their total offensive yards this year. This pass-based offense is now playing right into the strength of the Redskins’ defense as Washington has an excellent secondary that has allowed just 5.4 yards per pass this season (versus opponents that average 6.3 ypp overall).

The Redskins qualify in a solid 86-39 ATS rushing indicator as NFL teams that can substantially win the rushing battle usually get the pointspread cover. The Redskins are averaging 134 yards per game on the ground which is far superior to a weak Detroit rushing attack that is averaging only 74 yards per game.

The Lions’ four opponents this season are a combined 5-11 SU and Detroit was exposed at Philadelphia two weeks ago when the Lions lost 21-56 as a 5½ -point road underdog. Keep in mind the Redskins played in Philadelphia six days earlier and won outright 20-12 as a 6½-point underdog at the exact same site.
Play REDSKINS (-).
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[Bluemyboy]

Free winner from #1 Sports:

This match up at The Meadowlands is essentially a home game for both squads, and we advise against getting too caught up in what transpired in Philadelphia last week against the Westbrook-less Eagles. The Jets will rush the ball straight at the Giants to set up the quick passing game that Pennington masters. Take the New York Jets +3 ½ to improve your season article mark to 5-1.

[Bluemyboy]

Free winner from Spike Measer / Big Time Sports:

Seahawks / Steelers Under.

[Bluemyboy]

Free winner from Dr. Vegas:

Take San Diego +1.5 over Denver.

[Bluemyboy]

Carlo Campanella COMP

Game: Atlanta Falcons at Tennessee Titans Oct 7 2007 1:00PM

Prediction: Tennessee Titans

Reason: After losing QB Vick, Atlanta (1-3) opened the season with three consecutive losses. They finally notched their first win of the season, defeating Houston 26-16 on Sunday in Atlanta. That was their highest point production of the season, as they had previously scored just 3, 7, and 20 points in their first three efforts. The winning streak wont continue as they hit the road this weekend and battle a Tennessee (2-1) squad thats tied for second place in the AFC South, especially knowing that QB Vince Young is 9-3 ATS against teams coming off a SU win. Lay the lumber with the Titans, whos only loss this year came against the undefeated Colts and are only 2 points away from a perfect record.

7* Play On Tennessee

[Bluemyboy]

Norm Hitzges

23-20 YTD

Double Play--Dallas -10 vs Buffalo
Double Play--San Francisco/Baltimore Under 35
New Orleans -3 vs Carolina
Jacksonville -2 vs KC
Atlanta +8 vs Tennessee
Arizona -3.5 vs St. Louis
Baltimore -3 vs San Francisco
Tampa Bay/Indy Under 46
Houston/Atlanta Under 43

[Bluemyboy]

Sports Insights

Games to Watch YTD 6-6

Pittsburgh Steelers -5.5
New York Jets +3.5
Chicago Bears +3.5

[Bluemyboy]

LT Profits

While we feel that both the Detroit Lions and Washington Redskins have overachieved in the early going, we do think that the Lions have the better chance of hiding their deficiencies this week.

The Lions are 3-1 despite a very suspect defense, but the Redskins simply lack the firepower to take advantage of that. Detroit has been fine offensively averaging 28.5 points per game, and quarterback Jon Kitna is off to a blazing start. Kitna has completed an impressive 70.5 percent of his passes while throwing for 1,227 yards. He is averaging a very good 8.83 yards per pass attempt, which also helps explain his lofty 104.8 quarterback rating.

By comparison, Redskins quarterback Jason Campbell rates out to a dismal 69.6 percent. The Skins would rather control the ball with the running game, but while Clinton Portis is expected to play, keep in mind that he is recovering from a Grade 1 knee sprain. If he is hindered in any way and Washington is forced to go to the air, the Redskins are in big trouble.

The bottom line here is that the Lions have been scoring points virtually at will while the Redskins have looked lost offensively. Look for the underdog Lions to score just enough points for the upset.

Free Pick: Lions +3½


LT Profits

Apparently, most people including ourselves wrote off the Kansas City Chiefs too soon, as they have now won two games in a row and we feel they have an excellent chance to make it three straight at home vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Now we figured that the Kansas City defense would be improved under Herm Edwards, and it has actually been one of the best in the NFL thus far, surrendering just 16.5 points and 284 8 total yards per game. However, it was the offense that surprised us in the Chiefs’ shockingly easy 30-16 win at San Diego, as Damon Huard threw for 284 yards, which finally opened up some running lanes for Larry Johnson, who promptly rushed for 123 yards on 25 carries. If Huard can continue his efficient play to prevent defenses from keying on Johnson, the Chiefs are going to surprise some people, especially when they play at home.

Now the Jaguars are coming off of a bye after winning their last two games, but all that time off may not have been a good thing as safety Reggie Nelson was questioned about a shooting outside of a Florida nightclub in the wee hours last weekend. Besides that distraction, Jacksonville is still rather banged up even with the bye week, with defensive tackle John Henderson, linebacker Clint Ingram, running back Fred Taylor and tackle Khalif Barnes all nursing injuries.

Finally, the Chiefs have the strongest home field advantage in the NFL, as they are 14-3 straight up at home since 2005, and we look for their home fans to help carry them to the mild upset.

Free Pick: Chiefs +2
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[Bluemyboy]

Will Cover

Don't expect any offensive fireworks in this one as the Baltimore Ravens have scored just two touchdowns on the road so far this season and plan to attack the San Francisco 49ers' 25th-ranked run defense on the ground, thus keeping the clock moving!

For San Francisco, journeyman QB Trent Dilfer get the start for the NFL's 32nd (and last) ranked passing offense against a strong Baltimore defense that will want to make amends off a poor performance in Cleveland last week. The Niners are 4-1 to the Under before a bye week and the Birds are 17-5 to the Under in the second of back-to-back away games.

How low can this one go? Play the Under.

Free Pick: Ravens-49ers Under 35½

[Bluemyboy]

Valley Sports comp

Sunday 10-07-2007
Washington Over Detroit

[Bluemyboy]

Winning Points Online NFL SIDE pick of the day.
------------------------------------------------------

***BEST BET
Jacksonville* over Kansas City by 14
The Jaguars' defensive secondary counts among it:
Sammy Knight and Aaron Glenn, who have combined for
25 NFL seasons and 79 interceptions. Knight is coming
off three seasons as a member of the Chiefs and as a
safety, knows how the ball is coming to Kansas City's
favorite receiving target, TE Tony Gonzalez. Knight
has great hands. JACKSONVILLE, 17-3.



Winning Points Online NFL TOTAL pick of the day.
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***PREFERRED TOTAL
UNDER 40.5
Tampa Bay at Indianapolis
Take that 30-20 score down a ways. Luke Petitgout,
starting left tackle for Tampa Bay, is out. Which means
that an undrafted free agent from Utah State is
protecting Jeff Garcia's blind side, the side that DE
Dwight Freeney of the Colts rushes from. Say hello to
more of Bucs RBs non-game-breaking runners Michael
Pittman and Earnest Graham.

Among the missing for Indy at Thursday's practice were
WR Marvin Harrison (knee), RB Joseph Addai (shoulder).
The two main men on their offense after Peyton Manning.
I'm not expecting them to play,'' coach Tony Dungy
said. "If they practice Friday or Saturday and can go
(Sunday) . . . it would be a bonus for us. "You can sit
there and wait and hope, and I've never been one to do
that. I think you have to get your other guys ready.''
TAMPA BAY, 20-10.
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[Bluemyboy]

North Coast Power Sweep:
4*.......Atlanta
3*.......Ravens
2*'s:....Steelers....Browns
Others:
Carolina Denver
Jacksonville Arizona Giants
Totals: 3*'s: Pit/Sea...Over...Blt/SF...Under...Chi/GB...Over
2*'s:...Cle/NE.....Under.....SD/DEN....Over
Total POW......Jac/kc......Under

Top

[Bluemyboy]

ultra spts

5 clevland
3 denver
3 rams

[Bluemyboy]

Hsw

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Early Phones

5* Chicago Bears

Seattle

Carolina

This makes up the 1 unit 3-Team Parlay to win six.

[Bluemyboy]

NFL Chicks

NFL Blowout Of The Year: 11 units - 412 Washington -3.5

Special note if the NCAAF game of the year loses on Saturday the NFL game of the year will be doubled to 22 units on Sunday. Play 11 units Washington -3.5 now.

NFL Game Of The Month: 9 units - 426 Indianapolis -10

8 units - 417 Seattle +5.5
8 units - 419 Cleveland +16
5 units - 412 Redskins ML -191
2 units - 426 Colts ML -530

[Bluemyboy]

Sunday 10/7 Surf & Turf Play Surf & Turf --- 7-2 so far this year

Your play for this week guys is the St louis Rams +3

[Bluemyboy]

Cappers Access--

Sun) NFL Saints Panthers 3 Saints
(Sun) NFL Cardinals Rams 3 Rams
(Sun) NFL Broncos Chargers pk Broncos
(Sun) NFL Packers Bears 3 Packers

[Bluemyboy]

SELECTIVE

NFL Week 5
Sunday, October 7, 2007


San Diego Chargers +1.5 for 5 units

New York Jets +3.5 for 4 units

[Bluemyboy]

Wild Bill

Week 5, NFL Oct 7-8


Carolina +3 (1 unit)

Chiefs +2 1/2 (1 unit)

Tennessee -8 (1 unit)

Browns +16 1/2 (2 units)

Arizona -3 (1 unit)

Colts -10 (2 units)

Denver -1 (1 unit)

Ravens -3 (1 unit)

Bears +3 (1 unit)

Buffalo +10 1/2 (1 unit)
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[Bluemyboy]

Bob Balfe

NFL Football

Jaguars -2 over Chiefs
Both teams are on the rise and are playing like postseason teams. The Jags won in Denver two weeks ago and are rested coming off the bye. KC has won two straight, but I still think they have offensive problems. This game will come down to who can run the ball best. Jacksonville's Defensive line is a lot bigger than the KC Offensive line and this is a game that will be won and loss in the trenches. David Garrard has yet to throw an INT this year and this seems like the more prepared team coming off the bye.

Miami +5 over Houston
The Texans have looked good this year, but without Andre Johnson this team has not won. Miami's Ronnie Brown is starting to tear it up and a good running game will keep Matt Schaub off the field for the Texans. The Miami defense may have lost a step, but experience means a lot against a young team like Houston. This game should be close. Five points is too much.

Cleveland +16.5 over New England
The Patriots have looked awesome, but really have not played the best of competition. I am not taking anything away from the Pats because they are good, but the Browns are no joke this season and offensively this many points is a lot in this spot. The Cleveland wide receivers have a tremendous height advantage and on defense Cleveland's Defensive Line stacks up well against New England. The Patriots are not 100% in the running game due to injury and they are going against Romeo Crennel who used to be a coach in New England. Crennel knows this squad and will be more prepared then usual. Take the Browns.

Atlanta/Tennessee Over 40.5
The Falcons are starting to get comfortable with Joey Harrington under center and this team might be unstoppable if they get Warrick Dunn going. Tennessee had two weeks to prepare for the already horrible Atlanta defense that cannot stop the run. The Titans are second in the league running the ball and will have an easy time running again today. Both teams should be able to score a lot. Take the Over.

Baltimore/San Francisco Under 35.5
The Ravens offense is not going to scare anybody in this league. Baltimore is coming off a tough loss on the road in Cleveland and now must travel across the country to take on the 49ers that will not have a Alex Smith or TE Vernon Davis. Trent Dilfer will start for the 49ers and this is not a guy that is going to put up big numbers against a good Ravens defense. Baltimore on offense has trouble putting up TD's in the redzone. Look for this to be a great defensive game. Take the Under.

Chicago +3 over Green Bay
The Packers throw the ball almost 70% of the time. This is fine, but the Chicago defense is too good to be one dimensional one. The Packers are off to a hot start and the Bears know a loss here could put the division out of reach early on in the year. The public is all over Green Bay and when you have a team that is 4-0 against the spread playing on Sunday night it is best to not play them. Chicago is 0-4 against the spread and these numbers always find a way to even themselves out. Look for the Bears to get better numbers from Griese and to play like their season is on the line.
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[Bluemyboy]

Fairway Jay's 20* NFL NFC Mismatch GOM (14-6 70% Run)


10/7/07 NFL 20* Big Drive: Washington -3.5 (412)

ANALYSIS: The Redskins had a well-needed bye last week to get their bruised and battered bodies a bit healthier. Wide receiver Santana Moss (groin) is now doubtful versus Detroit, but the Redskins power running game will key this solid victory. Running back Clinton Portis (knee) practiced fully the end of the week and will team with Ladell Betts to overpower Detroit’s smallish front seven behind their big offensive line. Look for them to be involved in the short/intermediate passing game with TE Cooley and WR Randle-El as Washing’ton moves the chains consistently in front of the Lions cover-2 coverage that ranks no. 31 against the pass while allowing 67% completions. Recall week 3 when Detroit traveled to Philadelphia and the Eagles erupted on the Lions porous secondary while out-rushing them 173-39 in a 56-21 route. The Lions offense was one-dimensional and QB Kitna was sacked 9 times while only having 27 minutes of possession time, and the defense allowed 8.5 yards-per-play. Similar success can be had by Washington, who is more conservative on offense, but following the Giants game prior to the bye when they became conservative in the second half and blew a 17-3 lead at home, don’t expect them to let up against a weak defense. The Redskins defense is also a quality unit that is stronger in the middle this season with London Fletcher leading the team in tackles. They have little to worry about with the Lions running game and have the strongest and most opportunistic secondary yet faced by the Lions wide-open passing attack. Calvin Johnson is questionable at wide receiver, yet the Lions have three other receivers with 20+ receptions led by one of the leagues best Roy Williams. However, Washington’s pass defense is no. 2 in the NFL in yards-per-pass attempt. With the Lions lacking in the running game, speed rusher Andrew Carter and the ‘Skins front line can pressure QB Kitna, who has been sacked a league-leading 19 times, and force the Lions into longer passing downs and a one-dimensional attack that failed them against Philly. Detroit has never won in Washington (0-17), and the fundamentals at the line of scrimmage and in the running game set the Redskins up for a very solid home victory worthy of 20* Big Drive status. Take the Redskins.<!-- / message -->
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[Bluemyboy]

Alex Smart

Sunday Night NFL Total

Guaranteed Pick: Alex Smart

Game: Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers Oct 7 2007 8:15PM
Prediction: under
Reason: The Chicago Bears are reeling with a 1-3 record entering into this Sunday night game against their long time rivals the perfect 4-0 Green Bay Packers. The talk in Chicago is the team has to get back to basics, and begin playing the type of hard nosed football that had made them successful in the recent past. No way does Lovie Smith and his banged up secondary want to get in a shoot out with the Packers, team that throws 68% of the time and ranks last in the league in rushing. With that said, look for the ground attack, to be keyed upon by the Bears tonight behind RB Cedric Benson, with clock control and conservative approach from beginning to end. Look for this contest to fail to eclipse the number! Final notes & Key Trends: The Bears have gone under 11 straight on the road after a loss when they allowed at least 4 sacks last week. NFL teams in contest with a total of 35.5 to 42 that have averaged just 17 points or less per game on the season, and are off giving up 30 points or more in their last game like Chicago are 22-4 on the under! Play Under

[Bluemyboy]

Rocketman Sports

TOP RATED 5* NFL play Sunday!

45-18 71% last 63 NFL(7-2 +17.1 units yesterday)

Rocketman is now 45-18 71% his last 63 NFL plays after a perfect 2-0 sweep last week with Underdogs Cleveland and Arizona winning outright. Rocketman was 8-1 89% last year with his 5* NFL plays. 5* College Football play cashed easily yesterday with Virginia Tech.

We finished last years NFL season 38-12 last 17 weeks including 19-4 last 23 plays last season.

Rocketman Sports plays are rated 1-5 units

NFL

Seattle @ Pittsburgh 1:00 PM EST
Play On: 5* Seattle +6 1/2

Seattle defense is only allowing 13.2 points per game overall and 13 points per game on the road this year. Seattle is 5-1 ATS overall vs Pittsburgh since 1992. Seattle is actually 6-1 ATS last 7 overall with Pittsburgh and 3-0 ATS last 3 at Pittsburgh. I expect a fairly low scoring game here with Seattle keeping it close. Holmgren is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against AFC North division opponents in all games he has coached since 1992. Seattle has won 4 of the past 5 meetings outright. Hasselbeck has won 5 of his last 6 starts against AFC opponents. We'll play Seattle for 5 units today!

[Bluemyboy]

Red Sheet


NFL

KANSAS CITY 20 - Jacksonville 16

(1:00) -- Line opened at Jacksonville minus 1½, and is now minus 2½.
It took awhile, but the Chiefs have finally shaken their offensive woes, piling up nearly 400
yds vs the Chargers, while posting a 24-0 2nd half edge. That one featured the "return" of
Larry Johnson, who ranked behind only Tomlinson, in the entire NFL last year, with 1,789
RYs. He was held to 55 or less overland yds in his previous 4 games, but ran for 123 yds vs
SanDiego. The Jags are an "under-the-radar" type squad, which fell badly down LY's stretch
(0-3 windup). They rank 6th on "D", but just 15 ppg on "O". The dog has covered 8 of
Jacksonville's last 9 games, which agrees with KC's 10-1 spread log as HD off a pair of
wins. Game should be more of a tossup, thus dog hammer to KC.
RATING: KANSAS CITY 88


NEAR CHOICES (Rated 87): NFL: Redskins, Patriots, Cowboys
NFL: Denver: Pick
to -1½); Jacksonville (-1½ to -2½); Buffalo (+11 to +10)

[Bluemyboy]

Pointwise

NFL KEY RELEASES

KANSAS CITY over Jacksonville RATING: 2
GREEN BAY over Chicago RATING: 3
WASHINGTON over Detroit RATING: 4
CAROLINA over New Orleans RATING: 4
NEW ENGLAND over Cleveland RATING: 5

[Bluemyboy]

Dave Tuley - Daily Racing Form/LV Review Journal...

10-10 to date

Seattle +6
Bucs +9'
Lions +3'
Falcons +8
Chargers PK

[Bluemyboy]

Marc Lawrence

Playbook

NFL
5* Chicago over Green Bay 14
4* Baltimore over San Francisco by by 13
3* St. Louis over Arizona by 8

NFL TOTALS
5* Under Dolphins-Texans
4* Over Seahawks-Steelers
3* Under Bucs-Colts

[Bluemyboy]

Strickly Sports Winners


1 Unit Play Chicago Bears +3.5

1 Unit Play SD/Denver Under 43

1.5 Unit Play Buffalo +11

[Bluemyboy]

Bob Balfe

NFL Football
Jaguars -2 over Chiefs
Both teams are on the rise and are playing like postseason teams.
The Jags won in Denver two weeks ago and are rested coming off the
bye. KC has won two straight, but I still think they have offensive
problems. This game will come down to who can run the ball best.
Jacksonville's Defensive line is a lot bigger than the KC Offensive
line and this is a game that will be won and loss in the trenches.
David Garrard has yet to throw an INT this year and this seems like
the more prepared team coming off the bye.

Miami +5 over Houston
The Texans have looked good this year, but without Andre Johnson
this team has not won. Miami's Ronnie Brown is starting to tear it
up and a good running game will keep Matt Schaub off the field for
the Texans. The Miami defense may have lost a step, but experience
means a lot against a young team like Houston. This game should be
close. Five points is too much.

Cleveland +16.5 over New England
The Patriots have looked awesome, but really have not played the
best of competition. I am not taking anything away from the Pats
because they are good, but the Browns are no joke this season and
offensively this many points is a lot in this spot. The Cleveland
wide receivers have a tremendous height advantage and on defense
Cleveland's Defensive Line stacks up well against New England. The
Patriots are not 100% in the running game due to injury and they are
going against Romeo Crennel who used to be a coach in New England.
Crennel knows this squad and will be more prepared then usual. Take
the Browns.

Atlanta/Tennessee Over 40.5
The Falcons are starting to get comfortable with Joey Harrington
under center and this team might be unstoppable if they get Warrick
Dunn going. Tennessee had two weeks to prepare for the already
horrible Atlanta defense that cannot stop the run. The Titans are
second in the league running the ball and will have an easy time
running again today. Both teams should be able to score a lot. Take
the Over.

Baltimore/San Francisco Under 35.5
The Ravens offense is not going to scare anybody in this league.
Baltimore is coming off a tough loss on the road in Cleveland and
now must travel across the country to take on the 49ers that will
not have a Alex Smith or TE Vernon Davis. Trent Dilfer will start
for the 49ers and this is not a guy that is going to put up big
numbers against a good Ravens defense. Baltimore on offense has
trouble putting up TD's in the redzone. Look for this to be a great
defensive game. Take the Under.

Chicago +3 over Green Bay
The Packers throw the ball almost 70% of the time. This is fine, but
the Chicago defense is too good to be one dimensional one. The
Packers are off to a hot start and the Bears know a loss here could
put the division out of reach early on in the year. The public is
all over Green Bay and when you have a team that is 4-0 against the
spread playing on Sunday night it is best to not play them. Chicago
is 0-4 against the spread and these numbers always find a way to
even themselves out. Look for the Bears to get better numbers from
Griese and to play like their season is on the line.

Good luck
Bob Balfe
BobBalfe.com

[Bluemyboy]

Wolkosky Milan

154-103-7 last fifty days
1-5-1 Yesterday

Today:

10* RAMS +3½
10* REDSKINS -3½
10* DOLPHINS +5
10* RAVENS -3½
10* BROWNS +16½
10* CHIEFS +2

Free: CHARGERS +1

[Bluemyboy]

Psychic Sports Picks

Members Area

10/7

NFL

2 units San Diego +1
2 units Tampa Bay +9.5
2 units Tennessee -9
3 units Arizona -3.5
3 units Seattle +6
3 units New Orleans -3
5 units Miami +5.5
WISEGUY

NCAAF

2 units Boise -24

MLB

2 units Anaheim +101
2 units Cleveland +172
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[Bluemyboy]

Jeff Bonds

NFL Total Triple-Dime Bet
426 IND / 425 TAM Under 46.5 BetUS

Analysis: Both teams come in with some big injuries - Tampa Bay just lost starting running back Cadillac Williams and starting tackle Luke Petitgout for the year. Indianapolis more than likely will be without starting wide receiver Marvin Harrison, who would have two weeks to rest due to a bye next week.

I fully anticipate the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to play a BALL CONTROL game with the Colts, especially given that the Buccaneers are playing much better football this year and head coach Jon Gruden knows to beat the Colts - is not getting in a shootout.

The Colts will certainly go to the ground with running back Joseph Addai and the fact the Buccaneers allow less than 180 passing yards a game.

Expect a low-scoring game in a game that virtually is meaningless.



NFL Side Single-Dime Bet
408 NOS -3.0 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 407 CAR

Analysis: The New Orleans Saints are off a much needed bye week and are in a MUST WIN situation this week - potentially heading toward an 0-4 record.

Welcome the Carolina Panthers and quarterback David Carr. With starting QB Jake Delhomme most likely out of this contest - this leaves a lot to be desired for wide receiver Steve Smith, who's a much lesser threat without his regular partner.

The Panthers are a dangerous underdog with an even 2-2 record, but the Saints should exploit a defense that has been very disappointing this year.

Winless teams off a bye week are usually a strong proposition - expect New Orleans QB Drew Brees to bounce back with a huge performance - also note that Reggie Bush will be the main guy in the backfield with Deuce McAllister out.

[Bluemyboy]

Fast Eddie Sports

NFL
10* $100 Regular Plays
NY Jets
Chicago Bears

[Bluemyboy]

BRANDON LANG

40 DIME

GREEN BAY PACKERS - (Only lay -3. If your man has 3 1/2 , you buy the hook and only lay -3. If your man has 4 when you call up, lay that no problem. You NEVER let that 1/2 point beat you. NEVER get beat by the hook.


20 DIME

TAMPA BAY

10 DIME

Steelers

Chiefs

Browns/Patriots OVER

5 DIME

Panthers

Redskins - (If your man has 3 1/2 when you go to bet this game you buy the 1/2 and only lay 3. You NEVER, I repeat, NEVER get beat by the hook. If he has 4, lay it no problem but if it's 3 1/2, buy the hook and make sure you lay 3.

Free Pick - Bears/Packers OVER - (For analysis see Daily video)


PACKERS

The Green Bay Packers are the real deal folks and tonight, in front of a national tv audience, they will show the world.
They have won 8 in a row SU and 7-1 ATS going back to last year including a perfect 4-0 this year. If that isn't enough, how about 9-3-1 ATS last 13 against the Bears overall.
They have one of the best defenses in the NFL. Their front four might collectively be the best in the league with Harris and Woodson locking up the secondary.
It all adds up a a unit that will hurt you and hurt you quickly, especially against a struggling offense.
People, this is a Bears offense that was struggling to score against the Lions with only 13 points over 3 quarters, the same Lions defense that gave up 56 to the Eagles.
Grossman, Griese or Orton are not the answer. Won't be the answer all year long and Griese won't be the answer for the 2nd straight week and not against this defense.
The only reason the Bears went as far as they did last year was they had one of the easiest schedules in the league, caught every break in the world and defensivey they were healthy pretty much all year.
This year, no such luck. No Tank Johnson, 5 starters out already and trust me when I tell you, Brett Farve is licking his chops to get after this defense.
The biggest weakness this Bears defense has is they can't defend the pass, which is the strength of this Packers offense..
Nobody has been able to stop Brett Farve so far. Not Philly. Not the Giants. Not the Chargers and not the Vikings.
The Bears aren't in the same class of any of those 4 teams. Not in my opinion.
You heard it here first, put a fork in the Chicago Bears, they are done.
They are in complete free fall every where you look both offensively and defensively.
They needed a win last week in Detroit and they couldn't get that. What makes you think they will be able to do it against a better team, a better defense, a better QB?
It is just not going to happen. Not in my eyes it isn't.
Brian Griese was let go for a reason. He is just not that good anymore and you saw that last week.
People need to accept the fact this is not the same Bears team that went to the Super Bowl. This team is just not a good football team.
Enjoy this double http://www.therxforum.com/images/smilies/digitando.gif burial by the Packers tonight. They will score early and often against a Bears defense that is getting worse by the week.

Packers go to 5-0 with another big win and cover.

PACKERS 34-17


BUCCANEERS

I know the Colts are good and I know they are so tough at home but I truly feel the linemaker has inflated this one a bit too high.
First of al, the Bucs bring the #5 rated defense into this game and after 4 games this year, that is solid. They have allowed 20, 14, 3 and 7 points. They just keep getting better.
Offensively, after a slow start at Seattle to start the year, they have reeled off 31, 24 and 20 points winning and covering all 3.
Now this may sound like a crazy statement but if Jeff Garcia and the offense can play mistake free football, I give the Bucs a chance to pull off the upset.
Garcia has yet to throw a pick this year and the Bucs have only 3 fumbles for a total of only 3 turnovers.
The Colts thrive on getting extra possessions but today those possessions will be limited by a ball control offense by Gruden.
This game will be a lot closer than people think and I side with a very good defense getting a lot of points here and a team getting no respect.

Tampa Bay is my dog shocker today.


STEELERS

No suprise here.
I went with them at home as my top play in Week 2 and Week 3 and then last week I went against them on the road at Arizona and won there as well.
Now back home, facing a west coast team playing an early game which makes it 10 am back home, I do believe in jet lag, pro athletes or not.
Listen, Niners got tired in the 2nd half and the Steelers just blew them out. I expect the same here against the Seahawks.
The Seahawks have traveled out of the west coast time zone once this year, to Arizona, who is in the Mountain time zone and they got beat.
Well, they are all the way to the East and this game will be a repeat of the Super Bowl. Steelers by double http://www.therxforum.com/images/smilies/digitando.gifs again.
You add the fact the Seahawks are playing their 3rd road game in 4 weeks and this all adds up to a big 2nd half for the Steelers and another big home win.
Get on Pittsburgh today.



BROWNS/PATRIOTS OVER

There is no way this game stays under the total. It just can't happen.
Bottom line is if the Bengals can score 45 on this Browns defense and the Raiders can score 26, I have got to believe the Patriots can get 40.
Now, Romeo has gone over 6 of his last 9 on the road . This Browns team knows they are not going to stop this Patriots offense so they are going to have to score.
Conversley New England has gone over 3 of their first 4 games this year and it should be all 4 but a few red zone mistakes cost them field goals instead of TD's at Cincy last week and there went your Over.
You dig a bit deeper and you will see the fact the Patriots have gone over 8 of their last 9 games going back to last year.
This game is going to be just like the Cincy/Browns game only New England will get a few more stops defensively and that will be the difference.
Patriots go over for the 9th time in their last 10 games with a big over today.


CHIEFS

Just don't see the Jags beating this team today. Just don't see it.
This Chiefs defense is for real. You saw it last week in San Diego and you will see it again today.
Their front four harrassed Philip Rivers into some big mistakes and I see the same fate befalling David Garrard here.
Jags have dropped 7 of their last 10 ATS on the road and were 0-4 ATS as a road chalk last year.
Last 17 home games Kansas City has paid out nicely at 12-4-1 ATS and I will be looking for another big win from this new found ball club.
Larry Johnson is finally getting his legs under him, the offensive line is clicking and Huard is doing what he did last year, winning games.
Chiefs will figure out a way to get the win today so grab the small home dog.


CAROLINA

Ok, this game here I will keep short and sweet.
Road team in this series has covered 11 in a row. I am talking about 11 in a row.
I have made so much money with this matchup over the years because I just ride the road team.
I don't know about you but I am not going against that kind of trend. That kind of stat. It has made me money before and I am fully confident it will make me money again today.
Going back to last year, the Panthers have covered 4 in a row on the road and it wouldn't suprise me to see them win this game outright.
The Saints have more problems than the bye week could fix. I mean, seriously, have you paid attention to how big this team has been losing by.
I am talking about 25, 38, 17 and 17.
My point is, they shouldn't be favored against anybody, let alone a team that knows how to beat them in their house.
Panthers make the road team 12-0 ATS last 12 in this series.


REDSKINS

If this Washington team, coming off a bye week, can't find their offense against this terrible Lions defense, they are going nowhere.
I mean seriously, a Lions team that allowed 56 points to the Eagles on their last road trip. The Redskins should have their way with them all day long.
The Redskins are 9-2 ATS coming out of a bye week and you add the fact the Lions are 1-8 ATS before a bye week and as you can see, the planets are somewhat aligned for a Redskins blowout.
By comparison, the Redskins beat the Eagles in Philly 20-12, the same Philly team that beat the Lions 56-21 on that same field.

Washington is the play here.
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[Bluemyboy]

Psychic Sports

10/7

NFL

2 units San Diego +1
2 units Tampa Bay +9.5
2 units Tennessee -9
3 units Arizona -3.5
3 units Seattle +6
3 units New Orleans -3
5 units Miami +5.5
WISEGUY

NCAAF

2 units Boise -24

MLB

2 units Anaheim +101
2 units Cleveland +172
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[Bluemyboy]

Wayne Root

GOY
JETS


No Limit
Bears

[Bluemyboy]

Sportsbook Guru


10 Units Jets +3 1/2
5 Units Lions +3 1/2
3 Units Seattle +6

[Bluemyboy]

ATS LOCK CLUB


6 units Pittsburgh Steelers -6
6 units New Orleans Saints -3
5 units Tampa Bay Bucs +9 1/2
5 units Ariozona Cardinals -3

[Bluemyboy]

Alex Anthony from Lloyd

5 UNITS:
SEATTLE +6

4 UNITS:
YANKEES -190
NEW MEXICO STATE 24
NEW MEXICO ST./ BOISE ST. OVER 62

3 UNITS:
SAINTS -3
RAVENS -3 BUY THE HOOK
GIANTS -3 BUY THE HOOK

[Bluemyboy]

Big Al McMordie

Non Conference GOM
Jets

NFC North GOY
Bears

3* Wash
3* St. Louis

Private Players Club

10 Dimes
Jacksonville

Computer Boy
Chargers

Offshore Steam
Bears
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[Bluemyboy]

Root


Millionaire
Steelers

Insider Circle
Rams

Chairman
Miami

[Bluemyboy]

20* Wahington, NO, TB, Miami, Chicago..Teaser Jax under, SD Under
Seabass

30* Giants

50* over Giants/Jets
Seattle, Rams

Confirmed and paid for

[Bluemyboy]

North Coast Sports


Late Phone Selections
3.5* Over 40 Seattle/Pittsburgh
3* NY Giants -3.5 vs NY Jets
3* Baltimore -3.5 vs San Fran

Phil's Weekly NFL Plays
3.5* Green Bay -3
3* NY Giants -3.5
3* Atlanta +8
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[Bluemyboy]

Doc's Sports

4* TB +10
3* PITT -5.5
3* wash -3.5
3* GB -3

[Bluemyboy]

Chris Jordan
Sunday Night Winner ...

1,000♦ PACKERS - This line is -3 pretty much across the board, but in the event your sports book has the 3-1/2, you are to BUY THE HOOK back down to -3



It seems too easy, doesn't it? Why are the Packers laying a mere three points to one of the biggest disappointments in the league this season?



It's not a trap guys, the oddsmakers simply do not believe in the Packers yet, and that should change – along with America's opinion – after tonight's game is nationally televised on NBC, and everyone knows how Brett Favre loves to thrive on national TV.



I expect Favre to get it done against a Bears defense that is banged up and clearly overmatched after we've seen the like of Dallas and Detroit decimate Lovie's stop unit the past two weeks. Chicago has done nothing except make big mistakes to cost it games, and it'll happen all over again tonight.



We've seen Green Bay's production dominated by Favre, as 85 percent of the offense has involved him –and he's been flawless. He's passed for eight touchdowns and been picked just two times. And that's sans a rushing game, thus that 85-percent number.



As for that underrated defense no one is stepping up and talking about, can you imagine what will happen to Brian Griese tonight, after seeing what he did against Detroit last week? The blitz schemes will work here, even if it's to force hurried passes, and that's when that young, athletic secondary will take over.



Packers are the play here!!!
2-0 Early Sweep

200♦ TEASER STEELERS and TEXANS - SteelersI am sure the Seahawks would like to serve up some payback for the "questionable-call" Super Bowl 40 clash, but the situation today favors Pittsburgh to win this football game. Remember a couple weeks back when the Niners came to town, and they were coming off a big divisional win and then flew across the country to play an early game in this time zone? Well, how is this any different? Seattle comes in off a big division win and has to play an early game, and has to face a fired up Pittsburgh team that is coming off its first loss. Seattle won't be up for this game at all, not until the second half maybe, but history is our side with a 16-40 ATS skid in October for the 'Hawks. And that includes a 2-6 slide the past two seasons. Pittsburgh teased down gets us the win.



Texans

While Houston has established to the Atlanta-population that Matt Schaub is a decent starting quarterback, the rushing game has been invisible. With the Fins in town, it's time to put on the afterburners. I expect the Texans to exploit the Dolphins' porous run defense today, and run away with a solid win – which is all we'll need with this teaser. Miami allows a league-worst 199 yards rushing per game, and comes in off a dreadful performance last week against Oakland, which rushed for 299 yards. Quarterback Daunte Culpepper rushed for three scored and backup running back Justin Fargas rumbled for a career-high 179 yards. Trust me guys, Houston gets the home win here, as the teaser works well here.





200♦ BROWNS - I know the Patriots have won their first four games by a combined score of 148-48, and I know they just covered a similar number a few weeks ago against AFC-East rival Buffalo, but Cleveland is a team that could easily take advantage of a "letdown spot." Thanks to the confidence that is exuding from this team right now, I see the Browns losing this game, but staying inside the number.



Seriously, doesn't 31-17 look like a realistic score for a game like this? The Browns have shown they can produce points, and if they can penetrate the secondary a few times, the Patriots will just outpoint them and win it in a shootout. I'll leave the total alone however, and simply take the dog for a walk in this one.
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[Bluemyboy]

Hank Green


6* Over Pitt
6* G.b.
5* Jax
3* Pitt
3* Over San Fran
3* Houst

[Bluemyboy]

Dave Cokin

System
Clev

Big shot
Jets

Wind
Wash

Hat
Tenn
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[Bluemyboy]

Pure Loss
Has Colts so you should take TB

[Bluemyboy]

BettingResource

Picks


Oct 07: NFL: Arizona - St. Louis
Pick: Under 40.5 Odd: 1.91
Risk: 10 units Return:

Oct 07: NFL: Tampa Bay - Indianapolis
Pick: Under 45 Odd: 1.91
Risk: 10 units Return:

Oct 07: NFL: Denver - San Diego
Pick: Denver +1 Odd: 1.91
Risk: 7 units Return:

Oct 07: NFL: St. Louis - Arizona
Pick: St. Louis +3.5 Odd: 1.91
Risk: 7 units Return:

Oct 07: NFL: Miami - Houston
Pick: Miami +5 Odd: 1.91
Risk: 7 units Return:

Oct 07: NFL: New Orleans - Carolina
Pick: New Orleans -3.5 Odd: 1.91
Risk: 7 units Return:


Wise-guy

Oct 07: NFL: Arizona - St. Louis
Pick: Under 40.5 Odd: 1.91
Risk: 10 units Return:

Oct 07: NFL: Tampa Bay - Indianapolis
Pick: Under 45 Odd: 1.91
Risk: 10 units Return:
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[Volmania]

Anyone found Larry Ness' Legend play?

[Bluemyboy]

PPP

Sides

5% Washington

3% Carolina

3% Jacksonville

Totals

5% Giants / Jets Over

3% Seattle / Pittsburgh Over

3% San Diego / Denver Over

[Bluemyboy]

Spylock


5* KC
1* Cards
1* Houston
1* Giants

[Bluemyboy]

Red Dog Sports

4 Wash -3 (-120)
4 Pitt over 39
3 Jax/Kc over 36

[Bluemyboy]

Kelso Sturgeon

50 units ARIZONA -3.5

[Bluemyboy]

Ben Burns

CFB Sunday Game of the Month WINNER

Sunday Night CFB Game of the Month

New Mexico State

[Bluemyboy]

Las Vegas Pipeline


Arizona
Green Bay
Parlay Tampa Bay and Under

[Bluemyboy]

Coach Ron Meyer

Playbook-TB
Live Dog-Atl
Locker Room Report-Cleve
Coach's Consensus-Miami
Chalkboard-Chicago

[Bluemyboy]

ASA

Texans OVER, jETS Skins

[Bluemyboy]

no ness yet.

[Bluemyboy]

but put kelso and PPP up..... vol you get my e-mail signed up for this tracker?

[Thor]

PPP
Nfl Sides

5%washington

3%carolina

3%jacksonville

Nfl Totals

5%giants / Jets Over

3%seattle / Pittsburgh Over

3%san Diego / Denver Over

[Thor]

SPYLOCK
1* Cards

5* kc

1* Houston

1* Giants

[Thor]

BIG AL

championship - carolina
blue chip - colts
linemover - browns
10 dime - jaguars
offshore - bears
computer boys - chargers

[Thor]

Spritzer

main event....................bears
insider dog goy.............atl
ko...............................sd
tko..............................mia,sf
5 star hammer..................car
4 star hammer...................clev
5 star total.....................chic over 40.5

ko...............................laa

[Thor]

Blazer

4 Gbay
3 Balt

[Volmania]

but put kelso and PPP up..... vol you get my e-mail signed up for this tracker?


I did, sent it friday night.

Kelso 50 is on Arizona

[Thor]

Feist---

Island source--Atlanta
Personal best--TBay
Platinum--Seattle
Inner Circle--Clev over 48.5
Pro Shocker goy--KC
Total--Seattle over 40

Special total---Yanks over 9.5

[Volmania]

Feist---

Island source--Atlanta
Personal best--TBay
Platinum--Seattle
Inner Circle--Clev over 48.5
Pro Shocker goy--KC
Total--Seattle over 40

Special total---Yanks over 9.5

This play must be from the future lol.

When I first looked at it the time stamp said 12:34 and my laptop clock said 12:33. Hmmm maybe a sign lol.

[Thor]

Ness

20 Nfc Goy Wash

[Thor]

Score

400 Pitt

300 Nyj Balt

[Thor]

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NFL Football
Game: Detroit Lions @ Washington Redskins - Sunday October 7, 2007 1:00 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) TOTAL: Under 46.5 (-110) (Play of the Day)

Rather than taking a side here, I lean on the under given that Calvin Johnson is not expected to play, Coles is not expected to play, this team signed Keenan McCardell recently just earlier this month to fill in the hole of their lack of receivers, so their defense has to show up big. On top of that, Santana Moss is not expected to play either. The Lions have looked great at home, but on the road at Philly they only put up 21 points and face a very impressive Redskins defenense today. This team has given up 13, 12 and 24 points to a Giant team recently. I think the Lions will struggle on offense until the 4th quarter today and this game is likely to go under. That Redskins defense is absolutely sick and they are coming off a loss and now face a Lions team that is very confident. Yet, on the road, I think the Lions will struggle terrible as this will be a low scoring affair and not one of high scoring. Look for the Lions receivers to get hit at the line, there is no Calvin Johnson and the Redskins will make them play their style of play. Under is 4-0-1 the last 5 meetings between these 2 teams and the Under is 7-1 for the Redskins as favorites by this margin at home.


Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NFL Football
Game: Arizona Cardinals @ St. Louis Rams - Sunday October 7, 2007 1:00 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) TOTAL: Under 41 (-110) (Normal)

No Marc Bulger Today. No Stephen Jackson. But Gus Ferrotte and Brian Leonard will lead the way. Yet the line is not moving too much as it has moved by a 1/2 a point to a point. Is Gus Ferrotte going to step and lead this team? Possibly. This goes with the 3.5 rule as I mentioned below. Nevertheless, resigning Warner has been huge for the Cardinals because he has given them a new variability when they face defenses which was effective against the Steelers. Arizona has played respectable on defense, while St. Louis returns home where they have given up 17 and 27 points at home. I think St. Louis needs a big offensive performance and their defense did well against Dallas in the first half last week. A lean on the Cardinals and the Under here as this game is likely to be what the Cardinals/San Fran game was as I have this as a low scoring ballgame. The Rams can't score with Bulger, how are they going to score with Gus Ferrotte. Look for both defenses to step up here especialy the Rams as they have no choice but to step up on defense. I think the Cardinals do very well today and they will look to avoid embarrassing this team on the road as I have this at a 20-7 type of ballgame as it goes well under. Brian Leonard and Gus Ferrotte do not strike the fear of God into opposing defenses. Under is 8-0 when the Rams score 15 points in a previous game meaning they do not change trends very well or make adjustments well and the under is 4-1 when the Rams are a dog.


Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NFL Football
Game: Miami Dolphins @ Houston Texans - Sunday October 7, 2007 1:00 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) TOTAL: Over 43.5 (-110) (Normal)

Can Miami's defense get any worse? This was one of the elite defenses last year and now they are giving up 35, 37 and 31 points in their last 3 games and they go on the road to Houston who loves throwing the ball. Miami cannot stop the run which make them very vulnerable and the Houston defense has not been all that substantially better. I think the Dolphins do show up and compete well today as they have no choice but to avoid going 0-5. I see them being an active dog, losing by a field goal, and this game going over. Miami needs a big game here as do the Texans after a loss and Miami looks to avoid the 0-5 start. Both defenses are terrible and I expect this game to go over consequently. Over is 5-1 when the Texans play a team with a losing record and over is 4-1 in the Dolphins last 5 overall.


Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NFL Football
Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Indianapolis Colts - Sunday October 7, 2007 4:05 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) TOTAL: Under 46 (-110) (Normal)

I think this Tampa Bay defense is going to show up big time today and consequently, I think the Colts will have a tough time covering and scoring points. Therefore, I lean on the under. The Bucs have played great defense all year giving up 20, 14, 3 and 7 points in that order as their first game was against the Seahawks and have improved much since then. Gruden is likely to have a great game plan here and I had thoght that if he had a bad season with the Bucs this year and if Fulmer loses against UGA yesterday that it would be Gruden coaching in Tennessee and the SEC next year, but nope, Gruden is coming on strong this yera and Fulmer destroys Georgia. I think this game is likely to go under today. Peyton Manning will be running around like a chicken with his head cut off for the first half. The Colts will make adjusments and will win this game, but Gruden understands that the best way to keep the Colts from scoring is keep them off the field and Garcia and company will do a lot of dump passes today, screens, draws and anything to run that clock to drain as much clock as possible. Look for this game to go under while the Colts get in the sync of things in the 3rd quarter when it is too late for this game to go over.


Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NFL Football
Game: New York Jets @ New York Giants - Sunday October 7, 2007 1:00 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) TOTAL: Under 41.5 (-109) (Normal)

The Jets looked terrible at Buffalo so they will likely show up today and will play better but this game is a true tossup as I think the Giants end up winning by a field goal. Both defenses will have to show up today and I think the Giants have a small edge on offense but Mangini will have this team ready. The Giants defense has been very impressive lately limiting the Eagles to 3 points and going on the road and stepping up big against the Redskins. I think this game is likely to go under as that is my only lean. Who the heck is going to score in this game? The Jets are furious from their loss at Buffalo, the Giants did not look great against an Eagles defense only putting up 16 points, the Jets defense is likely to show up today on a bounce-back as does the Giants defense who has been playing well the last 2 games. Look for this game to be a similar final to what the Jets had last week such as a 17-13 type of final. Under is 9-3-1 in the Giants last 13 home games and the under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 weeks for the Jets on the road

[Thor]

PURE LOCK

Indy






Rob Crowne

CROWNE JEWEL--PATRIOTS






Underdog
Kansas City (lock)






Wildcat

10 Jax Norl Over









Sports Unlimited

15* Over St. Louis GOM
5* Chicago
4* San Diego

[Thor]

Mike Neri
3* Pitt
3* Tampa bay
3* Baltimore
3* Seattle Over

JB Sports
3* New Orleans
3* Jets
3* Chicago
3* Baltimore Under

[Thor]

Greg Roberts

5* Nfl Gom Wash -3'





Asa

4 Nyjets
3 Wash Houst Over






Billy Coleman

5 * GOM Baltimore - 3.5

3.5 * Wash under 45 1/2

3 * SD pk

[Bluemyboy]

Ness Legend
LA Angels